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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matías Abreu           16    2   18     Gk Kenny Lampard          16    0   16
Sw Pedro Muñoz            16    2   18     Df Anton Andersen         13    0   13
Df Peter Lee               9    2   11     Df Wayne Russel           13    1   14
Df William Gill            7    2    9     Df Charles Clapinson      12    2   14
Mf Joe Taylor             13    0   13     Df Jeffrey Giles           9    2   11
Mf Rhys Knight             9    2   11     Df Riley Russel            9    2   11
Fw Freddie Bunyan         16    2   18     Mf Mason MacKenzie        12    0   12
Fw Afonso Ribeiro         15    2   17     Mf Peter Parslow          10    1   11
Fw Santiago Romero        17    2   19     Mf Jon  Solheim            9    2   11
Fw Luca Schmid             9    2   11     Mf Simon Combe            14    0   14
Fw Francis Wood            5    2    7     Fw Igor Morozov           19   -2   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 20 24 72        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 63 48 17    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  5  1  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  4  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  5  2  0    
=======================================================================
      19 18 25 25 75         T O T A L S       20  0 68 50 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matías Abreu: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 95.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 49.05 (no red card)

Sw Pedro Muñoz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 52.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 27.33 (no red card)

Df Peter Lee: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 12.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 43.0 (no red card)

Df William Gill: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 19.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 22.67 (no red card)

Mf Joe Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 46.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 69.93 (no red card)

Mf Rhys Knight: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 67.78 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 84.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 74.16 (no red card)

Fw Afonso Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 16.04 (no second yellow)

Fw Santiago Romero: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 90.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 56.46 (no red card)

Fw Luca Schmid: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 81.74 (no red card)

Fw Francis Wood: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 6.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 45.39 (no second yellow)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenny Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.86 (no red card)

Df Anton Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.69 (no red card)

Df Wayne Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.41 (no red card)

Df Charles Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.94 (no red card)

Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.59 (no red card)

Df Riley Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.91 (no red card)

Mf Mason MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.79 (no red card)

Mf Peter Parslow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.61 (no red card)

Mf Jon  Solheim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.82 (no red card)

Mf Simon Combe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.37 (no red card)

Fw Igor Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Matías Abreu: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 11.14 (no injury) 
Sw Pedro Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.79 (no injury) 
Df Peter Lee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.17 (no injury) 
Df William Gill: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.7 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.13 (no injury) 
Mf Rhys Knight: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.66 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.66 (no injury) 
Fw Afonso Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.52 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Romero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.73 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.33 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.65 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kenny Lampard: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 68.09 (no injury) 
Df Anton Andersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.46 (no injury) 
Df Wayne Russel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.63 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clapinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.41 (no injury) 
Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.61 (no injury) 
Df Riley Russel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.15 (no injury) 
Mf Mason MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.82 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Parslow: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.2 (no injury) 
Mf Jon  Solheim: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.07 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Combe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.65 (no injury) 
Fw Igor Morozov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.9 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Santiago Romero SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kenny Lampard SL 16

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 74 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Igor Morozov SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Matías Abreu SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          19  18  25  25  75
  Lincoln City FC          20   0  68  50  17

Lincoln City FC is using Offside Trap!
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 4 (75 - 68) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 3 ((25 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Peter Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 3.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df William Gill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Peter Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 18.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          20   0  68  50  17
  Tranmere Rovers          19  18  25  25  75

Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 25)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((50 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((68 - 75) / 5;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Jon  Solheim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 58.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Peter Parslow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Peter Parslow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Peter Parslow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Simon Combe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 1  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
There are no more difficult points than vs the Tranmere juggernaut. Best of luck, Alon!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/19 - 5:10 PM
Heartbreaker, 1-0 on a PK on 0 hardness. :(
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/19 - 7:49 PM
I agree Mike. I was very lucky to get that Penalty.
Alon (Tranmere Rovers) 05/19 - 8:22 PM
 
 
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