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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Dorchester Town
Fran Morillo
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Billy Rooney           15    2   17     Gk Mark Patel             15    2   17
Sw Keith Dohm             13    2   15     Df Alfredo  Mora          15    2   17
Df Samuel Bogaerts        15    1   16     Df Elias Koch             13    0   13
Df Angelo Tosato          13    2   15     Df Wes Ahmed              13    2   15
Df Reece Hutchinson        8    2   10     Mf Jason Ward             13    1   14
Mf Finn Brown             15    2   17     Mf Ben Moore              13    2   15
Mf Lewis Young             8    2   10     Mf Aarron Sansom          12    2   14
Fw Nigel Nicholson        15    1   16     Mf Jakob Meier             8    2   10
Fw Leon Stevens           16    2   18     Fw Lee Daugherty          17    2   19
Fw Tobias Mayer           10    0   10     Fw Evan White             12    2   14
Fw Kyle Bruce              8    1    9     Fw Sean Richman           12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 41 27 53        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 45 53 47    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 41 30 60         T O T A L S       21  0 45 53 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.38 (no second yellow)

Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 67.62 (no red card)

Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 60.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 89.5 (no red card)

Df Angelo Tosato: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 38.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 38.85 (no red card)

Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 0.47 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Reece Hutchinson new match skill level =  4
      Reece Hutchinson new match total level =  6

Mf Finn Brown: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 4.82 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 69.23 (no second yellow)

Mf Lewis Young: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 39.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 1.95 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 25.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 69.09 (no red card)

Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 27.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 91.89 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 75.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 99.62 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 21.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 22.57 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Mark Patel: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 69.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 28.61 (no red card)

Df Alfredo  Mora: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 77.91 (no red card)

Df Elias Koch: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 23.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 85.97 (no red card)

Df Wes Ahmed: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 92.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 81.0 (no red card)

Mf Jason Ward: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 83.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 21.37 (no red card)

Mf Ben Moore: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 4.68 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Sansom: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 97.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 52.22 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Meier: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 54.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 77.04 (no red card)

Fw Lee Daugherty: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 7.1 (no red card)

Fw Evan White: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 58.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 91.75 (no red card)

Fw Sean Richman: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 50.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 54.54 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 57.33 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 12.46 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 32.92 (no injury) 
Df Angelo Tosato: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 65.55 (no injury) 
Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 68.92 (no injury) 
Mf Finn Brown: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 19.37 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Young: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 47.93 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 11.81 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 10.73 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Mayer: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 51.35 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 82.01 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Mark Patel: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 80.93 (no injury) 
Df Alfredo  Mora: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.79 (no injury) 
Df Elias Koch: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 19.63 (no injury) 
Df Wes Ahmed: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 63.49 (no injury) 
Mf Jason Ward: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 97.54 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Moore: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 23.06 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 95.95 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Meier: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 71.46 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Daugherty: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 96.63 (no injury) 
Fw Evan White: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 61.17 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Richman: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 87.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Leon Stevens SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mark Patel SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lee Daugherty SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Billy Rooney SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  15  37  30  60
  Dorchester Town          21   0  45  53  47

Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 8 (60 - 45) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 53) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 74.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 90.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 24.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 13.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 51.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          21   0  45  53  47
  Carlisle United          17  15  37  30  60

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 10 (47 - 37); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 12 ((53 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Jason Ward
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ben Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jakob Meier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Aarron Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Jakob Meier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Aarron Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jason Ward
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Jason Ward
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Jakob Meier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Ben Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Jason Ward
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Aarron Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Evan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Evan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Sean Richman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Evan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 1
 
Match Notes
Important game for both clubs. I'll be clicking on the viewer for this one after my own matches finish!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/12 - 3:11 PM
 
 
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