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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kian Trickelbank       16    2   18     Gk Kuan-Yin Sun           15    2   17
Sw Finlay Harvey          13    2   15     Sw James Dunn              8    2   10
Df Harrison Porter        13    2   15     Df Mohamed Cherkaoui      14    2   16
Df Michele Testa          13    2   15     Df Reece Hutchinson       12    2   14
Df Alessio Costa          12    2   14     Df Benjamin Bell           8    2   10
Mf Nicola Rinaldi         13    1   14     Mf Emile Bateman          13    2   15
Mf Algernon Pike          10    1   11     Mf Mohamed Durieux         8    2   10
Fw Jake Shrimpton         14    2   16     Fw Noah Carroll           14    2   16
Fw Petter Myhre           14    2   16     Fw Filippo Negri          13    2   15
Fw Anton Ekström           9    2   11     Fw Kyle Bruce             15    2   17
Fw Amine Lhomme            8    2   10     Fw Harley Morrissey        8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 44 25 53        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 40 25 58    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  3  2    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 15 44 25 62         T O T A L S       17 10 40 28 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 28.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 19.07 (no red card)

Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 12.57 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 49.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 5.3 (no red card)

Df Michele Testa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 28.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 89.32 (no red card)

Df Alessio Costa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 59.6 (no red card)

Mf Nicola Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 67.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 12.28 (no red card)

Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 63.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 35.67 (no red card)

Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 7.44 (no second yellow)

Fw Petter Myhre: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 49.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 87.45 (no red card)

Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 60.88 (no second yellow)

Fw Amine Lhomme: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 69.54 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.18 (no red card)

Sw James Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.02 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.97 (no red card)

Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.75 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.21 (no red card)

Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.15 (no red card)

Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.39 (no red card)

Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.3 (no red card)

Fw Filippo Negri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.91 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.52 (no red card)

Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 98.02 (no injury) 
Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.36 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.94 (no injury) 
Df Michele Testa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.52 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Costa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.04 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Alessio Costa is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Nicola Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.26 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.08 (no injury) 
Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.8 (no injury) 
Fw Petter Myhre: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.48 (no injury) 
Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.28 (no injury) 
Fw Amine Lhomme: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.38 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 8.56 (no injury) 
Sw James Dunn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.04 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.28 (no injury) 
Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.36 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.92 (no injury) 
Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.12 (no injury) 
Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.64 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.0 (no injury) 
Fw Filippo Negri: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.22 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.74 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.76 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jake Shrimpton SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kuan-Yin Sun SL 15

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kyle Bruce SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19  15  44  25  62
  Carlisle United          17  10  40  28  60

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 22 (62 - 40); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Amine Lhomme
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 60.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Amine Lhomme
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Amine Lhomme
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Petter Myhre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 6.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  10  40  28  60
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19  15  44  25  62

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 16 (60 - 44); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 62) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Emile Bateman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 74.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Emile Bateman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 0.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 1.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 97.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 41.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
tricky encounter
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 12/28 - 12:24 AM
Potentially tricky for us as well.
Dave (Carlisle United) 12/29 - 10:36 AM
And a suitably tricky draw ensues.
Dave (Carlisle United) 12/30 - 7:32 AM
 
 
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