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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Facundo Aguilar        15    2   17     Gk Diego Negri             7    2    9
Sw Sean Moore             18   -1   17     Sw Ethan Barry            17    1   18
Df Marius Hagen           13    2   15     Df Daniele Boga           14    2   16
Df Namir  Katz            12    2   14     Df Bradley Marsh          11    2   13
Mf Kieran Warren          17    1   18     Df Emilio Muñoz            9    2   11
Mf Erling Holm             9    2   11     Mf Jed Lindsay            13    2   15
Fw Rafael Souza           17    2   19     Df Max Chapman            11    2   13
Fw Luke White             15    1   16     Mf Luís Alves              8    2   10
Fw Jared Brown            13    2   15     Mf Aarron Brudenell       16    2   18
Fw Mark Scott             13    2   15     Fw Luca Milner             9   -1    8
Fw Harvey Cooper           9    1   10     Fw Jared Hubbard           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 17 29 29 75        ROSTER TOTALS       9 18 53 43 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 17 29 29 84         T O T A L S        9 23 55 43 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Facundo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.67 (no red card)

Sw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.4 (no red card)

Df Marius Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.32 (no red card)

Df Namir  Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.19 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Warren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.99 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.28 (no second yellow)

Mf Erling Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.46 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.97 (no red card)

Fw Luke White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.13 (no red card)

Fw Jared Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.42 (no red card)

Fw Mark Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.58 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.88 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Diego Negri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.79 (no red card)

Sw Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.33 (no red card)

Df Daniele Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.15 (no red card)

Df Bradley Marsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.16 (no red card)

Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.16 (no red card)

Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.9 (no red card)

Df Max Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.78 (no red card)

Mf Luís Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.42 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.2 (no red card)

Fw Luca Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.37 (no second yellow)

Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Facundo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 23.49 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.62 (no injury) 
Df Marius Hagen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.66 (no injury) 
Df Namir  Katz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.81 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Warren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.04 (no injury) 
Mf Erling Holm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.76 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.59 (no injury) 
Fw Luke White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.07 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.26 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.59 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.84 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Diego Negri: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 54.14 (no injury) 
Sw Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.26 (no injury) 
Df Daniele Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.96 (no injury) 
Df Bradley Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.3 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.94 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.53 (no injury) 
Df Max Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.77 (no injury) 
Mf Luís Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.3 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.23 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.75 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kieran Warren SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Diego Negri SL 7

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aarron Brudenell SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Facundo Aguilar SL 15

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     17  17  29  29  84
  Lewes FC                 9  23  55  43  19

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 29 (84 - 55); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 4 ((29 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Df Marius Hagen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Marius Hagen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Namir  Katz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Namir  Katz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 75 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 55.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 45.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 70 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 94.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 51.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 76% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 1.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 9  23  55  43  19
  Preston North End FC     17  17  29  29  84

Lewes FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 29)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((43 - 29) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((55 - 84) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Jed Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jed Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
Waiting to see whether Dave will play the V/7 or the SBY at GK.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 09/29 - 6:00 PM
There is no doubt anymore - the Olmec software HATES us!
Ian (Preston North End FC) 09/29 - 6:13 PM
Oh, that's terrible. Poor PNE! Lewes seem to be in favor.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 09/29 - 9:10 PM
 
 
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