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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Louie Parsons          16   -1   15     Gk Alvin Jonasson         16    2   18
Sw Pedro Muñoz            15    2   17     Sw Joseph Smalls          15    2   17
Df Reidar Myklebust       14    2   16     Df Martin Giles           14    0   14
Df Archie Jankel          12    1   13     Df Xavier Muñoz           12    1   13
Mf Joe Taylor             15    1   16     Df Lucas Duckworth        11    1   12
Mf Joe Crowley            10    2   12     Df Stewart Lester          4    2    6
Fw Santiago Romero        16    1   17     Mf Nigel Ruddle            9    2   11
Fw Freddie Bunyan         15    2   17     Mf Mason Mitchell          5    2    7
Fw Euan Shaw              17   -2   15     Fw Owen Fitzgerald        16   -1   15
Fw Ezequiel  González     11    1   12     Fw Paul Drinkwater        14    2   16
Fw Luca Schmid             5   -1    4     Fw Luis  Herrera          13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 17 29 28 65        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 45 18 45    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 17 29 28 74         T O T A L S       18 17 45 18 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Louie Parsons: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.125% | Random number = 94.22 (no second yellow)

Sw Pedro Muñoz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 10.47 (no red card)

Df Reidar Myklebust: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 60.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 21.79 (no red card)

Df Archie Jankel: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 77.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 38.83 (no red card)

Mf Joe Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 50.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 28.82 (no red card)

Mf Joe Crowley: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 83.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 85.94 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Romero: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 50.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 39.3 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 87.61 (no red card)

Fw Euan Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 59.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 8.9 (no red card)

Fw Ezequiel  González: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 5.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 40.62 (no second yellow)

Fw Luca Schmid: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 46.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 63.2 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alvin Jonasson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.64 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.52 (no red card)

Df Martin Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.9 (no red card)

Df Xavier Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.05 (no red card)

Df Lucas Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.19 (no red card)

Df Stewart Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.79 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.89 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.89 (no red card)

Fw Owen Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.75 (no red card)

Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.69 (no red card)

Fw Luis  Herrera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Louie Parsons: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 72.23 (no injury) 
Sw Pedro Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.74 (no injury) 
Df Reidar Myklebust: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.62 (no injury) 
Df Archie Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.83 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.09 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Crowley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.52 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Romero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.84 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.56 (no injury) 
Fw Euan Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.75 (no injury) 
Fw Ezequiel  González: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.43 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.67 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alvin Jonasson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 20.72 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.93 (no injury) 
Df Martin Giles: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.61 (no injury) 
Df Xavier Muñoz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.58 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Duckworth: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.71 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Lester: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.98 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.56 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.08 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.35 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.01 (no injury) 
Fw Luis  Herrera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Euan Shaw SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Alvin Jonasson SL 16

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Owen Fitzgerald SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Louie Parsons SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          19  17  29  28  74
  Nottingham Forest        18  17  45  18  45

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 29 (74 - 45); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 5 ((28 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Mf Joe Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Joe Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Joe Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Joe Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Euan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Euan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Euan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Euan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Euan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Euan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
30: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Ezequiel  González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Euan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
33: Attack for Fw Euan Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        18  17  45  18  45
  Tranmere Rovers          19  17  29  28  74

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 16 (45 - 29); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 74) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Owen Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Owen Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Owen Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Owen Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Luis  Herrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Luis  Herrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Luis  Herrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 74.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Owen Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Luis  Herrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Owen Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Luis  Herrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Luis  Herrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 6  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
Match Notes
Uhmm
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 01/27 - 6:26 PM
No idea why we managed to thrash Forest like that.
Alon (Tranmere Rovers) 02/03 - 9:53 AM
 
 
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