(H)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHESTERFIELD FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Reuben Lennon 16 -2 14 Gk Niklas Herrmann 16 2 18 Sw Théo Billard 16 2 18 Sw Éder Astorga 10 2 12 Df Michael Addo 13 2 15 Df Jeff Stewart 15 2 17 Df Óscar Cespedes 9 2 11 Df Robert Harrison 13 1 14 Df Eric Aidoo 9 2 11 Mf Jonatan López 14 2 16 Mf Ibrahim Yusuf 13 2 15 Mf Erik Weber 14 1 15 Mf Raouf Salem 9 2 11 Mf Connor Patel 12 1 13 Mf Rigobert Mahamat 9 2 11 Mf Edwin O'Kelly 5 2 7 Fw Elliot Wilkins 18 1 19 Fw Gabriel Bacca 20 0 20 Fw Hideaki Endo 14 2 16 Fw Alfonso Mesén 14 2 16 Fw Khalilou Konaté 14 2 16 Fw Liam Cleverley 12 1 13 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 18 37 37 51 ROSTER TOTALS 18 12 31 51 49 0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 20 37 37 61 T O T A L S 19 12 38 51 49 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.53 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.92 (no red card) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.84 (no red card) Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.55 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.08 (no second yellow) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.96 (no red card) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.98 (no red card) Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.44 (no red card) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.8 (no red card) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.41 (no red card) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.17 (no red card) Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.44 (no red card) Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.14 (no red card) ******* CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.35 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.89 (no red card) Sw Éder Astorga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.57 (no red card) Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.24 (no red card) Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.37 (no red card) Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.21 (no red card) Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.25 (no red card) Mf Connor Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.57 (no red card) Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.38 (no red card) Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.15 (no red card) Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.85 (no red card) Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.41 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1 - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 77.1 (no injury) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.34 (no injury) Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.98 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Michael Addo is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.08 (no injury) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.35 (no injury) Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.66 (no injury) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.8 (no injury) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.95 (no injury) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.59 (no injury) Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.77 (no injury) Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.2 (no injury) ******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0 - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 39.48 (no injury) Sw Éder Astorga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.83 (no injury) Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.79 (no injury) Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.39 (no injury) Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.52 (no injury) Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.96 (no injury) Mf Connor Patel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.52 (no injury) Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.89 (no injury) Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.77 (no injury) Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.93 (no injury) Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.34 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Liam Cleverley is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 18 - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 16 intRndPk = 88 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 20 - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brighton & Hove Albion 17 20 37 37 61 Chesterfield FC 19 12 38 51 49 Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 23 (61 - 38); result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 51) / 2; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 49) / 3; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 23 1: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 41.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 0.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 8.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 68.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 87.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 17: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 56.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 5.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) ******* CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chesterfield FC 19 12 38 51 49 Brighton & Hove Albion 17 20 37 37 61 Chesterfield FC is Playing For A Draw! Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 6 (49 - 37) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((51 - 37) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 61) / 3; rounded up) Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Mf Jonatan López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Jonatan López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Jonatan López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Jonatan López Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Gabriel Bacca Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1 - CHESTERFIELD FC 0
Match Notes
I think it's safe to say we need two wins to promote.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/24 - 5:50 PM
Nothing wrong a home win
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/30 - 11:30 PM