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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       CARDIFF CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Rhys MacDonald         10    0   10     Gk Gerry McDermott        13    0   13
Sw Sean Moore             16    1   17     Sw Juan Palomo Vera       11    1   12
Df Marius Hagen           13    1   14     Df Jed Jones              11    2   13
Df Hugo George             8    1    9     Df Jack Milner             5    2    7
Df Aaron Sutherland        6    2    8     Df Samuel Moore            5    2    7
Mf Jayden Campbell        10    1   11     Mf Archie Thwaite         12    0   12
Mf Erling Holm             6    2    8     Mf Christopher Holland     5    2    7
Fw Mark Scott             10    1   11     Fw Tom Hart               11    1   12
Fw Ellis McAllister        9    1   10     Fw Ahmed Akhrif           11    2   13
Fw Damien Gautier          6    2    8     Fw Aaron Cockayne          5    2    7
Fw Harvey Cooper           6    2    8     Fw Joaquin  Rodríguez      2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 17 31 19 37        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 27 19 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 17 40 19 37         T O T A L S       13 12 27 19 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rhys MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.09 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Rhys MacDonald new match skill level =  5
      Rhys MacDonald new match total level =  5

Sw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.65 (no red card)

Df Marius Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.43 (no red card)

Df Hugo George: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.31 (no second yellow)

Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.42 (no red card)

Mf Jayden Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.24 (no red card)

Mf Erling Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.08 (no red card)

Fw Mark Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.64 (no red card)

Fw Ellis McAllister: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.01 (no red card)

Fw Damien Gautier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.7 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.39 (no red card)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.83 (no red card)

Sw Juan Palomo Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.28 (no red card)

Df Jed Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.2 (no red card)

Df Jack Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.86 (no red card)

Df Samuel Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.73 (no red card)

Mf Archie Thwaite: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.01 (no second yellow)

Mf Christopher Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.63 (no red card)

Fw Tom Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.61 (no red card)

Fw Ahmed Akhrif: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.92 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.24 (no red card)

Fw Joaquin  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rhys MacDonald: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 8.84 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.91 (no injury) 
Df Marius Hagen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.24 (no injury) 
Df Hugo George: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.61 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.24 (no injury) 
Mf Jayden Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.72 (no injury) 
Mf Erling Holm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.25 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.87 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis McAllister: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.89 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Gautier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.04 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.7 (no injury) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 38.84 (no injury) 
Sw Juan Palomo Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.97 (no injury) 
Df Jed Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.95 (no injury) 
Df Jack Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.19 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.57 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Thwaite: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.35 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Holland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.03 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Hart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.04 (no injury) 
Fw Ahmed Akhrif: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.71 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.16 (no injury) 
Fw Joaquin  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.58 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marius Hagen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Gerry McDermott SL 13

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Archie Thwaite SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Rhys MacDonald SL 5

     intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     5  17  40  19  37
  Cardiff City FC          13  12  27  19  36

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 10 (37 - 27); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 2 ((40 - 36) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Hugo George
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Marius Hagen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Damien Gautier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Damien Gautier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Damien Gautier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          13  12  27  19  36
  Preston North End FC     5  17  40  19  37

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 40)
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 0  -  CARDIFF CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Tactical mistake by the Bluebirds not to put any shots at MacDonald. :-)
Allan (Brentford FC) 08/11 - 6:55 PM
And MacDonald also sent off...
Allan (Brentford FC) 08/11 - 6:56 PM
 
 
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