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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
Youth Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Archie Harewood        15    2   17     Gk Joseph Wheeler         14    2   16
Df Chuck Garcia            9    2   11     Sw Reece MacKay            9    1   10
Df Alex Hanny              5    2    7     Df Luca Boga               9    2   11
Df Thomas Hale             4    2    6     Df Joshua Brown            5    2    7
Mf Conor Conley            8    2   10     Df Harley Scholes          5    2    7
Mf Koji Watanabe           6    2    8     Mf Nigel Ruddle           16    2   18
Mf Theo Barmby             4    2    6     Mf Jakob Jacobsen          9    2   11
Fw Afonso Ribeiro         16    1   17     Fw Ben Shepherd           15    2   17
Fw Juan Manuel Castro     13    2   15     Fw Nigel Carter            9    2   11
Fw Francis Wood            9    2   11     Fw Luca Köhler             5    2    7
Fw Brian Walsh             4    2    6     Fw Glen Shepherd           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 24 24 49        ROSTER TOTALS      16 10 25 29 42    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  0  0  3  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  5  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22  0 24 27 49         T O T A L S       16 15 25 29 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.27 (no red card)

Df Chuck Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.97 (no red card)

Df Alex Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.78 (no red card)

Df Thomas Hale: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.06 (no red card)

Mf Conor Conley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.89 (no red card)

Mf Koji Watanabe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.66 (no red card)

Mf Theo Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.48 (no red card)

Fw Afonso Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.01 (no red card)

Fw Juan Manuel Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.09 (no red card)

Fw Francis Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.59 (no red card)

Fw Brian Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.21 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.4 (no red card)

Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.27 (no red card)

Df Luca Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.38 (no red card)

Df Joshua Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.2 (no red card)

Df Harley Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.0 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.84 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.35 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.97 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.92 (no red card)

Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.02 (no red card)

Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 30.72 (no injury) 
Df Chuck Garcia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.68 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Chuck Garcia is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Chuck Garcia new match skill level =  5
      Chuck Garcia new match total level =  7
Df Alex Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.22 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Hale: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.39 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Conley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.64 (no injury) 
Mf Koji Watanabe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.05 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.28 (no injury) 
Fw Afonso Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.8 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Manuel Castro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.36 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.77 (no injury) 
Fw Brian Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.64 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.25 (no injury) 
Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.77 (no injury) 
Df Luca Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.5 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.6 (no injury) 
Df Harley Scholes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.11 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.21 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.81 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.28 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.79 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Luca Köhler is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Luca Köhler new match skill level =  3
      Luca Köhler new match total level =  5
Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.29 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Afonso Ribeiro SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 14

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nigel Ruddle SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Archie Harewood SL 15

     intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          22   0  20  27  49
  Nottingham Forest        16  15  25  29  40

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 24 (49 - 25); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 40) / 5;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Brian Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 10.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Juan Manuel Castro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Brian Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 93.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Brian Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Brian Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        16  15  25  29  40
  Tranmere Rovers          22   0  20  27  49

Tranmere Rovers is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 10 (40 - 20) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 27) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 91.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 23.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 83.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 15.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 93.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Glen Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 6.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 13.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 3
 
Match Notes
After beating Alon in U2 Olmec rewards me with a match up here. And Forest have lost the last 12 games against Tranmere
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 09/22 - 7:27 PM
Oh my!
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 09/29 - 7:22 PM
 
 
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