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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gareth Newton          16   -1   15     Gk Declan McAllister      16    1   17
Sw Ye HuŠng               15    2   17     Df Alejandro  Segura      14    0   14
Df Thomas Burgess         15    2   17     Df Paul Brides            14    1   15
Df Anthony Matthews       13    1   14     Df Ivan Guerrero          10    2   12
Df Jay Thomson             9    2   11     Df Juan Jose Saez         10    2   12
Mf Logan Price            14    0   14     Df Oliver Hills            9    2   11
Mf Jake Cooke              9   -1    8     Mf Jermaine Hills         14    1   15
Fw Julian Guerrero        15    0   15     Mf Daniel Martins         13    2   15
Fw Connor Jones           15    1   16     Mf Francis Murphy         11    2   13
Fw Jack Williams          13    2   15     Fw Greg Mason             15    2   17
Fw Manuel Andrade          9   -1    8     Fw Liang Xķ               15    2   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 17 42 22 54        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 64 43 34    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  3  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  5  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 17 42 23 66         T O T A L S       17  0 64 48 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gareth Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.77 (no red card)

Sw Ye HuŠng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.74 (no red card)

Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.02 (no red card)

Df Anthony Matthews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.89 (no red card)

Df Jay Thomson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.04 (no red card)

Mf Logan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.54 (no red card)

Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.73 (no red card)

Fw Julian Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.47 (no red card)

Fw Connor Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.3 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.26 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.55 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Declan McAllister: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.04 (no red card)

Df Alejandro  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.23 (no red card)

Df Paul Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.23 (no red card)

Df Ivan Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.09 (no red card)

Df Juan Jose Saez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.25 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.06 (no red card)

Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.41 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.44 (no red card)

Mf Francis Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.68 (no red card)

Fw Greg Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.08 (no red card)

Fw Liang Xķ: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gareth Newton: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 54.85 (no injury) 
Sw Ye HuŠng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.39 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.85 (no injury) 
Df Anthony Matthews: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.57 (no injury) 
Df Jay Thomson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.73 (no injury) 
Mf Logan Price: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.72 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.86 (no injury) 
Fw Julian Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.33 (no injury) 
Fw Connor Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.94 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.15 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.58 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Declan McAllister: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.81 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.99 (no injury) 
Df Paul Brides: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.69 (no injury) 
Df Ivan Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.26 (no injury) 
Df Juan Jose Saez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.59 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.45 (no injury) 
Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.78 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Martins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.76 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.72 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.54 (no injury) 
Fw Liang Xķ: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Burgess SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Declan McAllister SL 16

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Greg Mason SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Newton SL 16

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             15  17  42  23  66
  Bristol City FC          17   0  64  48  34

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 1 (66 - 64) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 3 ((42 - 34) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Jay Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Anthony Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Thomas Burgess
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          17   0  64  48  34
  Port Vale FC             15  17  42  23  66

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 42)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 13 ((48 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((64 - 66) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Francis Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Francis Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 74.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Francis Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Francis Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 2.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Francis Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 70.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Francis Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Francis Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 88.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 1  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 2
 
Match Notes
Good win. Maybe there is hope for next season.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 01/29 - 9:17 PM
 
 
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