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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert O'Neil          16    2   18     Gk Alvin Jonasson         16    2   18
Sw Ethan Barry            16    2   18     Sw Joseph Smalls          15    2   17
Df Stewart Howells        13    2   15     Df Martin Giles           13    0   13
Df Daniele Boga            9    2   11     Df Lucas Duckworth        11    1   12
Fw Jack Byrne             14    2   16     Df Stewart Lester          4    2    6
Mf Archie Doyle           12    1   13     Mf Alan Ramirez           13    0   13
Mf Benjamin Moore          9    2   11     Mf Michael Campbell       12    1   13
Fw Todd Moore             15    2   17     Mf Nigel Ruddle            8    2   10
Fw Morgan Morris          12    2   14     Mf Mason Mitchell          4    2    6
Fw Scott Thomson           9    2   11     Fw Owen Fitzgerald        16   -1   15
Fw Aarron Brudenell        9    2   11     Fw Paul Drinkwater        13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 26 24 69        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 31 42 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 26 26 76         T O T A L S       18 22 33 42 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.6 (no red card)

Sw Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.95 (no red card)

Df Stewart Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.27 (no second yellow)

Df Daniele Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.07 (no red card)

Fw Jack Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.87 (no red card)

Mf Archie Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.69 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.06 (no red card)

Fw Todd Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.87 (no red card)

Fw Morgan Morris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.57 (no second yellow)

Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.07 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.99 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alvin Jonasson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.68 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.88 (no red card)

Df Martin Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.65 (no red card)

Df Lucas Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.89 (no red card)

Df Stewart Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.16 (no red card)

Mf Alan Ramirez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.15 (no red card)

Mf Michael Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.09 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.11 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.98 (no red card)

Fw Owen Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.16 (no red card)

Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.87 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Robert O'Neil: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.04 (no injury) 
Sw Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.12 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.22 (no injury) 
Df Daniele Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.24 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.93 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.39 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.77 (no injury) 
Fw Todd Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.21 (no injury) 
Fw Morgan Morris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.33 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.49 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.45 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alvin Jonasson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 80.88 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.83 (no injury) 
Df Martin Giles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.52 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.64 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Lester: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.45 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Ramirez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.86 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.42 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.96 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.35 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.83 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.45 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Todd Moore SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Alvin Jonasson SL 16

     intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Owen Fitzgerald SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Robert O'Neil SL 16

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 18  18  26  26  76
  Nottingham Forest        18  22  33  42  30

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 43 (76 - 33); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 43

1: Attack for Fw Morgan Morris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Morgan Morris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Morgan Morris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Morgan Morris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Morgan Morris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Morgan Morris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Morgan Morris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 50.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Morgan Morris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 74 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw Jack Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 73 (Sw stopped attack) 
42: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
43: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        18  22  33  42  30
  Lewes FC                 18  18  26  26  76

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 2 (30 - 26) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 4 ((42 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 76) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Michael Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Michael Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 2  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
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