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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenneth Riley          11    1   12     Gk Lewis Alexander        14    0   14
Df Ross Brennan           11    2   13     Sw David Huber            13    0   13
Df Stephen Gomez          11    2   13     Df Nico König             12    0   12
Df Cliff Ellis            11    2   13     Df Oliver Johnson         10    0   10
Df Bobby Burton            5    2    7     Df Clifton Williams       10    1   11
Mf Francis Reynolds       11    2   13     Df Benjamin Rowbotham      9    2   11
Mf Shay  Lindsay          11    2   13     Df Gareth O'Brien          7    2    9
Mf Patrick Butcher        11   -2    9     Mf Pedro Fernandes        13    0   13
Mf William Martin          7    2    9     Mf Jřrgen  Nguyen          7    2    9
Fw Mika Huber             11    2   13     Fw Logan Flinders          7    2    9
Fw Solt Novák              6    2    8     Fw Vincenzo Sanna          7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 46 44 21        ROSTER TOTALS      14 13 53 22 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 46 53 21         T O T A L S       14 13 53 22 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenneth Riley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.64 (no red card)

Df Ross Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.77 (no red card)

Df Stephen Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.09 (no red card)

Df Cliff Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.7 (no red card)

Df Bobby Burton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.98 (no red card)

Mf Francis Reynolds: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.75 (no red card)

Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.51 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.99 (no red card)

Mf William Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.91 (no red card)

Fw Mika Huber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.19 (no red card)

Fw Solt Novák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.56 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lewis Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.18 (no red card)

Sw David Huber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.43 (no red card)

Df Nico König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.93 (no red card)

Df Oliver Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.01 (no red card)

Df Clifton Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.68 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.77 (no red card)

Df Gareth O'Brien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.23 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.21 (no red card)

Mf Jřrgen  Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.58 (no red card)

Fw Logan Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.48 (no red card)

Fw Vincenzo Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.63 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kenneth Riley: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.35 (no injury) 
Df Ross Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.84 (no injury) 
Df Stephen Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.06 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.19 (no injury) 
Df Bobby Burton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.15 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.22 (no injury) 
Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.73 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.46 (no injury) 
Mf William Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.76 (no injury) 
Fw Mika Huber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.43 (no injury) 
Fw Solt Novák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.16 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Solt Novák is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Solt Novák new match skill level =  3
      Solt Novák new match total level =  5

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Lewis Alexander: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.03 (no injury) 
Sw David Huber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.18 (no injury) 
Df Nico König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.18 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.71 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.1 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.56 (no injury) 
Df Gareth O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.43 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.13 (no injury) 
Mf Jřrgen  Nguyen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.45 (no injury) 
Fw Logan Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.09 (no injury) 
Fw Vincenzo Sanna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ross Brennan SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Lewis Alexander SL 14

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pedro Fernandes SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kenneth Riley SL 11

     intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         12   0  46  53  18
  Dagenham & Redbridge     14  13  53  22  18

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 53)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 16 ((53 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((46 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Cliff Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Bobby Burton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Ross Brennan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Bobby Burton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Stephen Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Bobby Burton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Patrick Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Patrick Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Francis Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Patrick Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Francis Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Francis Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Patrick Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 64.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Patrick Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Francis Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Francis Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     14  13  53  22  18
  Swansea City AFC         12   0  46  53  18

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 46)
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 53) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 12 ((53 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Nico König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 94.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Benjamin Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Oliver Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 61.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Benjamin Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 66.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Nico König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 93.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Gareth O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 20.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Benjamin Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Oliver Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Oliver Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 36.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Benjamin Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 11.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Df Oliver Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Df Nico König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 1  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 2
 
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