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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Billy Lampard           9    2   11     Gk Eduardo Parra          17   -1   16
Sw Anton Andersen         16    0   16     Df Ethan Barry            15    1   16
Df Riley Russel           15    0   15     Df Daniele Boga           15    2   17
Df Charles Clapinson      12    1   13     Df Emilio Muñoz            9    2   11
Df Jeffrey Giles          11    2   13     Mf Jed Lindsay            14    2   16
Df Tomaj Bodnár            9    1   10     Mf Max Chapman            13    2   15
Mf Jon  Solheim           13    0   13     Mf Luís Alves              8    2   10
Mf Ashton Hamilton        10    2   12     Fw Aarron Brudenell       18    2   20
Fw Simon Combe            19    0   19     Fw Agostino Barbieri      14    2   16
Fw Abe Austin             15    0   15     Fw Scott Thomson          14    2   16
Fw Igor Morozov           12    2   14     Fw Jared Hubbard           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 16 51 25 48        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 44 41 63    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 16 51 25 57         T O T A L S       17  0 44 41 63    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.42 (no red card)

Sw Anton Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.76 (no red card)

Df Riley Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.32 (no red card)

Df Charles Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.5 (no red card)

Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.32 (no red card)

Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.09 (no red card)

Mf Jon  Solheim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.8 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.21 (no red card)

Fw Simon Combe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.72 (no red card)

Fw Abe Austin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.49 (no red card)

Fw Igor Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.13 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 38.93 (no red card)

Df Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 34.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 58.43 (no red card)

Df Daniele Boga: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.73 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 24.96 (no second yellow)

Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 4.02 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 72.16 (no second yellow)

Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 67.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 15.32 (no red card)

Mf Max Chapman: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 72.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 19.36 (no red card)

Mf Luís Alves: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 95.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 61.12 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 57.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 52.12 (no red card)

Fw Agostino Barbieri: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 82.99 (no red card)

Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 4.31 (no red card)

Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 38.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 56.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 40.1 (no injury) 
Sw Anton Andersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.08 (no injury) 
Df Riley Russel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.29 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clapinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.98 (no injury) 
Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.29 (no injury) 
Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.5 (no injury) 
Mf Jon  Solheim: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.26 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jon  Solheim is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Ashton Hamilton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.42 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Combe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.71 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Austin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.97 (no injury) 
Fw Igor Morozov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.95 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 54.13 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.1 (no injury) 
Df Daniele Boga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.11 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.4 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.19 (no injury) 
Mf Max Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.54 (no injury) 
Mf Luís Alves: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.46 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.5 (no injury) 
Fw Agostino Barbieri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.02 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.09 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Combe SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aarron Brudenell SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Billy Lampard SL 9

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          11  16  51  25  57
  Lewes FC                 17   0  44  41  63

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 7 (57 - 44) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Igor Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Igor Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 38.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Igor Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 17   0  44  41  63
  Lincoln City FC          11  16  51  25  57

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 12 (63 - 51); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((41 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 57) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Max Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jed Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 39.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Luís Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Luís Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Max Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Max Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Luís Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 35.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Jed Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 8.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 68.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 14.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 71.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 52.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1  -  LEWES FC 3
 
Match Notes
Need some points to avoid relegation, tall order vs the Evil Empire Lewes.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 10/06 - 1:45 PM
 
 
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