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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jared Eton-Hogg         8    2   10     Gk Billy Rooney           15    2   17
Sw Ye Huáng               16   -1   15     Sw Keith Dohm             13    2   15
Df Thomas Burgess         13    0   13     Df Samuel Bogaerts        14    2   16
Df Max Morris             11    1   12     Df Gabriel Johnson        10    1   11
Df Douglas Ribeiro         8    2   10     Df Finley Williams         6    2    8
Mf Jake Cooke             14    2   16     Mf Finn Brown             14    1   15
Mf Emile De Vos            4    2    6     Mf Douglas Rodrigues      10    1   11
Fw Manuel Andrade         13    2   15     Fw Nigel Nicholson        14    2   16
Fw Connor Jones           16    0   16     Fw Leon Stevens           16    2   18
Fw Estevan  Ramírez        8    2   10     Fw Tobias Mayer           10    0   10
Fw Ignacio Martinez        4    2    6     Fw Bruce Morgan            7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 15 35 22 47        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 35 26 53    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  4  0    
       0  3  4  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 18 39 22 56         T O T A L S       17 15 35 30 53    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.53 (no red card)

Sw Ye Huáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.57 (no red card)

Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.53 (no red card)

Df Max Morris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.68 (no red card)

Df Douglas Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.25 (no red card)

Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.69 (no red card)

Mf Emile De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.12 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.68 (no red card)

Fw Connor Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.18 (no red card)

Fw Estevan  Ramírez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.35 (no red card)

Fw Ignacio Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.45 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.57 (no red card)

Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.64 (no red card)

Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.56 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.88 (no red card)

Df Finley Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.76 (no red card)

Mf Finn Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.59 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.41 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.84 (no red card)

Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.5 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Mayer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.38 (no red card)

Fw Bruce Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jared Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.17 (no injury) 
Sw Ye Huáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.21 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.73 (no injury) 
Df Max Morris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.57 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.78 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.21 (no injury) 
Mf Emile De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.11 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Andrade: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.11 (no injury) 
Fw Connor Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.4 (no injury) 
Fw Estevan  Ramírez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.64 (no injury) 
Fw Ignacio Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.05 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.26 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.26 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.8 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.2 (no injury) 
Df Finley Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.02 (no injury) 
Mf Finn Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.77 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.47 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.87 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.46 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.97 (no injury) 
Fw Bruce Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.11 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Connor Jones SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Billy Rooney SL 15

     intRndPk = 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leon Stevens SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jared Eton-Hogg SL 8

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             10  18  39  22  56
  Carlisle United          17  15  35  30  53

Port Vale FC is Playing For A Draw!
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 11 (56 - 35) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ignacio Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Estevan  Ramírez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Manuel Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  15  35  30  53
  Port Vale FC             10  18  39  22  56

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 14 (53 - 39); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 4 ((30 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Finn Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Finn Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Finn Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 33.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Finn Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Bruce Morgan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Bruce Morgan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Tobias Mayer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Bruce Morgan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 97.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 0  -  CARLISLE UNITED 1
 
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