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Watford
James Tucker
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ollie Baker            15    2   17     Gk Joseph Wheeler          3    2    5
Sw Adam Wright            16   -1   15     Sw Joseph Smalls          13    2   15
Df Derek Fox              13    1   14     Df Martin Giles           13    0   13
Df Peter Burns             8    2   10     Df Xavier Muñoz           12    0   12
Mf Park Yáng               7    2    9     Df Ben Hall                7    2    9
Mf Wes Barmby              4    2    6     Df Julian  Calderón        7    2    9
Fw Gregory Edwards        14    1   15     Df Stewart Lester          3    2    5
Fw Luís Silva             13    1   14     Mf Nigel Ruddle            7    1    8
Fw James Hays              9    2   11     Mf Mason Mitchell          4    2    6
Fw Thomas Fergusen         8    2   10     Fw Euan McAdam             7    2    9
Fw Ibrahim Bennani         8    2   10     Fw Ben Shepherd            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 24 15 60        ROSTER TOTALS       5 15 48 14 14    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  5  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  0  2  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 29 20 60         T O T A L S        5 20 48 16 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.76 (no red card)

Sw Adam Wright: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 57.27 (no red card)

Df Derek Fox: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 74.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 24.78 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 98.4 (no red card)

Mf Park Yáng: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 85.92 (no red card)

Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 77.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 32.07 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 62.54 (no second yellow)

Fw Luís Silva: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 99.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.42 (no red card)

Fw James Hays: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 83.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 26.26 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 7.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 54.26 (no red card)

Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 7.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 79.56 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.51 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.09 (no red card)

Df Martin Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.38 (no red card)

Df Xavier Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.27 (no red card)

Df Ben Hall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.58 (no red card)

Df Julian  Calderón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.44 (no red card)

Df Stewart Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.61 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.8 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.49 (no red card)

Fw Euan McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.88 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 70.41 (no injury) 
Sw Adam Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.53 (no injury) 
Df Derek Fox: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.81 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.07 (no injury) 
Mf Park Yáng: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.24 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.38 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.02 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Silva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.9 (no injury) 
Fw James Hays: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.63 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.09 (no injury) 
Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.37 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 70.0 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.1 (no injury) 
Df Martin Giles: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.64 (no injury) 
Df Xavier Muñoz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.03 (no injury) 
Df Ben Hall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.26 (no injury) 
Df Julian  Calderón: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.66 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Lester: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.67 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.82 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.99 (no injury) 
Fw Euan McAdam: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.71 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gregory Edwards SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 3

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martin Giles SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  17  15  29  20  60
  Nottingham Forest        5  20  48  16  14

Watford Fw Attacks = 12 (60 - 48); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 2 ((20 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 5 ((29 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Derek Fox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Peter Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 59.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Peter Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Derek Fox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Derek Fox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Park Yáng
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Wes Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw James Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 56.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw James Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        5  20  48  16  14
  Watford                  17  15  29  20  60

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 29)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 2  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
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