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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Dorchester Town
Fran Morillo
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun           15    2   17     Gk Diogo Ventura          16    2   18
Sw Sean Peverell          13    2   15     Df Clément Delamare       14    2   16
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui      14    2   16     Df Michael Schwarz        11    2   13
Df Benjamin Bell           8    2   10     Df Miguel  Morales         3    2    5
Mf Emile Bateman          13    2   15     Mf Bradley Berry          12    2   14
Mf Mohamed Durieux         8    2   10     Mf Moritz Schmitt         10    2   12
Fw Noah Carroll           14    2   16     Mf Reuben Powell           8    2   10
Fw Filippo Negri          13    2   15     Mf Nicolas Campos          4    2    6
Fw Kyle Bruce             15    2   17     Fw Sean Richman           16    1   17
Fw Nigel Nicholson        11    2   13     Fw Simone Rizzo           12    2   14
Fw Harley Morrissey        8    2   10     Fw Paulo Mota              8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 26 25 71        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 34 42 41    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  5  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 30 30 71         T O T A L S       23  0 34 42 41    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.19 (no red card)

Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.19 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.55 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.23 (no second yellow)

Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.97 (no red card)

Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.68 (no red card)

Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.46 (no red card)

Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.82 (no red card)

Fw Filippo Negri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.78 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.66 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.94 (no red card)

Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.48 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Diogo Ventura: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 93.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.875% | Random number = 18.32 (no red card)

Df Clément Delamare: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 45.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 91.34 (no red card)

Df Michael Schwarz: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 42.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 4.11 (no red card)

Df Miguel  Morales: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 87.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 64.84 (no red card)

Mf Bradley Berry: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 2.55 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 86.32 (no second yellow)

Mf Moritz Schmitt: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 20.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 8.36 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Powell: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 71.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 38.96 (no red card)

Mf Nicolas Campos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 60.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 41.64 (no red card)

Fw Sean Richman: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 88.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 69.78 (no red card)

Fw Simone Rizzo: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 54.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 18.92 (no red card)

Fw Paulo Mota: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 16.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 33.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 24.18 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 92.89 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 69.03 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 9.08 (no injury) 
Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 94.3 (no injury) 
Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 86.33 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 99.39 (no injury) 
Fw Filippo Negri: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 88.76 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 70.2 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 39.62 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 67.18 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 3
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Diogo Ventura: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 77.08 (no injury) 
Df Clément Delamare: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.92 (no injury) 
Df Michael Schwarz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.0 (no injury) 
Df Miguel  Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.61 (no injury) 
Mf Bradley Berry: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.58 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Bradley Berry is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Bradley Berry new match skill level =  6
      Bradley Berry new match total level =  8
Mf Moritz Schmitt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.37 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Powell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.49 (no injury) 
Mf Nicolas Campos: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.86 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Richman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.95 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Sean Richman is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Sean Richman new match skill level =  8
      Sean Richman new match total level =  9
Fw Simone Rizzo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.1 (no injury) 
Fw Paulo Mota: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.64 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kyle Bruce SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Diogo Ventura SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Clément Delamare SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kuan-Yin Sun SL 15

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  15  30  30  71
  Dorchester Town          23   0  34  36  33

Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 19 (71 - 34) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 91.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 56.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 66.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 86.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 38.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 62.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 40.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 96.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 66.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 27.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 13.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 68.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 56.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 51.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 19.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 0.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          23   0  34  36  33
  Carlisle United          17  15  30  30  71

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 3 (33 - 30); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 3 ((36 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 71) / 5;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Moritz Schmitt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Reuben Powell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Moritz Schmitt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Paulo Mota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Paulo Mota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Paulo Mota
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 0
 
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