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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            CHESTERFIELD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun            7    2    9     Gk Mohamed Tazi            3    2    5
Sw Keith Dohm             13    2   15     Sw Alvaro Marin            7    2    9
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui       7    2    9     Df Gerardo  Segura        13    1   14
Df Benjamin Bell           3    2    5     Df Cristian Abreu          7    2    9
Df Ruben Fuentes           2    2    4     Df Svend Strand            3    2    5
Mf Lewis Young            12    2   14     Mf Cameron Grant          13    1   14
Mf Emile Bateman           7    2    9     Mf Abe Bradley             7    1    8
Mf Mohamed Durieux         3    2    5     Mf John Stewart            3    2    5
Fw Kyle Bruce             13   -2   11     Fw Christopher Collins    13    2   15
Fw Noah Carroll            7    2    9     Fw Laurence Johnston       7    2    9
Fw Harley Morrissey        3    2    5     Fw Jacob Rooney            3   -1    2

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9 15 18 28 25        ROSTER TOTALS       5  9 28 27 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9 15 18 28 25         T O T A L S        5  9 28 27 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.9 (no red card)

Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.38 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.06 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.28 (no red card)

Df Ruben Fuentes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.4 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.15 (no red card)

Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.99 (no red card)

Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.63 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.09 (no red card)

Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.09 (no red card)

Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.84 (no red card)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mohamed Tazi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.04 (no red card)

Sw Alvaro Marin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.89 (no red card)

Df Gerardo  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.64 (no red card)

Df Cristian Abreu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.37 (no red card)

Df Svend Strand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.3 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Grant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.49 (no red card)

Mf Abe Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.6 (no red card)

Mf John Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.58 (no red card)

Fw Christopher Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.57 (no red card)

Fw Laurence Johnston: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.7 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.22 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.91 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.22 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.04 (no injury) 
Df Ruben Fuentes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.07 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.1 (no injury) 
Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.96 (no injury) 
Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.81 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.3 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.4 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.52 (no injury) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mohamed Tazi: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.96 (no injury) 
Sw Alvaro Marin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.68 (no injury) 
Df Gerardo  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.7 (no injury) 
Df Cristian Abreu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.11 (no injury) 
Df Svend Strand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.57 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Grant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.24 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Bradley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.52 (no injury) 
Mf John Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.45 (no injury) 
Fw Christopher Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.35 (no injury) 
Fw Laurence Johnston: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.85 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kyle Bruce SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mohamed Tazi SL 3

     intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gerardo  Segura SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kuan-Yin Sun SL 7

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          9  15  18  28  25
  Chesterfield FC          5   9  28  27  26

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 28)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 26) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Emile Bateman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 90.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          5   9  28  27  26
  Carlisle United          9  15  18  28  25

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 8 (26 - 18); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 1 ((28 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Svend Strand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 29.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Laurence Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Laurence Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Laurence Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Laurence Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Laurence Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 93.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Jacob Rooney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
CARLISLE UNITED 1  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 1
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Carlisle United Gk (Home): Kuan-Yin Sun SL 7

   - Chesterfield FC Gk (Away): Mohamed Tazi SL 3

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Keith Dohm (CAR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 53 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (CAR - 1  :  CHF - 0)

 Round 1: Cameron Grant (CHF) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 76 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (CAR - 1  :  CHF - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Kyle Bruce (CAR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 16 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (CAR - 2  :  CHF - 1)

 Round 2: Gerardo  Segura (CHF) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 95 (PK BLOCKED!!) (CAR - 2  :  CHF - 1)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Lewis Young (CAR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 48 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (CAR - 3  :  CHF - 1)

 Round 3: Christopher Collins (CHF) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 90 (PK BLOCKED!!) (CAR - 3  :  CHF - 1)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Noah Carroll (CAR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 76 (PK BLOCKED!!) (CAR - 3  :  CHF - 1)

 Round 4: Alvaro Marin (CHF) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 64% | Random number = 74 (PK BLOCKED!!) (CAR - 3  :  CHF - 1)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 1  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 1
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
CARLISLE UNITED 3  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 1
 
Match Notes
Somewhat fortuitously staggering into the next round.
Dave (Carlisle United) 09/08 - 9:14 PM
 
 
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