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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Edoardo Mariani        10    0   10     Gk Finn Lehmann           12    0   12
Sw Luca Cole              13    0   13     Sw Bryan Wilkins          12    0   12
Df Zak Smalls             13    0   13     Df William Baker          13    0   13
Df Alessio Rinaldi        11    0   11     Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug    16    0   16
Df Boško Shpak             5    2    7     Mf Weston Williamson      10    0   10
Mf Danny Cole             13    0   13     Mf Seo Tae-uk             10    0   10
Mf Hélder Carvalho         5    2    7     Mf Mustapha Kettani       10    0   10
Fw Filipe Alves           13    0   13     Fw Jay Hanny              13    0   13
Fw Reece Gray             15    0   15     Fw Marcel M'Boma          11    0   11
Fw Ngor Drame              8    0    8     Fw Sérgio da Rocha        10    0   10
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi    5    2    7     Fw Patrick Kennedy        10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 13 31 20 43        ROSTER TOTALS      12 12 29 30 44    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 13 31 20 43         T O T A L S       12 12 29 30 44    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Edoardo Mariani: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 52.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 52.31 (no red card)

Sw Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.07 (no red card)

Df Zak Smalls: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.01 (no red card)

Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.34 (no red card)

Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.09 (no red card)

Mf Danny Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.65 (no red card)

Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.4 (no red card)

Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.39 (no red card)

Fw Reece Gray: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.99 (no red card)

Fw Ngor Drame: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.0 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.85 (no red card)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finn Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.21 (no red card)

Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.67 (no red card)

Df William Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.92 (no red card)

Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.16 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.94 (no red card)

Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.97 (no red card)

Mf Mustapha Kettani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.06 (no red card)

Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.64 (no red card)

Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.94 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.68 (no second yellow)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.14 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.8 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Edoardo Mariani: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 42.74 (no injury) 
Sw Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.81 (no injury) 
Df Zak Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.72 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.56 (no injury) 
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.53 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.08 (no injury) 
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.52 (no injury) 
Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.34 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Filipe Alves is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Filipe Alves new match skill level =  7
      Filipe Alves new match total level =  7
Fw Reece Gray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.06 (no injury) 
Fw Ngor Drame: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.55 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.34 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finn Lehmann: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 30.93 (no injury) 
Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.28 (no injury) 
Df William Baker: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.31 (no injury) 
Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.18 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.91 (no injury) 
Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.74 (no injury) 
Mf Mustapha Kettani: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.23 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.62 (no injury) 
Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.45 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.13 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Kennedy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.44 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Reece Gray SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Finn Lehmann SL 12

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jun-Yeong Chong-gug SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Edoardo Mariani SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             11  13  31  20  37
  Lincoln City FC          12  12  29  30  44

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 8 (37 - 29); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Reece Gray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ngor Drame
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 29.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Ngor Drame
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Reece Gray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ngor Drame
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 95.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Ngor Drame
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 44.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          12  12  29  30  44
  Port Vale FC             11  13  31  20  37

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 13 (44 - 31); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((30 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Seo Tae-uk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Mustapha Kettani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 20.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Seo Tae-uk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 56.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 33.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Patrick Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 93.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Patrick Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Patrick Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Patrick Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 27.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Patrick Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Patrick Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 40.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Patrick Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 74.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 35.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 1  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 2
 
Match Notes
We lucked out here, sorry, John. Goals in the 89th and 92nd.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 02/03 - 2:40 PM
You did put a stronger team out.
John (Port Vale FC) 02/03 - 5:50 PM
 
 
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