MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2 TMBL MSWL The Manager
Wednesday, July 24th, 2019 - 05:09:24 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① - Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats Tables Teams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(N)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
AP Cup Group (1)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joseph Wheeler         11    0   11     Gk Sean Crawford          13    0   13
Sw Reece MacKay           13    0   13     Sw Carl Olson             12    0   12
Df Joshua Brown           12    0   12     Df Francisco Nieto        13    0   13
Df Brandon Craig          14    0   14     Df Joaquin Nieto          11    0   11
Df Arjen Schaffer          9    0    9     Df Cillian Browne          5    2    7
Df Martín Lugano           5    2    7     Mf Matthieu Cottin        12    0   12
Mf Killian Foucher        10    0   10     Mf Derek Russell          10    0   10
Mf Leon Fitzgerald         2    2    4     Mf Riley McAllister        5    2    7
Fw Glen Shepherd          13    0   13     Mf Callum Terry            2    2    4
Fw Nigel Carter           12    0   12     Fw Louie Rowbotham        15    0   15
Fw Ben Shepherd            9    0    9     Fw Even  Berntsen          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 13 42 14 34        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 31 33 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 13 42 14 34         T O T A L S       13 12 31 33 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.71 (no red card)

Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.43 (no red card)

Df Joshua Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.05 (no red card)

Df Brandon Craig: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.76 (no red card)

Df Arjen Schaffer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.46 (no red card)

Df Martín Lugano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.5 (no red card)

Mf Killian Foucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.27 (no red card)

Mf Leon Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.3 (no red card)

Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.36 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.13 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.99 (no second yellow)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sean Crawford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.95 (no red card)

Sw Carl Olson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.72 (no red card)

Df Francisco Nieto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.24 (no red card)

Df Joaquin Nieto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.47 (no red card)

Df Cillian Browne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.64 (no red card)

Mf Matthieu Cottin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.29 (no red card)

Mf Derek Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.13 (no second yellow)

Mf Riley McAllister: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.34 (no red card)

Mf Callum Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.68 (no red card)

Fw Louie Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.05 (no second yellow)

Fw Even  Berntsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 20.94 (no injury) 
Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.06 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.55 (no injury) 
Df Brandon Craig: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.59 (no injury) 
Df Arjen Schaffer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.75 (no injury) 
Df Martín Lugano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.71 (no injury) 
Mf Killian Foucher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.85 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.69 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.67 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.07 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.83 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sean Crawford: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 32.95 (no injury) 
Sw Carl Olson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.1 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Nieto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.87 (no injury) 
Df Joaquin Nieto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.14 (no injury) 
Df Cillian Browne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.85 (no injury) 
Mf Matthieu Cottin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.42 (no injury) 
Mf Derek Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.83 (no injury) 
Mf Riley McAllister: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.0 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.44 (no injury) 
Fw Louie Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.84 (no injury) 
Fw Even  Berntsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Brandon Craig SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Sean Crawford SL 13

     intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Louie Rowbotham SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 11

     intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        11  13  42  14  34
  Brentford FC             13  12  31  33  22

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 3 (34 - 31); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 7 ((42 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Brandon Craig
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Joshua Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Brandon Craig
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Joshua Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Brandon Craig
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Brandon Craig
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Arjen Schaffer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Glen Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Glen Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             13  12  31  33  22
  Nottingham Forest        11  13  42  14  34

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 42)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((33 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Riley McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Matthieu Cottin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Matthieu Cottin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Riley McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Matthieu Cottin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 8.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Matthieu Cottin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Matthieu Cottin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Matthieu Cottin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Matthieu Cottin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 70.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Riley McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2  -  BRENTFORD FC 1
 
Match Notes
 
 
Terms and Conditions