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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gareth Newton          14    0   14     Gk Alvin Jonasson         16    2   18
Sw Ye Huáng               16   -1   15     Sw Joseph Smalls          16    1   17
Df Thomas Burgess         13    0   13     Df Martin Giles           11    0   11
Df Max Morris             11    1   12     Df Xavier Muńoz            9    1   10
Df Douglas Ribeiro         8    2   10     Df Lucas Duckworth         7    2    9
Mf Jake Cooke             14    2   16     Mf Nigel Ruddle           13    0   13
Mf Logan Price            11    0   11     Mf Alan Ramirez           10    1   11
Fw Manuel Andrade         13    2   15     Mf Mason Mitchell          8    2   10
Fw Connor Jones           16    0   16     Fw Antonio Ferri          13    0   13
Fw Jack Williams          12    1   13     Mf Luis  Herrera           8    1    9
Fw Estevan  Ramírez        8    2   10     Fw Ben Shepherd            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 35 27 54        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 30 43 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 15 35 27 63         T O T A L S       18 17 30 43 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gareth Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.81 (no red card)

Sw Ye Huáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.16 (no red card)

Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.28 (no red card)

Df Max Morris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.84 (no red card)

Df Douglas Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.29 (no second yellow)

Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.35 (no red card)

Mf Logan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.72 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.3 (no red card)

Fw Connor Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.98 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.8 (no second yellow)

Fw Estevan  Ramírez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.5 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.58 (no second yellow)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alvin Jonasson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.86 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.48 (no red card)

Df Martin Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.04 (no red card)

Df Xavier Muńoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.85 (no red card)

Df Lucas Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.26 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.63 (no red card)

Mf Alan Ramirez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.85 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.15 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Ferri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.76 (no red card)

Mf Luis  Herrera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.57 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gareth Newton: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 47.23 (no injury) 
Sw Ye Huáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.52 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.3 (no injury) 
Df Max Morris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.52 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.21 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.78 (no injury) 
Mf Logan Price: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.97 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.4 (no injury) 
Fw Connor Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.91 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.12 (no injury) 
Fw Estevan  Ramírez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.31 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alvin Jonasson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 42.73 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.3 (no injury) 
Df Martin Giles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.58 (no injury) 
Df Xavier Muńoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.36 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.76 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.71 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Ramirez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.44 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.65 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Ferri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.5 (no injury) 
Mf Luis  Herrera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.45 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.75 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Connor Jones SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alvin Jonasson SL 16

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 76 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nigel Ruddle SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Newton SL 14

     intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             14  15  35  27  63
  Nottingham Forest        18  17  30  43  23

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 33 (63 - 30); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 4 ((35 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Df Thomas Burgess
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Thomas Burgess
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Max Morris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Thomas Burgess
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 76.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        18  17  30  43  23
  Port Vale FC             14  15  35  27  63

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 35)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 8 ((43 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 85.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 3  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1
 
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