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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tom Lang               14    1   15     Gk Kian Trickelbank       12    2   14
Df Matthew Martin         10    1   11     Df Harold Jenkins          9    2   11
Df Sean Anderson           7    2    9     Df Harrison Porter         6    2    8
Df Guillaume Mallet        6    2    8     Df Cliff Palmer            3    2    5
Mf Rhys Davidson          13    1   14     Mf Carleton Thomas        10    1   11
Mf Patrick Torres          6    2    8     Mf Joe Brides              8    1    9
Mf Matty Gerrard           6    2    8     Mf Algernon Pike           6   -2    4
Fw Oliver Duckworth       13    1   14     Mf Sveinur Laursen         3    2    5
Fw Love Sundström         10    2   12     Fw Jules Baudet            6    2    8
Fw Aleksei Novikov        10    2   12     Fw Jake Shrimpton          6    2    8
Fw Nathan Rivet            6    2    8     Fw Amine Lhomme            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 28 30 46        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 24 29 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  6  1  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 28 30 55         T O T A L S       15  0 30 30 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tom Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.79 (no red card)

Df Matthew Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.37 (no red card)

Df Sean Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.85 (no red card)

Df Guillaume Mallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.43 (no red card)

Mf Rhys Davidson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.48 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.05 (no red card)

Mf Matty Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.48 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.96 (no red card)

Fw Love Sundström: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.67 (no red card)

Fw Aleksei Novikov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.38 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Rivet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.55 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 47.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 43.1 (no red card)

Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 49.3 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 39.57 (no red card)

Df Cliff Palmer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 58.05 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 90.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 16.91 (no red card)

Mf Joe Brides: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 1.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 38.49 (no second yellow)

Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 31.12 (no red card)

Mf Sveinur Laursen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 41.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 18.1 (no red card)

Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 83.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 85.85 (no red card)

Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 77.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 61.73 (no red card)

Fw Amine Lhomme: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 87.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 2.26 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Tom Lang: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 51.82 (no injury) 
Df Matthew Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.17 (no injury) 
Df Sean Anderson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.03 (no injury) 
Df Guillaume Mallet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.63 (no injury) 
Mf Rhys Davidson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Rhys Davidson is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.58 (no injury) 
Mf Matty Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.41 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Duckworth: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.04 (no injury) 
Fw Love Sundström: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.9 (no injury) 
Fw Aleksei Novikov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.71 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Rivet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.93 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 94.85 (no injury) 
Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.34 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.73 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.19 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.48 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Brides: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.39 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.68 (no injury) 
Mf Sveinur Laursen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.81 (no injury) 
Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.28 (no injury) 
Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.23 (no injury) 
Fw Amine Lhomme: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.15 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Rhys Davidson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carleton Thomas SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Tom Lang SL 14

     intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             15   0  28  30  55
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15   0  30  30  21

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 13 (55 - 30) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 2 ((28 - 21) / 5); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Guillaume Mallet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Guillaume Mallet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Nathan Rivet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Aleksei Novikov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Nathan Rivet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Aleksei Novikov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Aleksei Novikov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Aleksei Novikov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 82.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Nathan Rivet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Oliver Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Aleksei Novikov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 92.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Nathan Rivet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 24.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Aleksei Novikov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15   0  30  30  21
  Brentford FC             15   0  28  30  55

Brentford FC is using Offside Trap!
Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 28)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 55) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 2  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
This will be a tough game to get anything out of....
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 08/18 - 4:43 PM
We weren't sure if we'd ever get anything past Trickelbank...
Allan (Brentford FC) 08/18 - 6:44 PM
yes we held out well for a while.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 08/19 - 8:41 AM
 
 
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