Session 10 Coaches Poll deadline in 1 hours and 48 minutes
If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Thursday, March 28th, 2024 - 04:11:06 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
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Dave Gittins
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Toby Brides            12    0   12     Gk Dara Hays              13    0   13
Sw Glen Clarke            13    0   13     Sw Lewis Russell          11    0   11
Df Kenzie Fraser          12    0   12     Df Owen Sansom            12    0   12
Df Manuel Ortiz           10    0   10     Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck   10    0   10
Df Eliecer Mojica          8    0    8     Df Jamie Aitken           10    0   10
Df Vincent Hamidou         5    2    7     Mf Ben Ince               13    0   13
Mf Nico Schär             10    0   10     Mf Peter Bengtsson        10    0   10
Mf Emil Kristoffersen     10    0   10     Fw Noah Zimmermann        15    0   15
Fw Seny Sonko             10    0   10     Fw Ellis Dury             11    0   11
Fw Roman Radomski          5    2    7     Fw Salem Bejaoui           9    0    9
Fw Rónald Aguilera         5    2    7     Fw Alexander Schwarz       8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 13 37 20 24        ROSTER TOTALS      13 11 32 23 43    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 37 20 24         T O T A L S       15 12 32 23 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Toby Brides: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 44.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 30.13 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.26 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.77 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.39 (no red card)

Df Eliecer Mojica: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.28 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.69 (no red card)

Mf Nico Schär: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.34 (no red card)

Mf Emil Kristoffersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.02 (no red card)

Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.27 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.12 (no second yellow)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.68 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.63 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.84 (no red card)

Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.53 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.5 (no red card)

Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.4 (no red card)

Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.84 (no second yellow)

Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.37 (no red card)

Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.75 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.89 (no red card)

Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.34 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Schwarz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.92 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Toby Brides: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 39.02 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.33 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.88 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.73 (no injury) 
Df Eliecer Mojica: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.06 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.31 (no injury) 
Mf Nico Schär: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.85 (no injury) 
Mf Emil Kristoffersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.58 (no injury) 
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.74 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.08 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.85 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 22.24 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.9 (no injury) 
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.54 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.76 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.36 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.24 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.9 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Peter Bengtsson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Peter Bengtsson new match skill level =  5
      Peter Bengtsson new match total level =  5
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.75 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.67 (no injury) 
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.04 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Schwarz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kenzie Fraser SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Toby Brides SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          13  13  37  20  24
  Carlisle United          15  12  32  18  43

Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 32)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((20 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Nico Schär
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  12  32  18  43
  Southend United          13  13  37  20  24

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 6 (43 - 37); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 3 ((32 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Owen Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Jamie Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jamie Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Alexander Schwarz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Alexander Schwarz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
All Colin does is draw...
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/28 - 2:16 AM
PFD without playing for the draw.
Colin (Southend United) 01/28 - 2:16 AM
 
 
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