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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gerry McDermott        15    2   17     Gk Billy Lampard           8    2   10
Sw Juan Palomo Vera       14    2   16     Df Jeffrey Giles          10    2   12
Df Jed Jones              14    2   16     Df Wayne Russel           10    2   12
Df Samuel Moore            8    2   10     Df Tomaj Bodnár            8    2   10
Mf Archie Thwaite         14    2   16     Df Andy Whiteside          4    2    6
Mf Christopher Holland     8    2   10     Mf Jon  Solheim           12    0   12
Fw David Dowson           13    2   15     Mf Ashton Hamilton        10    2   12
Fw Mark Charlton          13    2   15     Mf Peter Parslow           9    2   11
Fw Lincoln Harper         15    2   17     Mf Ryan Lennon             4    2    6
Fw Jed Butler              9    2   11     Fw Gustavo Rodrigues       9    2   11
Fw Aaron Cockayne          8    0    8     Fw Anton Mĺnsson           8    1    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 26 26 66        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 40 41 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  3  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 28 26 76         T O T A L S       10  0 47 41 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.52 (no red card)

Sw Juan Palomo Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.14 (no red card)

Df Jed Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.07 (no red card)

Df Samuel Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.1 (no red card)

Mf Archie Thwaite: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.24 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.09 (no red card)

Fw David Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.77 (no red card)

Fw Mark Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.33 (no red card)

Fw Lincoln Harper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.99 (no red card)

Fw Jed Butler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.67 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.8 (no second yellow)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.35 (no red card)

Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.76 (no red card)

Df Wayne Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.94 (no red card)

Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.89 (no red card)

Df Andy Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.0 (no red card)

Mf Jon  Solheim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.61 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.08 (no red card)

Mf Peter Parslow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.07 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.27 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.65 (no red card)

Fw Anton Mĺnsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 27.88 (no injury) 
Sw Juan Palomo Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.98 (no injury) 
Df Jed Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.98 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.8 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Thwaite: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.11 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Holland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.26 (no injury) 
Fw David Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.84 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.09 (no injury) 
Fw Lincoln Harper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.4 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Lincoln Harper is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Jed Butler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.92 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.09 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 9.68 (no injury) 
Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.37 (no injury) 
Df Wayne Russel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.6 (no injury) 
Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.98 (no injury) 
Df Andy Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.1 (no injury) 
Mf Jon  Solheim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.63 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.27 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Parslow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.33 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.49 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.34 (no injury) 
Fw Anton Mĺnsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.23 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lincoln Harper SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Billy Lampard SL 8

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jon  Solheim SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Gerry McDermott SL 15

     intRndPk = 5
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 63 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          17  16  28  26  76
  Lincoln City FC          10   0  47  41  20

Lincoln City FC is using Offside Trap!
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 15 (76 - 47) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((28 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Jed Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Jed Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 13.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Jed Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 73.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Lincoln Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 12.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Lincoln Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 86.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Lincoln Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 67.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Lincoln Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 0.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Lincoln Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 12.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Aaron Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 60.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 68.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw David Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 50.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          10   0  47  41  20
  Cardiff City FC          17  16  28  26  76

Lincoln City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 28)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((41 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 76) / 5;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Jon  Solheim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ashton Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Peter Parslow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jon  Solheim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 4  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
Top of table here, tough match.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 09/22 - 2:22 PM
76 at FW, tough to keep at bay, well done, Graham!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 09/25 - 2:13 PM
 
 
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