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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kenny Lampard          16    0   16     Gk Billy Rooney           15    2   17
Df Anton Andersen         13    0   13     Sw Sean Peverell           9    2   11
Df Wayne Russel           13    1   14     Df Samuel Bogaerts        15    2   17
Df Charles Clapinson      12    2   14     Df Angelo Tosato          13    2   15
Df Jeffrey Giles           9    2   11     Df Mohamed Cherkaoui       4    2    6
Df Riley Russel            9    2   11     Mf Finn Brown             15    2   17
Mf Mason MacKenzie        12    0   12     Mf Lewis Young             9    2   11
Mf Jon† Solheim            9    2   11     Fw Nigel Nicholson        15    2   17
Mf Jacob Russell           4    2    6     Fw Leon Stevens           17    2   19
Mf Simon Combe            14    0   14     Fw Tobias Mayer           10    0   10
Fw Igor Morozov           19   -2   17     Fw Kyle Bruce              9    1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 63 43 17        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 38 28 56    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  7  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       4  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 63 50 19         T O T A L S       17 13 38 28 56    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenny Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.3 (no red card)

Df Anton Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.97 (no red card)

Df Wayne Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.59 (no red card)

Df Charles Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.59 (no red card)

Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.6 (no red card)

Df Riley Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.73 (no red card)

Mf Mason MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.05 (no red card)

Mf Jon† Solheim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.18 (no red card)

Mf Jacob Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.68 (no red card)

Mf Simon Combe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.51 (no red card)

Fw Igor Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.14 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Igor Morozov new match skill level =  10
      Igor Morozov new match total level =  8

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.41 (no red card)

Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.42 (no red card)

Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.02 (no red card)

Df Angelo Tosato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.51 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.94 (no red card)

Mf Finn Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.2 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.05 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.11 (no red card)

Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.04 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Mayer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.03 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.69 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.58 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kenny Lampard: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.35 (no injury) 
Df Anton Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.48 (no injury) 
Df Wayne Russel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.86 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clapinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.28 (no injury) 
Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.02 (no injury) 
Df Riley Russel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.28 (no injury) 
Mf Mason MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.45 (no injury) 
Mf Jon† Solheim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.47 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.11 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Combe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.68 (no injury) 
Fw Igor Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.35 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.67 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.65 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.61 (no injury) 
Df Angelo Tosato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.65 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no injury) 
Mf Finn Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.17 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Finn Brown is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Lewis Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.15 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.27 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.02 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.68 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Combe SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Billy Rooney SL 15

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leon Stevens SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kenny Lampard SL 16

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          20   0  63  50  10
  Carlisle United          17  13  38  28  56

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (10 - 38)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((50 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((63 - 56) / 5); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Wayne Russel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Charles Clapinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Mason MacKenzie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Mason MacKenzie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Jacob Russell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Mason MacKenzie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jon† Solheim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Mason MacKenzie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  13  38  28  56
  Lincoln City FC          20   0  63  50  10

Lincoln City FC is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (56 - 63)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 10 ((38 - 10) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Samuel Bogaerts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Samuel Bogaerts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Mohamed Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Mohamed Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Angelo Tosato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 82.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Samuel Bogaerts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 10.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Samuel Bogaerts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 3.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Mohamed Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 88.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Df Angelo Tosato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 40.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Samuel Bogaerts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 16.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 0  -  CARLISLE UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
Desperately need a W to keep relegation at bay.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/19 - 5:09 PM
Best of luck, Dave, you are having a strong season!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/19 - 5:09 PM
Thanks Mike, fair to say we had some luck there. Never had a season like this one since taking over Carlisle.
Dave (Carlisle United) 05/20 - 4:07 AM
 
 
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