(N)
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
AP Cup Group (1)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWANSEA CITY AFC DERBY COUNTY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Michel Vargas 11 0 11 Gk Fernando Pellistri 10 0 10 Df Tony Ford 12 0 12 Df Alex Hassan 5 2 7 Df Lucas Stuhr 11 0 11 Mf Rodrigo de Corona 3 2 5 Df Gharib Alami 9 0 9 Df Theo Cole 4 0 4 Df Enrique Masis 5 2 7 Df Mikkel Iversen 2 2 4 Mf Jacob King 13 0 13 Mf Peder Petersen 15 0 15 Mf Khalid Idrissi 9 0 9 Mf Ike Azeez 10 0 10 Fw Maximillian Hoffmann 12 0 12 Mf William Gomez 5 2 7 Fw Ollie Hart 14 0 14 Mf Lukasz Bereszynski 2 2 4 Fw Michaël Van der heijden10 0 10 Fw Yahia El mostafa 5 2 7 Fw Gerry Maclaren 5 2 7 Fw Erik Christiansen 2 2 4 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 0 39 22 43 ROSTER TOTALS 10 0 15 41 11 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0 ======================================================================= 11 0 39 22 43 T O T A L S 10 3 19 41 14 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.42 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.56 (no red card) Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.5 (no red card) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.59 (no red card) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.23 (no red card) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.99 (no red card) Mf Jacob King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.84 (no red card) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.24 (no red card) Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.37 (no red card) Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.76 (no red card) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.8 (no red card) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.73 (no red card) ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.03 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.28 (no red card) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 66.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.53 (no red card) Mf Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.02 (no red card) Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.11 (no red card) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.63 (no red card) Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.55 (no red card) Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 72.15 (no red card) Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.98 (no red card) Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 35.78 (no red card) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.95 (no red card) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.32 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 73.1 (no injury) Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 77.21 (no injury) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.69 (no injury) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.15 (no injury) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.86 (no injury) Mf Jacob King: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.05 (no injury) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.85 (no injury) Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.76 (no injury) Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.28 (no injury) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.05 (no injury) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.98 (no injury) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 2 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 11.29 (no injury) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 51.52 (no injury) Mf Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.9 (no injury) Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.11 (no injury) Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.84 (no injury) Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.32 (no injury) Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.93 (no injury) Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.0 (no injury) Mf Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 37.4 (no injury) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.15 (no injury) Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 31.04 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Ollie Hart SL 14 - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 10 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Peder Petersen SL 15 - Defending Gk: Michel Vargas SL 11 intRndPk = 65 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 11 0 39 22 43 Derby County 10 3 19 41 14 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 24 (43 - 19); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 41) / 2; rounded up) Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((39 - 14) / 5); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 29 1: Attack for Df Tony Ford Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Tony Ford Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 40.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Gharib Alami Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Df Tony Ford Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Df Lucas Stuhr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 50.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 57.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 73.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 21.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 49.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 96.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 15: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 84.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 94.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 19: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 27: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 46.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 29: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 72.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 10 3 19 41 14 Swansea City AFC 11 0 39 22 43 Derby County is Playing For A Draw! Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 39) Derby County Mf Attacks = 5 ((41 - 22) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 43) / 5; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 93.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 43.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 13.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWANSEA CITY AFC 5 - DERBY COUNTY 1