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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gerry McDermott        13    1   14     Gk Kian Trickelbank       16    2   18
Sw Juan Palomo Vera       13    1   14     Df Michele Testa          13    2   15
Df Jed Jones              13    1   14     Df Harrison Porter        12    2   14
Df Samuel Moore           12    2   14     Df Alessio Costa          12    2   14
Df Lewis McBrayne         10    0   10     Mf Owen Marsh             13    2   15
Df Jack Milner             8    2   10     Mf Carleton Thomas        11    2   13
Mf Ignacio Ortiz          14    2   16     Mf Algernon Pike          10    1   11
Mf Archie Thwaite         15    2   17     Mf George Johnston         8    2   10
Mf Christopher Holland    11    2   13     Mf Artyom Morozov         16    2   18
Fw Nigel Cox              14    2   16     Fw Petter Myhre           14    2   16
Fw Aaron Cockayne         13    2   15     Fw Jake Shrimpton         13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 14 48 46 31        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 43 67 31    
       2  0  2  1  1          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 53 49 34         T O T A L S       19  0 43 67 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 12.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 55.13 (no red card)

Sw Juan Palomo Vera: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 17.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 12.89 (no second yellow)

Df Jed Jones: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 3.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 19.45 (no second yellow)

Df Samuel Moore: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 34.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 77.02 (no red card)

Df Lewis McBrayne: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 40.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 7.83 (no red card)

Df Jack Milner: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 29.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 17.01 (no red card)

Mf Ignacio Ortiz: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 79.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 1.66 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ignacio Ortiz new match skill level =  7
      Ignacio Ortiz new match total level =  9

Mf Archie Thwaite: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 78.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 26.93 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Holland: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 77.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 38.99 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Cox: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 12.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 35.51 (no second yellow)

Fw Aaron Cockayne: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 57.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 48.12 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 39.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 38.87 (no red card)

Df Michele Testa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 26.19 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 52.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 11.36 (no red card)

Df Alessio Costa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 92.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 32.17 (no red card)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 56.16 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 78.72 (no red card)

Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 17.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 50.75 (no red card)

Mf George Johnston: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 63.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 18.57 (no red card)

Mf Artyom Morozov: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 38.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 16.19 (no red card)

Fw Petter Myhre: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 45.24 (no red card)

Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 65.0 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 3.42 (no injury) 
Sw Juan Palomo Vera: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 47.58 (no injury) 
Df Jed Jones: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 93.78 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Moore: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 56.56 (no injury) 
Df Lewis McBrayne: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 1.69 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Lewis McBrayne is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Lewis McBrayne new match skill level =  5
      Lewis McBrayne new match total level =  5
Df Jack Milner: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 62.65 (no injury) 
Mf Ignacio Ortiz: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 94.4 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Thwaite: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 83.54 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Holland: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 67.29 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Cox: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 83.02 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Cockayne: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 27.58 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.62%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.62% | Random number = 23.02 (no injury) 
Df Michele Testa: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 51.92 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 50.82 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Costa: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 98.73 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 98.5 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 18.71 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 33.46 (no injury) 
Mf George Johnston: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 62.55 (no injury) 
Mf Artyom Morozov: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 71.2 (no injury) 
Fw Petter Myhre: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 59.55 (no injury) 
Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 28.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Archie Thwaite SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Artyom Morozov SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gerry McDermott SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          16  14  48  42  34
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19   0  43  67  31

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 43)
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 67) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 6 ((48 - 31) / 3); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Lewis McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 84.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Jed Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 28.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Jed Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 2.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Jack Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Jed Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Jed Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 7.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19   0  43  67  31
  Cardiff City FC          16  14  48  42  34

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 48)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 13 ((67 - 42) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((43 - 34) / 5); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Michele Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Harrison Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf George Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 21.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf George Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 20.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf George Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 1  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
It will be hard to get anything against Cardiff, but naturally we will give it a go
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 12/21 - 7:30 PM
hmm, yet again we should have got at least a point but come away with nothing....
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 12/22 - 10:01 PM
 
 
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