MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2 TMBL MSWL The Manager
Friday, February 23rd, 2018 - 02:37:50 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① - Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats Tables Teams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Declan McAllister      16    1   17     Gk Ollie Baker            15    2   17
Df Alejandro  Segura      14    0   14     Sw Adam Wright            16   -1   15
Df Aaron Edwards          10    0   10     Df Derek Fox              13    1   14
Df Paul Brides            13    1   14     Df Max Beckham            12    0   12
Df Oliver Hills            8    2   10     Df Zachary Pastor         11    1   12
Mf Jermaine Hills         14    1   15     Df Peter Burns             8    2   10
Df Francis Murphy          9    1   10     Df Rókus Szoke             4    2    6
Mf Joe Hopkins             8    2   10     Mf Ian Flinders           13    0   13
Mf Alistair Barnes         4    2    6     Mf Park Yáng               8    2   10
Fw Daniel Yitzchak        13    2   15     Fw Thomas Fergusen         8    2   10
Fw Lennon Stewart          9    2   11     Fw Ibrahim Bennani         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 58 31 26        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 54 23 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22  0 67 31 26         T O T A L S       17 15 62 23 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Declan McAllister: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.72 (no red card)

Df Alejandro  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.87 (no red card)

Df Aaron Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.8 (no red card)

Df Paul Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.58 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.37 (no red card)

Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.35 (no red card)

Df Francis Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.63 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.72 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.83 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.73 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.8 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.78 (no red card)

Sw Adam Wright: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 51.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 29.08 (no red card)

Df Derek Fox: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 29.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 48.84 (no red card)

Df Max Beckham: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 36.84 (no red card)

Df Zachary Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 76.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 55.3 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 30.5 (no red card)

Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 10.03 (no red card)

Mf Ian Flinders: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 44.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 50.47 (no red card)

Mf Park Yáng: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 70.95 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 95.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 66.21 (no red card)

Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 46.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Declan McAllister: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 21.1 (no injury) 
Df Alejandro  Segura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.46 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Edwards: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.95 (no injury) 
Df Paul Brides: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.57 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.93 (no injury) 
Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.14 (no injury) 
Df Francis Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.88 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.98 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.77 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.17 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.53 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 41.48 (no injury) 
Sw Adam Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.07 (no injury) 
Df Derek Fox: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.5 (no injury) 
Df Max Beckham: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.39 (no injury) 
Df Zachary Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.05 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.78 (no injury) 
Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.82 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.82 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Ian Flinders is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ian Flinders new match skill level =  7
      Ian Flinders new match total level =  7
Mf Park Yáng: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.0 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.95 (no injury) 
Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.41 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alejandro  Segura SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 17 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Derek Fox SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Declan McAllister SL 16

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          22   0  67  31  26
  Watford                  17  15  62  17  20

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 62)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((31 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 10 ((67 - 20) / 5); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Oliver Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Paul Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Paul Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Paul Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Aaron Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Paul Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Alejandro  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Oliver Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Alejandro  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Alejandro  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Mf Jermaine Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  17  15  62  17  20
  Bristol City FC          22   0  67  31  26

Bristol City FC is using Offside Trap!
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 67)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 6 ((62 - 26) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Peter Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 99.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Zachary Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 79.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Rókus Szoke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Max Beckham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Derek Fox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Zachary Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 3  -  WATFORD 1
 
Match Notes
First of two must win games. Have to go for it, and hope.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 01/08 - 4:14 AM
Two defensive teams, only one winner.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 01/15 - 4:33 AM
 
 
Terms and Conditions