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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Rhys MacDonald         15    2   17     Gk Eduardo Parra          16    2   18
Sw Sean Moore             18    2   20     Df Ethan Barry            15    2   17
Df Marius Hagen           15    2   17     Df Charles Wood           13    2   15
Df Carleton Milner         9    2   11     Df Nuno Futre             13    2   15
Mf Kieran Warren          19    0   19     Df Martin Briand           9    2   11
Mf Jayden Campbell         9    2   11     Mf Max Chapman            16    1   17
Fw Rafael Souza           14    2   16     Mf Benjamin Moore         10    2   12
Fw Ellis McAllister       13    2   15     Df Jed Lindsay             7    2    9
Fw Toby Barnes            13    2   15     Fw Aarron Brudenell       15    2   17
Fw Mark Scott              9    2   11     Fw Todd Moore             13    2   15
Fw Harvey Cooper           5    2    7     Fw Aaron Collins          13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 20 28 30 64        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 67 29 47    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22 20 28 30 73         T O T A L S       18  0 67 29 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rhys MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.14 (no red card)

Sw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.8 (no red card)

Df Marius Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.0 (no red card)

Df Carleton Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.89 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Warren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.47 (no red card)

Mf Jayden Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.71 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.95 (no red card)

Fw Ellis McAllister: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.68 (no red card)

Fw Toby Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.67 (no red card)

Fw Mark Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.36 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.77 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.11 (no red card)

Df Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.4 (no red card)

Df Charles Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.18 (no second yellow)

Df Nuno Futre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.43 (no red card)

Df Martin Briand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.31 (no red card)

Mf Max Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.21 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.86 (no red card)

Df Jed Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.87 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.96 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.92 (no second yellow)

Fw Todd Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.58 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rhys MacDonald: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.6 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.69 (no injury) 
Df Marius Hagen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.0 (no injury) 
Df Carleton Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.72 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Warren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.85 (no injury) 
Mf Jayden Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.9 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.88 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis McAllister: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.61 (no injury) 
Fw Toby Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.93 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.2 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.68 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.04 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.93 (no injury) 
Df Charles Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.71 (no injury) 
Df Nuno Futre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.96 (no injury) 
Df Martin Briand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.23 (no injury) 
Mf Max Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.72 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.01 (no injury) 
Df Jed Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.75 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.04 (no injury) 
Fw Todd Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.59 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kieran Warren SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 16

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Max Chapman SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Rhys MacDonald SL 15

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     22  20  28  30  73
  Lewes FC                 18   0  67  29  47

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 6 (73 - 67); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Kieran Warren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Toby Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Toby Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Ellis McAllister
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 18   0  67  29  47
  Preston North End FC     22  20  28  30  73

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 19 (47 - 28); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((67 - 73) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 54.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Aaron Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Aaron Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aaron Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 61.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Aaron Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Todd Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 96.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 3  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
A dangerous contest this one........
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/18 - 12:41 PM
1st league road loss.......Parra didn't bring his A game today!
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/20 - 12:24 AM
 
 
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