(H)
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Wayne Carroll 16 2 18 Gk Reuben Lennon 16 1 17 Sw Toni Meyer 8 2 10 Sw Théo Billard 16 2 18 Df Freddie Harris 14 2 16 Df Michael Addo 12 2 14 Df Radoslaw Kaminski 8 2 10 Df Niklas Köhler 12 2 14 Mf Melvin Carmona 13 1 14 Df Óscar Cespedes 8 2 10 Mf Yahia El idrissi 12 2 14 Df Eric Aidoo 8 2 10 Fw Nii Mingle 15 2 17 Mf Ryan Brady 12 2 14 Fw Kenneth Milligan 17 2 19 Mf Raouf Salem 8 2 10 Fw Krystian Zewlakow 13 2 15 Mf Rigobert Mahamat 8 2 10 Fw José Sánchez 10 2 12 Fw Hideaki Endo 12 2 14 Fw Dafydd Chapman 8 2 10 Fw Ian Lee 11 2 13 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 10 26 28 73 ROSTER TOTALS 17 18 48 34 27 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 10 28 28 80 T O T A L S 17 20 48 34 27 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.64 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.96 (no red card) Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.57 (no red card) Df Freddie Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.69 (no red card) Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.74 (no red card) Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.59 (no red card) Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.24 (no red card) Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.72 (no red card) Fw Kenneth Milligan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.02 (no red card) Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.33 (no red card) Fw José Sánchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.56 (no red card) Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.16 (no red card) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.29 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.43 (no red card) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.12 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.93 (no second yellow) Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.67 (no red card) Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.77 (no red card) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 68.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.81 (no red card) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.15 (no red card) Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.47 (no red card) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.0 (no red card) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 3.82 (no red card) Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.51 (no red card) Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.94 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 15.06 (no injury) Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.75 (no injury) Df Freddie Harris: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.76 (no injury) Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.14 (no injury) Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.34 (no injury) Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 7.59 (no injury) Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.08 (no injury) Fw Kenneth Milligan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.49 (no injury) Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.68 (no injury) Fw José Sánchez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.32 (no injury) Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.52 (no injury) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2 - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 34.26 (no injury) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.97 (no injury) Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 16.82 (no injury) Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.56 (no injury) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 64.53 (no injury) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.83 (no injury) Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.29 (no injury) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 95.81 (no injury) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 48.72 (no injury) Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 58.01 (no injury) Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.3 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Kenneth Milligan SL 17 - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Michael Addo SL 12 - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 16 intRndPk = 58 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Weston-super-Mare AFC 18 10 28 28 80 Brighton & Hove Albion 17 20 48 34 27 Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 32 (80 - 48); result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 34) / 2; rounded up) Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((28 - 27) / 3); result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 33 1: Attack for Df Freddie Harris Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 68.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 30: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 32: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brighton & Hove Albion 17 20 48 34 27 Weston-super-Mare AFC 18 10 28 28 80 Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 28) Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 3 ((34 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 80) / 3; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 3 1: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
Match Notes
Another Gull fight!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/09 - 10:21 AM
Our season is tanking.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/09 - 7:09 PM
good keeping from Lennon
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/09 - 8:21 PM
True Vick. But we still have tears.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/09 - 8:54 PM