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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Laurence James         16    2   18     Gk Warre Michiels          9    2   11
Sw Oscar Ford             11    2   13     Sw Danny Campbell         16    2   18
Df Brandon McAdam         13    2   15     Df Owen Shilton           14    2   16
Df Kristian Hagen         11    2   13     Df Gregg Bunyan            9    2   11
Df Jonas Zimmermann        9    2   11     Df William Michaud         5    2    7
Mf Douglas Carvalho       14    2   16     Mf Ollie Reed             14    2   16
Mf Ben Neuville           14    2   16     Mf Theo Fisher             9    2   11
Mf William Martin          9    2   11     Mf Leon Ludley             5    2    7
Mf Lilian Menard           9    1   10     Fw Harvey Shepherd        15    2   17
Fw Luis Guerrero          13    2   15     Fw Peter Cruz              9    1   10
Fw Elliot Baker           12    2   14     Fw Carlton Mitchell        5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 13 39 53 29        ROSTER TOTALS      11 18 34 34 34    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  2  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 13 39 62 31         T O T A L S       11 18 34 34 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Laurence James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.8 (no red card)

Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.8 (no red card)

Df Brandon McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.6 (no red card)

Df Kristian Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.39 (no red card)

Df Jonas Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.93 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.57 (no red card)

Mf Ben Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.02 (no red card)

Mf William Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.74 (no red card)

Mf Lilian Menard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.92 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.64 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.67 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.47 (no red card)

Sw Danny Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.48 (no red card)

Df Owen Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.87 (no red card)

Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.16 (no red card)

Df William Michaud: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.78 (no red card)

Mf Ollie Reed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.58 (no red card)

Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.29 (no red card)

Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.46 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.31 (no red card)

Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.9 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.77 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Laurence James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 53.63 (no injury) 
Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.88 (no injury) 
Df Brandon McAdam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.43 (no injury) 
Df Kristian Hagen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.93 (no injury) 
Df Jonas Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.55 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.18 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.7 (no injury) 
Mf William Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.66 (no injury) 
Mf Lilian Menard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.43 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.79 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.94 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.99 (no injury) 
Sw Danny Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.61 (no injury) 
Df Owen Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.54 (no injury) 
Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.87 (no injury) 
Df William Michaud: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.5 (no injury) 
Mf Ollie Reed: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.38 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.08 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.23 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.52 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.2 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.37 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Douglas Carvalho SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Warre Michiels SL 9

     intRndPk = 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Shepherd SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Laurence James SL 16

     intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         18  13  39  62  31
  Queens Park Rangers      11  18  34  34  34

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 34)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 14 ((62 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((39 - 34) / 3); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Brandon McAdam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Kristian Hagen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 74.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Lilian Menard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Douglas Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      11  18  34  34  34
  Swansea City AFC         18  13  39  62  31

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 39)
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 62) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 1 ((34 - 31) / 3); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Owen Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 1  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
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