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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           CHESTERFIELD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Sean Honeybun           7    2    9     Gk Rhys Murray            16    2   18
Df George Mason           11    2   13     Sw Alvaro Marin           13    1   14
Df Fabian Schmitz         10    2   12     Df Gerardo  Segura        13   -1   12
Df Cliff Ellis             9    2   11     Df Jake Harewood          11    0   11
Df Ross Brennan            7    2    9     Df Cristian Abreu          9    2   11
Mf Shay  Lindsay          10    2   12     Df Svend Strand            7    2    9
Mf Jonas Neuville         10    2   12     Mf Cameron Grant          10    1   11
Mf Douglas Carvalho        7    2    9     Mf John Stewart            7    2    9
Mf Francis Reynolds        6    2    8     Fw Young Ja  Kim          13    0   13
Fw Steven Milner          13    2   15     Fw Laurence Johnston      12    1   13
Fw Scott Murray            9    2   11     Fw Mustapha Tazi          11    0   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 45 41 26        ROSTER TOTALS      18 14 43 20 37    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  0 45 50 26         T O T A L S       18 14 43 20 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sean Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.96 (no red card)

Df George Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.84 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.43 (no red card)

Df Cliff Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.9 (no second yellow)

Df Ross Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.3 (no red card)

Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.31 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.76 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.05 (no red card)

Mf Francis Reynolds: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.1 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.64 (no red card)

Fw Scott Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.97 (no red card)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.39 (no red card)

Sw Alvaro Marin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.13 (no red card)

Df Gerardo  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.53 (no red card)

Df Jake Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.82 (no red card)

Df Cristian Abreu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.88 (no red card)

Df Svend Strand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.5 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Grant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.03 (no red card)

Mf John Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.33 (no red card)

Fw Young Ja  Kim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.12 (no red card)

Fw Laurence Johnston: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.32 (no red card)

Fw Mustapha Tazi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.29 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sean Honeybun: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.49 (no injury) 
Df George Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.24 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.99 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.7 (no injury) 
Df Ross Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.14 (no injury) 
Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.27 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.3 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.54 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.99 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.17 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.74 (no injury) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 38.19 (no injury) 
Sw Alvaro Marin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.62 (no injury) 
Df Gerardo  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.84 (no injury) 
Df Jake Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.51 (no injury) 
Df Cristian Abreu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.19 (no injury) 
Df Svend Strand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.66 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Grant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.0 (no injury) 
Mf John Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.13 (no injury) 
Fw Young Ja  Kim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.62 (no injury) 
Fw Laurence Johnston: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.65 (no injury) 
Fw Mustapha Tazi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Steven Milner SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Rhys Murray SL 16

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gerardo  Segura SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Sean Honeybun SL 7

     intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         9   0  45  50  26
  Chesterfield FC          18  14  43  20  37

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 43)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 15 ((50 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((45 - 37) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Cliff Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Cliff Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jonas Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Francis Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Francis Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 41.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          18  14  43  20  37
  Swansea City AFC         9   0  45  50  26

Swansea City AFC is using Offside Trap!
Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 45)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 6 ((43 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Cristian Abreu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 7.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Jake Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Svend Strand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Svend Strand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 79.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Jake Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 80.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Svend Strand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 0  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 2
 
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