Session 10 orders deadline in 28 hours and 26 minutes
If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Friday, March 29th, 2024 - 01:33:07 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez           15    2   17     Gk Alberto Flores         15    2   17
Sw Glen Clarke            16    2   18     Sw Reece Gregory          16    2   18
Df Kenzie Fraser          13    2   15     Df Mario Rojas            15    2   17
Df Manuel Ortiz           12    2   14     Df Cadwaladr Lewis         9    2   11
Df Vincent Hamidou         9    2   11     Mf Steven Simons          15    1   16
Df Archie Rowe            13    2   15     Mf Isaac Semenyo           9    2   11
Mf Claes Östberg          14    2   16     Fw Armand Songo'o         15    2   17
Mf Troy Juric             12    2   14     Fw John Jackson           12    2   14
Fw Cássio Lemos           15    2   17     Fw Jørn Nielsen           12    1   13
Fw Kenzie McDonald        13    1   14     Fw Bryan Deshayes         14    2   16
Fw Roman Radomski          9    2   11     Fw Domingo Crespo         10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 18 55 30 42        ROSTER TOTALS      17 18 28 27 72    
       1  2  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 20 55 30 51         T O T A L S       20 18 28 27 72    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 5.1 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 42.21 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.34 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 79.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.23 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 29.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.55 (no red card)

Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 39.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.85 (no red card)

Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 62.84 (no red card)

Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 77.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 54.66 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 32.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 66.19 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 56.77 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.66 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 4.37 (no second yellow)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 17.88 (no red card)

Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.62 (no red card)

Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.06 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.99 (no red card)

Mf Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.2 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.92 (no red card)

Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.17 (no red card)

Fw John Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.78 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      John Jackson new match skill level =  6
      John Jackson new match total level =  8

Fw Jørn Nielsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.46 (no red card)

Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.09 (no red card)

Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 3
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 71.04 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.76 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.91 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.52 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.22 (no injury) 
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.87 (no injury) 
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.87 (no injury) 
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.44 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.0 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.73 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.51 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.26 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 73.05 (no injury) 
Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 26.57 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 13.36 (no injury) 
Mf Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 71.08 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 60.78 (no injury) 
Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 65.97 (no injury) 
Fw John Jackson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 73.46 (no injury) 
Fw Jørn Nielsen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 78.46 (no injury) 
Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 3.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Bryan Deshayes is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Domingo Crespo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 60.79 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Mario Rojas SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          20  20  55  30  51
  Bristol City FC          20  18  28  27  66

Southend United Fw Attacks = 23 (51 - 28); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Mf Claes Östberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 22.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 2.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 85.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 15.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 57.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 14.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          20  18  28  27  66
  Southend United          20  20  55  30  51

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 11 (66 - 55); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 63.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Domingo Crespo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw John Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Domingo Crespo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 17.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw John Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 1  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Wow! That’s some backline Colin. Even without the sending off I don’t think I’d have got anything past you even if we had played all day
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/23 - 8:47 PM
SW stopped 8 attacks - good job 👏
Colin (Southend United) 03/24 - 1:04 AM
Always going to be tough against the Champions Elect. Well done Roger but you need to wait until next week for the trophy
Colin (Southend United) 03/24 - 1:06 AM
I am fairly sure Bristol will win another well-deserved championship this season. And yes, Southend is a team to be taken very seriously!!
Abe (Leeds United) 03/24 - 12:45 PM
 
 
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