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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Rhys MacDonald         16    2   18     Gk Mika Schmidt           16    2   18
Sw Sean Moore             17    2   19     Sw Danny Campbell         16    2   18
Df Marius Hagen           14    2   16     Df Allan Stephens         13    2   15
Df Shay  Walton           14    2   16     Df Gregg Bunyan           10    2   12
Mf Kieran Warren          17    1   18     Mf Theo Fisher            10    2   12
Mf Rodrigo Ronaldo        17    0   17     Mf Ellis Lindsay          10    2   12
Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg      16    1   17     Mf Leon Ludley             5    2    7
Fw Ellis McAllister       15    2   17     Fw Angel Vazquez          10    0   10
Fw Tom Hughes             12    2   14     Fw Devon McDermott         8    2   10
Fw Douglass Bryant         9   -2    7     Fw Luis Perea              8    2   10
Fw Mark Scott              5    2    7     Fw Carlton Mitchell        5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 19 32 35 62        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 27 31 37    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 19 32 35 71         T O T A L S       18 18 27 31 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rhys MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.74 (no red card)

Sw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.26 (no red card)

Df Marius Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.1 (no red card)

Df Shay  Walton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.57 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Warren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.79 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Ronaldo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.12 (no red card)

Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.8 (no red card)

Fw Ellis McAllister: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.67 (no red card)

Fw Tom Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.61 (no red card)

Fw Douglass Bryant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.78 (no red card)

Fw Mark Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.31 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mika Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.61 (no red card)

Sw Danny Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.59 (no red card)

Df Allan Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.14 (no red card)

Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.92 (no red card)

Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.73 (no red card)

Mf Ellis Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.93 (no red card)

Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.41 (no red card)

Fw Angel Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.73 (no red card)

Fw Devon McDermott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.7 (no red card)

Fw Luis Perea: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.3 (no second yellow)

Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rhys MacDonald: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 79.97 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.02 (no injury) 
Df Marius Hagen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.01 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Walton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.42 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Warren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.88 (no injury) 
Mf Rodrigo Ronaldo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.64 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Rodrigo Ronaldo is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Rodrigo Ronaldo new match skill level =  9
      Rodrigo Ronaldo new match total level =  9
Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.77 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis McAllister: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.0 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.37 (no injury) 
Fw Douglass Bryant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.23 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.05 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mika Schmidt: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.54 (no injury) 
Sw Danny Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.82 (no injury) 
Df Allan Stephens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.02 (no injury) 
Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.2 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.02 (no injury) 
Mf Ellis Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.7 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.34 (no injury) 
Fw Angel Vazquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.42 (no injury) 
Fw Devon McDermott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.76 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Perea: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.26 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.39 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kieran Warren SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Mika Schmidt SL 16

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Allan Stephens SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Rhys MacDonald SL 16

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     20  19  32  27  71
  Queens Park Rangers      18  18  27  31  37

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 44 (71 - 27); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 44

1: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Douglass Bryant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Tom Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Tom Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Douglass Bryant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 39.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Douglass Bryant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Tom Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Douglass Bryant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Douglass Bryant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Tom Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
34: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
36: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
37: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Tom Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Douglass Bryant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw Stewart Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
42: Attack for Fw Douglass Bryant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
43: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
44: Attack for Fw Tom Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  18  27  31  37
  Preston North End FC     20  19  32  27  71

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 5 (37 - 32); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 2 ((31 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 71) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Ellis Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Theo Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 92.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Luis Perea
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Luis Perea
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 9.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 2  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1
 
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Simon (Northampton Town FC) 01/27 - 6:26 PM
 
 
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