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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Archie Harewood        15    2   17     Gk Billy Lampard           9    2   11
Sw Pedro Muńoz            16    2   18     Sw Anton Andersen         16    0   16
Df Reidar Myklebust       13    1   14     Df Charles Clapinson      11    1   12
Df Peter Lee              10    2   12     Df Jeffrey Giles          10    2   12
Mf Kyle McAdam            14    2   16     Df Tomaj Bodnár            9    2   11
Mf Joe Taylor             10    2   12     Df Andy Whiteside          4    2    6
Fw Afonso Ribeiro         16    1   17     Df Mason MacKenzie         8    2   10
Fw Juan Manuel Castro     13    2   15     Df Ashton Hamilton         8    2   10
Fw Luca Schmid            13    2   15     Mf Ryan Lennon             4    2    6
Fw Freddie Bunyan         16    2   18     Mf Simon Combe            17    0   17
Fw Santiago Romero        12    1   13     Fw Abe Austin             15    0   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 18 26 28 78        ROSTER TOTALS      11 16 61 23 15    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  3  0  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 29 28 84         T O T A L S       11 16 68 23 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 7.09 (no red card)

Sw Pedro Muńoz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 10.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 72.73 (no red card)

Df Reidar Myklebust: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 38.95 (no second yellow)

Df Peter Lee: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 54.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 29.97 (no red card)

Mf Kyle McAdam: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 89.12 (no red card)

Mf Joe Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 18.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 50.53 (no red card)

Fw Afonso Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 76.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 37.93 (no red card)

Fw Juan Manuel Castro: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 24.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 42.59 (no red card)

Fw Luca Schmid: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 19.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 2.2 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 1.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 80.62 (no second yellow)

Fw Santiago Romero: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 26.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 31.96 (no red card)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.18 (no red card)

Sw Anton Andersen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 28.17 (no red card)

Df Charles Clapinson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 76.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 59.18 (no red card)

Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 11.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 52.56 (no red card)

Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 18.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 11.89 (no red card)

Df Andy Whiteside: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 50.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 4.42 (no red card)

Df Mason MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 89.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 85.8 (no red card)

Df Ashton Hamilton: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 35.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 19.79 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 20.19 (no red card)

Mf Simon Combe: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 97.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 49.46 (no red card)

Fw Abe Austin: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 10.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 39.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 82.49 (no injury) 
Sw Pedro Muńoz: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 82.63 (no injury) 
Df Reidar Myklebust: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 28.78 (no injury) 
Df Peter Lee: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 10.37 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle McAdam: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 79.06 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Taylor: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 90.45 (no injury) 
Fw Afonso Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 48.4 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Manuel Castro: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 76.14 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Schmid: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 62.93 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Bunyan: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 45.07 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Romero: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 21.8 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 77.87 (no injury) 
Sw Anton Andersen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 86.59 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clapinson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 60.05 (no injury) 
Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 3.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Jeffrey Giles is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Jeffrey Giles new match skill level =  5
      Jeffrey Giles new match total level =  7
Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 1.88 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Tomaj Bodnár is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Tomaj Bodnár new match skill level =  5
      Tomaj Bodnár new match total level =  7
Df Andy Whiteside: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 60.42 (no injury) 
Df Mason MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 73.27 (no injury) 
Df Ashton Hamilton: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 65.16 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 39.56 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Combe: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 35.94 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Austin: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 33.66 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Afonso Ribeiro SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Billy Lampard SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Combe SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Archie Harewood SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          18  18  29  28  84
  Lincoln City FC          11  16  59  23  17

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 25 (84 - 59); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 3 ((28 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 4 ((29 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Df Peter Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Reidar Myklebust
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Peter Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 7.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Reidar Myklebust
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Kyle McAdam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Joe Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Kyle McAdam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 1.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 43.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 67.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 3.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 65.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 56.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 41.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 68.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          11  16  59  23  17
  Tranmere Rovers          18  18  29  28  84

Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 29)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((59 - 84) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 3  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 0
 
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