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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Noah Godart             8    1    9     Gk Alvin Jonasson         16    2   18
Df Alejandro  Segura      14    0   14     Sw Joseph Smalls          14    2   16
Df Paul Brides            13    1   14     Df Martin Giles           13    0   13
Df Oliver Hills            8    2   10     Df Xavier Muñoz           12    0   12
Df Matteo Maggioni         4    2    6     Mf Alan Ramirez           13    0   13
Mf Jermaine Hills         14    1   15     Mf Nigel Ruddle            8    2   10
Mf Daniel Martins         13    1   14     Mf Mason Mitchell          4    2    6
Mf Joe Hopkins             8    2   10     Fw Owen Fitzgerald        16   -1   15
Fw Daniel Yitzchak        13    2   15     Fw Luis  Herrera          13    0   13
Fw Lennon Stewart          9    2   11     Fw Paul Drinkwater        12    2   14
Fw Aaron Allan             4    0    4     Fw Allan Hayes            12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 44 39 30        ROSTER TOTALS      18 16 25 29 56    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  4  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  0 53 39 30         T O T A L S       20 20 25 29 56    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Godart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.94 (no red card)

Df Alejandro  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.36 (no red card)

Df Paul Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.36 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.72 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.2 (no second yellow)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.71 (no red card)

Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.45 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.25 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.09 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.33 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.56 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.29 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Aaron Allan new match skill level =  2
      Aaron Allan new match total level =  2

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alvin Jonasson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.3 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.08 (no red card)

Df Martin Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.8 (no red card)

Df Xavier Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.74 (no red card)

Mf Alan Ramirez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.6 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.6 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.27 (no red card)

Fw Owen Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.69 (no red card)

Fw Luis  Herrera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.09 (no red card)

Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.72 (no red card)

Fw Allan Hayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Godart: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.63 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.95 (no injury) 
Df Paul Brides: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.06 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.35 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.7 (no injury) 
Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.58 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Martins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.24 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.79 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.72 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.65 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.54 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alvin Jonasson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.21 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.14 (no injury) 
Df Martin Giles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.08 (no injury) 
Df Xavier Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.09 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Ramirez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.15 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.17 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.0 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.72 (no injury) 
Fw Luis  Herrera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.76 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.24 (no injury) 
Fw Allan Hayes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alejandro  Segura SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alvin Jonasson SL 16

     intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Owen Fitzgerald SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Noah Godart SL 8

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          9   0  53  39  28
  Nottingham Forest        20  20  25  29  56

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 3 (28 - 25); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((39 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 56) / 5;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Daniel Martins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 69 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        20  20  25  29  56
  Bristol City FC          9   0  53  39  28

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 2 (56 - 53) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Luis  Herrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 5.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Luis  Herrera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 0  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
Match Notes
Second of two must win games. Have to go for it, and hope. This will be tough.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 01/08 - 4:15 AM
Snuffed out NF attack, but could not score.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 01/15 - 4:35 AM
 
 
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