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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Billy Rooney           15    2   17     Gk Eduardo Parra          16    2   18
Sw Keith Dohm             13    2   15     Df Ethan Barry            15    2   17
Df Samuel Bogaerts        14    2   16     Df Charles Wood           13    2   15
Df Angelo Tosato          13    2   15     Df Daniele Boga           12    2   14
Df Gabriel Johnson        10    1   11     Df Andrew Clarke           8    2   10
Mf Finn Brown             14    1   15     Mf Max Chapman            15    2   17
Mf Freddie Dury           12    1   13     Mf Benjamin Moore         10    2   12
Fw Nigel Nicholson        14    2   16     Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg        16    2   18
Fw Leon Stevens           16    2   18     Fw Aarron Brudenell       13    2   15
Fw Tobias Mayer           10    0   10     Fw Aaron Collins          13    2   15
Fw Bruce Morgan            7    2    9     Fw Scott Thomson          11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 42 28 53        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 56 29 61    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 42 30 60         T O T A L S       20  0 56 29 61    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.82 (no red card)

Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.67 (no red card)

Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.14 (no red card)

Df Angelo Tosato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.66 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.03 (no red card)

Mf Finn Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.07 (no red card)

Mf Freddie Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.22 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Freddie Dury new match skill level =  6
      Freddie Dury new match total level =  7

Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.16 (no red card)

Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.2 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Mayer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.2 (no red card)

Fw Bruce Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.55 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 18.48 (no red card)

Df Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 98.95 (no red card)

Df Charles Wood: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 96.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 50.13 (no red card)

Df Daniele Boga: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 92.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 91.66 (no red card)

Df Andrew Clarke: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 91.82 (no red card)

Mf Max Chapman: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 48.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 75.49 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Moore: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 44.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 86.12 (no red card)

Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 32.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 59.27 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 24.02 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Collins: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.69 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 0.71 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Aaron Collins new match skill level =  7
      Aaron Collins new match total level =  9

Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 83.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 81.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 53.7 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.34 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.48 (no injury) 
Df Angelo Tosato: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.78 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.68 (no injury) 
Mf Finn Brown: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.0 (no injury) 
Mf Freddie Dury: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.22 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.69 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.28 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Mayer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.81 (no injury) 
Fw Bruce Morgan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.57 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 27.91 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 17.78 (no injury) 
Df Charles Wood: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 88.93 (no injury) 
Df Daniele Boga: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.06 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.06 (no injury) 
Mf Max Chapman: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.5 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.49 (no injury) 
Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.71 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.98 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Collins: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.87 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.07 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Leon Stevens SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfie Eton-Hogg SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Billy Rooney SL 15

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  15  42  24  60
  Lewes FC                 20   0  56  29  55

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 4 (60 - 56); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 67.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 69.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 20   0  56  29  55
  Carlisle United          17  15  42  24  60

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 13 (55 - 42); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((29 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((56 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Max Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Benjamin Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 12.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Benjamin Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 0  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
Our last four road matches have ended 0-0......can we just skip the trips and save on travel expenses?
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/05 - 8:33 PM
Another 0-0 for your collection.
Dave (Carlisle United) 05/05 - 10:25 PM
 
 
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