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Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC                        PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ben Cockham            12    2   14     Gk Jared Eton-Hogg         4    2    6
Sw Diego Ferreira         12    2   14     Sw Ye HuŠng               15    2   17
Df Xavier Diaz            18    2   20     Df Thomas Burgess         14    2   16
Df John Peters             8    2   10     Df Anthony Matthews       13    0   13
Mf Elliot Khan            13    2   15     Df Jay Thomson             8    2   10
Mf Kian Milne             12    2   14     Mf Logan Price            14    0   14
Mf Felipe Azevedo          4    2    6     Mf Jake Cooke              8   -1    7
Fw Douglass Payne         14    2   16     Fw Julian Guerrero        15    0   15
Fw Philipp Wagner         14    2   16     Fw Jack Williams          12    2   14
Fw Jed Ward               11    2   13     Fw Thomas Eton-Hogg       12    1   13
Fw Miguel Rodriguez        8    2   10     Fw Manuel Andrade          8   -1    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 14 30 35 55        ROSTER TOTALS       6 17 39 21 49    
       0  0  0  0  5          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  5  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 14 30 35 69         T O T A L S       11 17 46 21 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ben Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.89 (no red card)

Sw Diego Ferreira: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 30.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 38.64 (no red card)

Df Xavier Diaz: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 96.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 69.64 (no red card)

Df John Peters: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 70.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 49.07 (no red card)

Mf Elliot Khan: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 31.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 13.87 (no red card)

Mf Kian Milne: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 84.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 57.72 (no red card)

Mf Felipe Azevedo: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 37.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 1.16 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Felipe Azevedo new match skill level =  2
      Felipe Azevedo new match total level =  4

Fw Douglass Payne: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 70.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 60.36 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 42.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 65.52 (no red card)

Fw Jed Ward: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 33.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 16.57 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 50.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 68.85 (no red card)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.29 (no red card)

Sw Ye HuŠng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.26 (no red card)

Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.29 (no red card)

Df Anthony Matthews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.42 (no red card)

Df Jay Thomson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.46 (no red card)

Mf Logan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.83 (no red card)

Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.68 (no red card)

Fw Julian Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.91 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.11 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.39 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.54 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 5
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Ben Cockham: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 62.68 (no injury) 
Sw Diego Ferreira: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 58.09 (no injury) 
Df Xavier Diaz: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 97.09 (no injury) 
Df John Peters: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 34.96 (no injury) 
Mf Elliot Khan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 50.84 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Milne: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 26.82 (no injury) 
Mf Felipe Azevedo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 9.73 (no injury) 
Fw Douglass Payne: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 60.28 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 98.04 (no injury) 
Fw Jed Ward: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 56.19 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 44.95 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 87.09 (no injury) 
Sw Ye HuŠng: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 36.33 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 94.96 (no injury) 
Df Anthony Matthews: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 11.62 (no injury) 
Df Jay Thomson: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 53.64 (no injury) 
Mf Logan Price: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 88.77 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 14.27 (no injury) 
Fw Julian Guerrero: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 6.39 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 9.51 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 73.59 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 92.03 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Xavier Diaz SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Jared Eton-Hogg SL 4

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Julian Guerrero SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ben Cockham SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      14  14  30  33  69
  Port Vale FC             11  17  46  21  49

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 23 (69 - 46); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((33 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Mf Kian Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Elliot Khan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Kian Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Kian Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Elliot Khan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 48.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Kian Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Philipp Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Philipp Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 56.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Miguel Rodriguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Jed Ward
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Philipp Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Miguel Rodriguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Philipp Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Philipp Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 16.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 64.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Philipp Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Philipp Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 42.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 3.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Miguel Rodriguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Douglass Payne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 98.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Jed Ward
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 38.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             11  17  46  21  49
  Northampton Town FC      14  14  30  33  69

Port Vale FC is Playing For A Draw!
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 10 (49 - 30) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 69) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Thomas Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Thomas Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Thomas Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 20.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 1  -  PORT VALE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Can we dream of a win versus the might of port vale
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 01/13 - 6:12 PM
Phew last ditch winner
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 01/13 - 6:14 PM
 
 
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