(H)
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
Port Vale FC
John Holden
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
DERBY COUNTY PORT VALE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Fernando Pellistri 14 1 15 Gk Hyun Tae-yong 15 2 17
Sw Artur Boniek 14 1 15 Sw Luca Cole 15 0 15
Df Carrington Phillips 10 1 11 Df Sion Bowen 14 1 15
Df Alex Hassan 9 2 11 Df Boško Shpak 9 2 11
Df Peder Petersen 14 0 14 Df Carsten Kragelund 5 2 7
Df Ike Azeez 11 2 13 Mf Albert Ohrel 14 2 16
Mf William Gomez 9 2 11 Mf Alain Rieder 5 2 7
Mf Glen Fortune-West 7 1 8 Fw Andres Gutierrez 15 2 17
Mf Jay Mitchell 13 0 13 Fw Filipe Alves 15 0 15
Fw Reimundo Almada 13 1 14 Fw Reece Gray 16 0 16
Fw Mohamed Torres 11 0 11 Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 15 49 32 25 ROSTER TOTALS 17 15 33 23 59
0 0 0 2 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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15 15 58 34 25 T O T A L S 20 15 33 23 59
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.08 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.63 (no red card)
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.44 (no red card)
Df Carrington Phillips: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.19 (no red card)
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.71 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.32 (no second yellow)
Df Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.0 (no red card)
Df Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.59 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.38 (no second yellow)
Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.9 (no red card)
Mf Glen Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.02 (no red card)
Mf Jay Mitchell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.59 (no red card)
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.34 (no second yellow)
Fw Mohamed Torres: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.03 (no red card)
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.64 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.27 (no red card)
Sw Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.2 (no red card)
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.89 (no red card)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.36 (no red card)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.22 (no red card)
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.33 (no red card)
Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.95 (no red card)
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.57 (no red card)
Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no red card)
Fw Reece Gray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.85 (no red card)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.77 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 93.4 (no injury)
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.98 (no injury)
Df Carrington Phillips: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 0.33 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Carrington Phillips is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Carrington Phillips new match skill level = 5
Carrington Phillips new match total level = 6
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.54 (no injury)
Df Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.57 (no injury)
Df Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.31 (no injury)
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.81 (no injury)
Mf Glen Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.64 (no injury)
Mf Jay Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.05 (no injury)
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.56 (no injury)
Fw Mohamed Torres: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.22 (no injury)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 65.32 (no injury)
Sw Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.52 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Luca Cole is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Luca Cole new match skill level = 8
Luca Cole new match total level = 8
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.06 (no injury)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.71 (no injury)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.99 (no injury)
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.16 (no injury)
Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.58 (no injury)
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.71 (no injury)
Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.47 (no injury)
Fw Reece Gray: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.05 (no injury)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.6 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Peder Petersen SL 14
- Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15
intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Reece Gray SL 16
- Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 15 15 53 34 25
Port Vale FC 20 8 33 23 59
Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 33)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 6 ((34 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 59) / 3; rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Jay Mitchell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 20 8 33 23 59
Derby County 15 15 53 34 25
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 6 (59 - 53); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 34) / 2; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 3 ((33 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Df Boško Shpak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Sion Bowen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 38.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Boško Shpak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 9.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 70.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
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F I N A L S C O R E
DERBY COUNTY 0 - PORT VALE FC 0
Match Notes
First versus second, big match!
John (Port Vale FC) 03/21 - 1:42 PM
Derby parked the bus, but I think that was enough to celebrate the title!
John (Port Vale FC) 03/23 - 11:32 PM