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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eduardo Parra          17   -2   15     Gk Kuan-Yin Sun            9    2   11
Sw Ethan Barry            17    1   18     Sw Sean Peverell          15    2   17
Df Daniele Boga           14    2   16     Df Reece Hutchinson       13    2   15
Df Emilio Muñoz            9    2   11     Df Samuel Bogaerts        13    2   15
Mf Jed Lindsay            13    2   15     Df Mohamed Cherkaoui       9    2   11
Mf Luís Alves              8    2   10     Df Benjamin Bell           4    2    6
Fw Aarron Brudenell       18    2   20     Mf Lewis Young            14    2   16
Fw Scott Thomson          14    2   16     Mf Emile Bateman           9    2   11
Fw Agostino Barbieri      13    2   15     Mf Mohamed Durieux         4    2    6
Fw Luca Milner             9   -1    8     Fw Noah Carroll            9    2   11
Fw Jared Hubbard           9    2   11     Fw Harley Morrissey        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 18 27 25 70        ROSTER TOTALS      11 17 47 33 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 18 36 25 70         T O T A L S       14 17 54 33 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.2 (no red card)

Sw Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.4 (no red card)

Df Daniele Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.91 (no red card)

Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.3 (no red card)

Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.02 (no red card)

Mf Luís Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.42 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.22 (no red card)

Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.42 (no red card)

Fw Agostino Barbieri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.85 (no red card)

Fw Luca Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.98 (no red card)

Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.5 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.33 (no red card)

Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.25 (no red card)

Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.75 (no red card)

Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.18 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.7 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.2 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.81 (no red card)

Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.23 (no red card)

Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.07 (no red card)

Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.31 (no red card)

Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.64 (no injury) 
Sw Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.18 (no injury) 
Df Daniele Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.55 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.95 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.24 (no injury) 
Mf Luís Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.13 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.07 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.66 (no injury) 
Fw Agostino Barbieri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.17 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.94 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.52 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.2 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.6 (no injury) 
Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.17 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.99 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.8 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.95 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.91 (no injury) 
Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.3 (no injury) 
Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.51 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.28 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aarron Brudenell SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Kuan-Yin Sun SL 9

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lewis Young SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 17

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 15  18  36  25  70
  Carlisle United          14  17  54  33  17

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 16 (70 - 54); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 7 ((36 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Emilio Muñoz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Emilio Muñoz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Daniele Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 77.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Daniele Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Emilio Muñoz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 74.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Daniele Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Emilio Muñoz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 85.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          14  17  54  33  17
  Lewes FC                 15  18  36  25  70

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 36)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((33 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 70) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Lewis Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Lewis Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 3.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 3  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
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