(H)
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWINDON TOWN FC WATFORD Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Lewis Lorimar 13 0 13 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 11 2 13 Df Tal Avraham 10 0 10 Sw Saul Aquino 5 2 7 Df Abdel Bejaoui 8 0 8 Df Alain Fauché 13 0 13 Df Martin Toivonen 5 2 7 Df Felipe Pérez 10 1 11 Mf Mark Davies 15 0 15 Df Victor Bach 5 2 7 Mf Brecht De wit 10 0 10 Df Walter McGree 2 2 4 Mf Mark Cooper 9 0 9 Mf Hirving Borgetti 13 1 14 Fw Alexander Ross 11 0 11 Mf Oribe Arellano 15 0 15 Fw António Guerreiro 10 0 10 Mf Eduardo Da silva 5 2 7 Fw Lennon Smith 10 0 10 Fw Edgar Jimenez 5 2 7 Fw Ricardo Cabanas 8 0 8 Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 2 2 4 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 13 0 25 34 39 ROSTER TOTALS 13 7 35 36 11 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 13 0 25 34 48 T O T A L S 13 7 42 36 12 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Lewis Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.5 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.79 (no red card) Df Tal Avraham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.1 (no red card) Df Abdel Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.62 (no red card) Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.63 (no red card) Mf Mark Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.49 (no red card) Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.11 (no red card) Mf Mark Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.77 (no red card) Fw Alexander Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.49 (no red card) Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.43 (no red card) Fw Lennon Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.56 (no red card) Fw Ricardo Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.54 (no red card) ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.05 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.94 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.85 (no red card) Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.82 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.56 (no second yellow) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.65 (no red card) Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.09 (no red card) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.85 (no red card) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.05 (no red card) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.65 (no red card) Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.99 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.19 (no red card) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.64 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Lewis Lorimar: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 7.04 (no injury) Df Tal Avraham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.17 (no injury) Df Abdel Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.46 (no injury) Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.9 (no injury) Mf Mark Davies: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.86 (no injury) Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.94 (no injury) Mf Mark Cooper: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.61 (no injury) Fw Alexander Ross: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.75 (no injury) Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.25 (no injury) Fw Lennon Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.4 (no injury) Fw Ricardo Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.42 (no injury) ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 19.63 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.59 (no injury) Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.1 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.11 (no injury) Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.49 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.76 (no injury) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.26 (no injury) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.15 (no injury) Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.41 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.6 (no injury) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.67 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Mark Davies SL 15 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 11 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick) ******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oribe Arellano SL 15 - Defending Gk: Lewis Lorimar SL 13 intRndPk = 70 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swindon Town FC 13 0 25 34 48 Watford 13 7 42 36 12 Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (48 - 42); result rounded up Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 36) / 2; rounded up) Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((25 - 12) / 5); result rounded up Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 9 1: Attack for Df Martin Toivonen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Abdel Bejaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Df Tal Avraham Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 32.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Lennon Smith Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Alexander Ross Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw António Guerreiro Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Ricardo Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 13 7 42 36 12 Swindon Town FC 13 0 25 34 48 Watford is Playing For A Draw! Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 25) Watford Mf Attacks = 1 ((36 - 34) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 48) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWINDON TOWN FC 2 - WATFORD 0