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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Declan McAllister      15    1   16     Gk Warre Michiels          6    2    8
Sw Alejandro  Segura      15    0   15     Df Charlie Bergqvist      10    2   12
Df Paul Brides            10    1   11     Df Gregg Bunyan            6    2    8
Df Ivan Guerrero          10    0   10     Df William Michaud         3    2    5
Df Juan Jose Saez         10    0   10     Mf Ellis Lindsay          10    2   12
Mf Daniel Martins         13    0   13     Mf Theo Fisher             6    2    8
Mf Jermaine Hills         10    1   11     Mf Leon Ludley             3    2    5
Fw Liang X               15    1   16     Fw Luis Perea              8    1    9
Fw Daniel Yitzchak        11    1   12     Fw Peter Cruz              6    2    8
Fw Greg Mason             10    1   11     Fw Mason Hall              6    2    8
Fw Ethan Webb             10    1   11     Fw Carlton Mitchell        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 31 24 50        ROSTER TOTALS       8  0 25 25 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 31 33 50         T O T A L S        8  0 25 25 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Declan McAllister: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.8 (no red card)

Sw Alejandro  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.06 (no red card)

Df Paul Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.99 (no red card)

Df Ivan Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.99 (no red card)

Df Juan Jose Saez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.68 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.36 (no red card)

Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.55 (no red card)

Fw Liang X: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.08 (no second yellow)

Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.6 (no red card)

Fw Greg Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.77 (no red card)

Fw Ethan Webb: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.51 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.36 (no red card)

Df Charlie Bergqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.53 (no red card)

Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.51 (no red card)

Df William Michaud: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.92 (no red card)

Mf Ellis Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.01 (no red card)

Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.84 (no red card)

Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.78 (no red card)

Fw Luis Perea: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.2 (no red card)

Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.05 (no red card)

Fw Mason Hall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.29 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teams hardness * .25) + (opponents hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Declan McAllister: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 64.58 (no injury) 
Sw Alejandro  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.85 (no injury) 
Df Paul Brides: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.16 (no injury) 
Df Ivan Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.29 (no injury) 
Df Juan Jose Saez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.24 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Martins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.98 (no injury) 
Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.84 (no injury) 
Fw Liang X: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.01 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Liang X is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Liang X new match skill level =  8
      Liang X new match total level =  9
Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.92 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.21 (no injury) 
Fw Ethan Webb: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.89 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 61.28 (no injury) 
Df Charlie Bergqvist: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.92 (no injury) 
Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.27 (no injury) 
Df William Michaud: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.73 (no injury) 
Mf Ellis Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.6 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.05 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.09 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Perea: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.67 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.29 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Hall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.24 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.6 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Daniel Martins SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Warre Michiels SL 6

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Charlie Bergqvist SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Declan McAllister SL 15

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          16  15  31  33  43
  Queens Park Rangers      8   0  25  25  30

Queens Park Rangers is using Offside Trap!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 9 (43 - 25) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((33 - 25) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((31 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Paul Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 33.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 13.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 32.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 12.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ethan Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 76.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Ethan Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Liang X
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 76.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Liang X
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 9.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 33.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 9.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Ethan Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 45.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ethan Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      8   0  25  25  30
  Bristol City FC          16  15  31  33  43

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 31)
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 43) / 5;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 2  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
Match Notes
QPR just ahead in these encounters. We will be hoping to narrow the gap.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 12/03 - 6:05 PM
Mission accomplished.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 12/09 - 7:27 PM
Against the youth team.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 12/09 - 7:27 PM
Bad injury.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 12/09 - 7:28 PM
 
 
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