(H)
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LEWES FC NOTTINGHAM FOREST Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Marcos Cruz 15 2 17 Gk Kurt Östman 8 2 10 Df Geoffrey Pilkington 11 2 13 Sw Édouard Gning 12 2 14 Df Aaron MacKay 13 2 15 Df Laurence Clarke 13 2 15 Df André Bukari 10 2 12 Df Harley Mason 10 2 12 Mf Veselin Dudnyk 13 2 15 Df Manuel Barnetta 9 2 11 Mf Dries Onana 11 1 12 Df Kazimierz Szczesny 7 0 7 Mf Do-Hyeon Yo-han 10 2 12 Mf Freddie Cockham 13 2 15 Fw Justice Shorunmu 13 2 15 Mf Derek Holmes 10 2 12 Fw Taylor Stevenson 13 2 15 Mf Johnny Rieder 7 2 9 Fw Sven De Bruyne 10 2 12 Fw Ilija Caleta-Car 13 2 15 Fw Ichiro Sakai 7 2 9 Fw Paul Dumont 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 0 40 39 51 ROSTER TOTALS 10 14 45 36 25 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 0 40 39 60 T O T A L S 10 17 49 36 25 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.39 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 40.93 (no red card) Df Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.42 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Geoffrey Pilkington new match skill level = 6 Geoffrey Pilkington new match total level = 8 Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.84 (no red card) Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.05 (no red card) Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.31 (no red card) Mf Dries Onana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.69 (no red card) Mf Do-Hyeon Yo-han: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.93 (no red card) Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.7 (no red card) Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.14 (no red card) Fw Sven De Bruyne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.13 (no red card) Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.47 (no red card) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.94 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.95 (no red card) Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.07 (no red card) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.25 (no red card) Df Harley Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.66 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.13 (no second yellow) Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.66 (no red card) Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.75 (no red card) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.85 (no red card) Mf Derek Holmes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.55 (no red card) Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.74 (no red card) Fw Ilija Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.28 (no red card) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.44 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1 - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 58.77 (no injury) Df Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.45 (no injury) Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.34 (no injury) Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.46 (no injury) Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.35 (no injury) Mf Dries Onana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.6 (no injury) Mf Do-Hyeon Yo-han: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.21 (no injury) Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.23 (no injury) Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.0 (no injury) Fw Sven De Bruyne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.41 (no injury) Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.19 (no injury) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 58.27 (no injury) Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.64 (no injury) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.93 (no injury) Df Harley Mason: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.67 (no injury) Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.65 (no injury) Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.58 (no injury) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.58 (no injury) Mf Derek Holmes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.95 (no injury) Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.21 (no injury) Fw Ilija Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.85 (no injury) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.65 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Aaron MacKay SL 13 - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 8 intRndPk = 68 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick) ******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Laurence Clarke SL 13 - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Lewes FC 20 0 35 39 60 Nottingham Forest 10 17 49 36 25 Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 11 (60 - 49); result rounded up Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((39 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up Lewes FC Df Attacks = 2 ((35 - 25) / 5); result rounded up Lewes FC Total Attacks = 15 1: Attack for Df Geoffrey Pilkington Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Aaron MacKay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Dries Onana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Veselin Dudnyk Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 93.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 76.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 13: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 25.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Nottingham Forest 10 17 49 36 25 Lewes FC 20 0 35 39 60 Lewes FC is using Offside Trap! Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw! Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 35) Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 39) / 2; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 60) / 3; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LEWES FC 2 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
Going to need all hands on deck here......fear relegation is on the horizon
Dave (Lewes FC) 03/02 - 3:13 PM
Big three points
Dave (Lewes FC) 03/09 - 6:52 PM