(H)
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRENTFORD FC BRISTOL CITY FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Sion Watkins 17 2 19 Gk Alberto Flores 15 2 17 Sw Ricardo Xavier 9 2 11 Sw Reece Gregory 16 2 18 Df Dragan Jedjav 17 2 19 Df Mario Rojas 15 2 17 Df Tobias Damish 15 2 17 Df Marcus Bergman 14 2 16 Df Theo Abrahamsson 12 2 14 Df Cadwaladr Lewis 10 2 12 Df Rasmus Antonsen 5 2 7 Df Luiz Correia 10 2 12 Mf Cédric Kamga 15 2 17 Mf Steven Simons 15 1 16 Mf Geert De Ketelaere 9 2 11 Df Tyler Page 12 2 14 Fw Michael Lagerbäck 15 2 17 Mf Isaac Semenyo 10 2 12 Fw Jack Williams 14 2 16 Fw Armand Songo'o 15 2 17 Fw Róger Issahaku 17 2 19 Fw Bryan Deshayes 14 2 16 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 19 11 57 28 52 ROSTER TOTALS 17 18 71 28 33 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 1 6 0 ======================================================================= 19 11 57 28 61 T O T A L S 20 21 72 34 33 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.75 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.47 (no red card) Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.92 (no red card) Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.35 (no red card) Df Tobias Damish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.48 (no red card) Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.78 (no red card) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.62 (no red card) Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.14 (no red card) Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.15 (no red card) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.89 (no red card) Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.26 (no red card) Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.33 (no red card) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.89 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.11 (no red card) Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.04 (no red card) Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.05 (no red card) Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.44 (no red card) Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.71 (no red card) Df Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.83 (no red card) Mf Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.72 (no red card) Df Tyler Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.65 (no red card) Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.69 (no red card) Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.07 (no red card) Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.91 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0 - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 49.69 (no injury) Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.61 (no injury) Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.09 (no injury) Df Tobias Damish: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.07 (no injury) Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.61 (no injury) Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.64 (no injury) Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.53 (no injury) Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.71 (no injury) Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.98 (no injury) Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.92 (no injury) Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.05 (no injury) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.73 (no injury) Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.8 (no injury) Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.01 (no injury) Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.03 (no injury) Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.36 (no injury) Df Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.64 (no injury) Mf Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.62 (no injury) Df Tyler Page: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.09 (no injury) Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.94 (no injury) Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.65 (no injury) Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.29 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Dragan Jedjav SL 17 - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 15 intRndPk = 58 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick) ******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Mario Rojas SL 15 - Defending Gk: Sion Watkins SL 17 intRndPk = 57 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brentford FC 19 11 57 28 61 Bristol City FC 20 21 72 34 33 Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (61 - 72) Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 34) / 2; rounded up) Brentford FC Df Attacks = 8 ((57 - 33) / 3); result rounded up Brentford FC Total Attacks = 8 1: Attack for Df Theo Abrahamsson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Tobias Damish Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Dragan Jedjav Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Tobias Damish Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Df Theo Abrahamsson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Df Tobias Damish Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Df Tobias Damish Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Df Tobias Damish Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bristol City FC 20 21 72 34 33 Brentford FC 19 11 57 28 61 Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw! Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 57) Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((34 - 28) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((72 - 61) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 4 1: Attack for Df Mario Rojas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Tyler Page Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Steven Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Steven Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRENTFORD FC 1 - BRISTOL CITY FC 0
Match Notes
The top 2 teams in the league facing each other in this match!! I expect to see a fierce fight in this game!!
Abe (Leeds United) 03/24 - 12:47 PM
Too right Abe. I suspect Al will pip me for the title if he wins here today, so no holds barred!
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/26 - 5:39 PM
Best of luck Al
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/26 - 6:20 PM
First of all, unlucky Al. I’m sure if this season hadn’t coincided with Max’s volleyball season, the Bees would be runaway champions
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/30 - 10:52 PM
Second, I’m glad this was a dead rubber - 1 shot, 1 goal vs L20 keeper is a shocker. Flores was clearly at the bubbly after the Lewes result
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/30 - 10:55 PM
Very lucky here to get the win. Congratulations to Roger on the title! A great season for us to get this close. Wow! We were typically 5-goal underdogs in each match too!
Allan (Brentford FC) 04/01 - 12:17 AM
Congratulations Roger, well deserved over the season.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 04/01 - 9:54 PM
Cheers Andy
Roger (Bristol City FC) 04/03 - 8:10 PM