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Watford
James Tucker
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ollie Baker            15    2   17     Gk Mika Schmidt           16    2   18
Sw John MacDonald          4    2    6     Df Allan Stephens         13    2   15
Df Derek Fox              13    1   14     Df Charlie Bergqvist      10    2   12
Df Peter Burns             8    2   10     Df Antonin Rivet           6    2    8
Mf Dominic Ludley         14   -1   13     Mf Ollie Reed             12    2   14
Mf Park Yáng               7    2    9     Mf Ellis Lindsay          10    2   12
Fw Gregory Edwards        14    1   15     Mf Theo Fisher             8    2   10
Fw Luís Silva             13    1   14     Mf Sam Stevenson           5    2    7
Fw James Hays              9    2   11     Fw Luis Perea              8    2   10
Fw Thomas Fergusen         8    2   10     Fw Mason Hall              6    2    8
Fw Ibrahim Bennani         8    2   10     Fw Lautaro Gomez           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  6 24 22 60        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 35 43 26    
       0  5  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  0  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22 11 27 22 66         T O T A L S       18  0 35 43 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.29 (no red card)

Sw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 70.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 50.89 (no red card)

Df Derek Fox: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 38.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 92.06 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 94.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 19.52 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Ludley: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 74.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 38.38 (no red card)

Mf Park Yáng: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 62.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 8.02 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 58.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 84.93 (no red card)

Fw Luís Silva: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 81.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 39.67 (no red card)

Fw James Hays: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 4.27 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 86.24 (no second yellow)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 73.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 26.73 (no red card)

Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 73.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 20.97 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mika Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.8 (no red card)

Df Allan Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.52 (no red card)

Df Charlie Bergqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.93 (no red card)

Df Antonin Rivet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.53 (no red card)

Mf Ollie Reed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.25 (no red card)

Mf Ellis Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.42 (no red card)

Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.89 (no red card)

Mf Sam Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.02 (no red card)

Fw Luis Perea: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.08 (no red card)

Fw Mason Hall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.9 (no red card)

Fw Lautaro Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.5 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.49 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 5
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 60.15 (no injury) 
Sw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 95.05 (no injury) 
Df Derek Fox: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 63.71 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 50.8 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Ludley: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 14.6 (no injury) 
Mf Park Yáng: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 20.1 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 40.77 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Silva: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 61.1 (no injury) 
Fw James Hays: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 1.55 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      James Hays is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 35.26 (no injury) 
Fw Ibrahim Bennani: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 65.02 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Mika Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 55.55 (no injury) 
Df Allan Stephens: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 89.14 (no injury) 
Df Charlie Bergqvist: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 84.41 (no injury) 
Df Antonin Rivet: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 65.4 (no injury) 
Mf Ollie Reed: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 71.2 (no injury) 
Mf Ellis Lindsay: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 97.15 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 54.86 (no injury) 
Mf Sam Stevenson: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 87.32 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Perea: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 6.67 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Hall: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 62.07 (no injury) 
Fw Lautaro Gomez: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 73.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dominic Ludley SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mika Schmidt SL 16

     intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Allan Stephens SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  22  11  27  22  66
  Queens Park Rangers      18   0  35  43  26

Queens Park Rangers is using Offside Trap!
Watford Fw Attacks = 16 (66 - 35) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 1 ((27 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Peter Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Ibrahim Bennani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 53.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw James Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 23.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Gregory Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw James Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18   0  35  43  26
  Watford                  22  11  27  22  66

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 27)
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 11 ((43 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 66) / 5;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Theo Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Theo Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 28.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ellis Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 61.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Ollie Reed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Theo Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 88.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Theo Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 49.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Sam Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 49.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Ellis Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 90.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Ollie Reed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Ollie Reed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Ollie Reed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 2  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1
 
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