(H)
Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
Port Vale FC
John Holden
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S HEREFORD UNITED FC PORT VALE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Damien Watkins 12 2 14 Gk Hyun Tae-yong 15 2 17 Sw Maher Hamdi 12 1 13 Sw Fokke Taylor 4 2 6 Df Zacharie Ousmanou 15 -2 13 Df Sion Bowen 13 1 14 Df Rhys Degenek 12 1 13 Df Boško Shpak 8 2 10 Df Eduardo Ortiz 10 2 12 Mf Danny Cole 13 0 13 Df Tyler Long 5 2 7 Mf Hélder Carvalho 9 2 11 Df Hans LecLercq 5 0 5 Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap 9 2 11 Mf Nasiru Kabiru 7 2 9 Fw Andres Gutierrez 15 2 17 Mf Roberto Romo 5 2 7 Fw Reece Gray 16 0 16 Fw Gavin Brown 12 1 13 Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 8 2 10 Fw Manuel Benaglio 9 2 11 Fw Ngor Drame 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 13 50 16 24 ROSTER TOTALS 17 6 24 35 53 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 13 50 20 29 T O T A L S 19 6 24 35 53 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Damien Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.09 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.54 (no red card) Sw Maher Hamdi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.08 (no red card) Df Zacharie Ousmanou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.13 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.05 (no second yellow) Df Rhys Degenek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.02 (no red card) Df Eduardo Ortiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.27 (no red card) Df Tyler Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.61 (no red card) Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.92 (no red card) Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.83 (no red card) Mf Roberto Romo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.73 (no red card) Fw Gavin Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.65 (no red card) Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.69 (no red card) ******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 95.4 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 44.13 (no red card) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.97 (no red card) Df Sion Bowen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.27 (no red card) Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.28 (no red card) Mf Danny Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.97 (no red card) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.04 (no red card) Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.45 (no red card) Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.75 (no red card) Fw Reece Gray: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.43 (no red card) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.58 (no red card) Fw Ngor Drame: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.31 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Damien Watkins: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 98.28 (no injury) Sw Maher Hamdi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.03 (no injury) Df Zacharie Ousmanou: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.96 (no injury) Df Rhys Degenek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.5 (no injury) Df Eduardo Ortiz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.99 (no injury) Df Tyler Long: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.22 (no injury) Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.57 (no injury) Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.83 (no injury) Mf Roberto Romo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.28 (no injury) Fw Gavin Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.01 (no injury) Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.67 (no injury) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 47.97 (no injury) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.01 (no injury) Df Sion Bowen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.25 (no injury) Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.45 (no injury) Mf Danny Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.05 (no injury) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.7 (no injury) Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.42 (no injury) Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.49 (no injury) Fw Reece Gray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.73 (no injury) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.21 (no injury) Fw Ngor Drame: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.99 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Zacharie Ousmanou SL 15 - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick) ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Reece Gray SL 16 - Defending Gk: Damien Watkins SL 12 intRndPk = 53 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Hereford United FC 14 13 50 20 29 Port Vale FC 19 6 24 35 53 Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 5 (29 - 24); result rounded up Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 35) / 2; rounded up) Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 53) / 3; rounded up) Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Fw Gavin Brown Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Gavin Brown Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Manuel Benaglio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 34.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Port Vale FC 19 6 24 35 53 Hereford United FC 14 13 50 20 29 Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 3 (53 - 50); result rounded up Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((35 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 29) / 3; rounded up) Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Danny Cole Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 93.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Rudi Bella-Kotchap Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Reece Gray Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E HEREFORD UNITED FC 0 - PORT VALE FC 1
Match Notes
Congratulations on your promotion John. Impressive with 4 games left!
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/16 - 9:10 PM