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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ko Endo                 2    0    2     Gk Joshua Samed           14    2   16
Sw Théo Billard           16    2   18     Df Tommy McGree            7    2    9
Df Michael Addo           13    2   15     Df Santiago Castillo      15    2   17
Df Óscar Cespedes          9    2   11     Df Sion Davey              9    2   11
Df Eric Aidoo              9    2   11     Df Bailey Stevens          9    2   11
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf          13    2   15     Mf Ian Tejeda             14    2   16
Mf Raouf Salem             9    2   11     Mf Stefan Boniek           9    2   11
Mf Rigobert Mahamat        9    2   11     Mf Patrice Djemba          5    2    7
Fw Elliot Wilkins         18    1   19     Fw Ryu Haraguchi          15    2   17
Fw Hideaki Endo           13    2   15     Fw Damien Sanchez         15    2   17
Fw Khalilou Konaté        13    2   15     Fw Joel Zamora             9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       2 18 37 37 49        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 48 34 45    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       2 21 37 37 58         T O T A L S       16  0 48 34 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ko Endo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.21 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.43 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.4 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.43 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.07 (no red card)

Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.64 (no second yellow)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.03 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.56 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.51 (no red card)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.02 (no red card)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.82 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.27 (no red card)

Df Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.95 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.67 (no second yellow)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.14 (no red card)

Df Bailey Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.41 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.65 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.04 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.36 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.79 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.27 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.39 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ko Endo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 63.45 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.71 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.56 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.06 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.11 (no injury) 
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.51 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.22 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.16 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.89 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.87 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.93 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.16 (no injury) 
Df Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.28 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.87 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.86 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.91 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.18 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.31 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.91 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.21 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.88 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 14

     intRndPk = 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Santiago Castillo SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ko Endo SL 2

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   2  21  37  37  58
  Crewe Alexandra FC       16   0  48  34  45

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 10 (58 - 48); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 2 ((37 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 25.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 74.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 80.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 99.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 74.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       16   0  48  34  45
  Brighton & Hove Albion   2  21  37  37  58

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 8 (45 - 37); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 58) / 5;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 44.5% | Random number = 88.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
 
Match Notes
Going to be tough
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/21 - 6:54 AM
But we are now getting desperate
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/21 - 6:55 AM
Careful with that Hardness Carl. It might be your undoing. ;)
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/21 - 12:01 PM
Dropped out of third, but a win is a win…especially when you have to put out a SL2 GK.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/23 - 6:12 PM
That’s crazy winning with a 2 GK
Dave (Lewes FC) 03/23 - 6:32 PM
Didn’t put the pressure on that wee keeper
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/24 - 11:13 AM
 
 
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