(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Riccardo Di matteo 14 2 16 Gk Louis Cadiou 10 0 10 Sw Saul Aquino 7 2 9 Sw Ciriaco Lang 7 2 9 Df Evan Symes 13 0 13 Df Cristóbal Sanchez 7 2 9 Df Victor Bach 7 2 9 Df Marcel Pechet 3 2 5 Df Walter McGree 3 2 5 Mf Erik Schlotterbeck 12 0 12 Mf Oribe Arellano 15 0 15 Mf Tony Gueye 7 2 9 Mf Eduardo Da silva 6 2 8 Mf Gareth Smith 3 2 5 Fw Julien De Boeck 13 2 15 Fw Jürg Spycher 9 1 10 Fw Jimmy Wells 13 0 13 Fw Dag Hansen 13 -1 12 Fw Samuel Bidault 12 2 14 Fw José Borges 7 2 9 Fw Valerio Paredes 3 2 5 Fw Clement Kenne 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 9 27 23 47 ROSTER TOTALS 10 9 14 26 36 0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 9 28 23 56 T O T A L S 10 9 14 26 36 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.79 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.06 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.58 (no red card) Df Evan Symes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.97 (no red card) Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.15 (no red card) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.01 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.3 (no second yellow) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.31 (no red card) Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.24 (no red card) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.99 (no red card) Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.84 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.05 (no second yellow) Fw Samuel Bidault: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.23 (no red card) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.52 (no red card) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Louis Cadiou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.76 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.47 (no red card) Sw Ciriaco Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.91 (no red card) Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.2 (no red card) Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.29 (no red card) Mf Erik Schlotterbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.82 (no red card) Mf Tony Gueye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.24 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.98 (no second yellow) Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.0 (no red card) Fw Jürg Spycher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.88 (no red card) Fw Dag Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.65 (no red card) Fw José Borges: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.91 (no red card) Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.04 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 25.31 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.12 (no injury) Df Evan Symes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.24 (no injury) Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.59 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.57 (no injury) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.77 (no injury) Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.43 (no injury) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.0 (no injury) Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.19 (no injury) Fw Samuel Bidault: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.23 (no injury) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.62 (no injury) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Louis Cadiou: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 35.44 (no injury) Sw Ciriaco Lang: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.85 (no injury) Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.89 (no injury) Df Marcel Pechet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.49 (no injury) Mf Erik Schlotterbeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.71 (no injury) Mf Tony Gueye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.79 (no injury) Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.0 (no injury) Fw Jürg Spycher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.44 (no injury) Fw Dag Hansen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.7 (no injury) Fw José Borges: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.91 (no injury) Fw Clement Kenne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.89 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oribe Arellano SL 15 - Defending Gk: Louis Cadiou SL 10 intRndPk = 32 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Dag Hansen SL 13 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 90 (pk blocked) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 16 9 28 23 56 Dagenham & Redbridge 10 9 14 26 36 Watford Fw Attacks = 42 (56 - 14); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 36) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 42 1: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 54.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 99.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 74.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 10.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 55.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 84.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 97.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 61.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 5.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 27: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 14.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 32: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 34: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 13.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 35: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 37: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 38: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 39: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 40: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 41: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 42: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Dagenham & Redbridge 10 9 14 26 36 Watford 16 9 28 23 56 Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 8 (36 - 28); result rounded up Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 2 ((26 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((14 - 56) / 3; rounded up) Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Mf Erik Schlotterbeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Tony Gueye Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 1.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw José Borges Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw José Borges Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 16.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 74.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 91.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw José Borges Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Clement Kenne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 5 - DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 1