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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eduardo Parra          17    2   19     Gk Nigel Brides           15    0   15
Df Charles Pearce         13    1   14     Df Arran Brown            13   -2   11
Df Daniele Boga           12    2   14     Df Nigel Fortune-West     11    0   11
Df Emilio Muñoz           10    2   12     Df Matthew Hardy           9    2   11
Mf Jed Lindsay            15    2   17     Mf Abe Blazel             13   -1   12
Mf Donald Wilson          10    2   12     Mf Simon Schmidt          12    0   12
Mf Rory McLean             7    2    9     Mf Jeff Hunter            11    1   12
Fw Luca Milner            13    2   15     Mf Ryan Wright            10    0   10
Fw Aarron Brudenell       16    2   18     Mf Dylan Walker            7    2    9
Fw Jared Hubbard          12    2   14     Fw John Wilson            10    2   12
Fw Scott Thomson          11    2   13     Fw Patrick Gallaher        7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  0 40 38 60        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 33 55 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 40 38 69         T O T A L S       15  0 33 55 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.75 (no red card)

Df Charles Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.84 (no red card)

Df Daniele Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.0 (no red card)

Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.95 (no red card)

Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.91 (no red card)

Mf Donald Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.27 (no red card)

Mf Rory McLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.89 (no red card)

Fw Luca Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.55 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.15 (no red card)

Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.98 (no red card)

Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.15 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.07 (no red card)

Df Arran Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card)

Df Nigel Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.88 (no red card)

Df Matthew Hardy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.53 (no red card)

Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.78 (no red card)

Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.7 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.16 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Jeff Hunter new match skill level =  6
      Jeff Hunter new match total level =  7

Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.16 (no red card)

Mf Dylan Walker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.93 (no red card)

Fw John Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.74 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.75 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.08 (no injury) 
Df Charles Pearce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.02 (no injury) 
Df Daniele Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.8 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.53 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.84 (no injury) 
Mf Donald Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.07 (no injury) 
Mf Rory McLean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.41 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.64 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.7 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.65 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.19 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 36.61 (no injury) 
Df Arran Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.59 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.48 (no injury) 
Df Matthew Hardy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.1 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.85 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.91 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.9 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.81 (no injury) 
Mf Dylan Walker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.67 (no injury) 
Fw John Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.12 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aarron Brudenell SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Brides SL 15

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Arran Brown SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 17

     intRndPk = 76
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19   0  40  38  69
  Plymouth Argyle FC       15   0  33  50  21

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 18 (69 - 33) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 4 ((40 - 21) / 5); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Charles Pearce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 18.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Emilio Muñoz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 11.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Emilio Muñoz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 51.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Daniele Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 36.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 8.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 31.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 0.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 66.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 68.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 56.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 20.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 37.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 2.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       15   0  33  50  21
  Lewes FC                 19   0  40  38  69

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 40)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((50 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 69) / 5;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 6.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Abe Blazel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 88.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 48.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 65.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 35.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 1  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Unreal
Dave (Lewes FC) 12/16 - 12:15 AM
I don't understand how Dave didn't win this game...
Allan (Brentford FC) 12/16 - 1:28 AM
Wow... Just wow.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 12/19 - 4:19 PM
I will say though that I've had the exact opposite happen to me - lose games with overwhelming numbers in my favor.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 12/19 - 4:20 PM
 
 
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