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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
Youth Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Rhys MacDonald         16    2   18     Gk Kian Trickelbank        5    2    7
Df Marius Hagen           13    2   15     Sw Finlay Harvey           9   -2    7
Df Hugo George             9    2   11     Df Harley Stephenson      14    2   16
Df Carleton Milner         5    2    7     Df Alessio Costa           9    0    9
Mf Kieran Warren          17    1   18     Df Luke Brooks             2    2    4
Mf Ben Terry               9    2   11     Mf Joe Brides              9    2   11
Mf Jayden Campbell         5    2    7     Mf Carleton Thomas         5    2    7
Mf Charles Evans           2    2    4     Fw Edinson Castillo       19    2   21
Fw Titouan Bianchi         9    2   11     Fw Anton Ekström          14    2   16
Fw Jared Brown             5    2    7     Fw Artyom Morozov          9    2   11
Fw Mark Scott              5    2    7     Fw Sebastian Clarke        5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 33 40 25        ROSTER TOTALS       7  7 29 18 55    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 33 40 25         T O T A L S        8  7 29 19 55    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rhys MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.2 (no red card)

Df Marius Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.06 (no red card)

Df Hugo George: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.52 (no red card)

Df Carleton Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.71 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Warren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.62 (no red card)

Mf Ben Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.42 (no red card)

Mf Jayden Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.65 (no red card)

Mf Charles Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.99 (no red card)

Fw Titouan Bianchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.96 (no red card)

Fw Jared Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.72 (no red card)

Fw Mark Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.02 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.125% | Random number = 22.54 (no second yellow)

Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 66.96 (no red card)

Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 61.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 12.82 (no red card)

Df Alessio Costa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 50.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 61.66 (no red card)

Df Luke Brooks: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 45.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 75.1 (no red card)

Mf Joe Brides: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 95.87 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 67.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 13.36 (no red card)

Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 87.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 41.83 (no red card)

Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 21.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 33.6 (no red card)

Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 44.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 0.71 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Artyom Morozov new match skill level =  5
      Artyom Morozov new match total level =  7

Fw Sebastian Clarke: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 98.27 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Rhys MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 92.91 (no injury) 
Df Marius Hagen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.68 (no injury) 
Df Hugo George: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.54 (no injury) 
Df Carleton Milner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.63 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Warren: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.85 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Terry: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.61 (no injury) 
Mf Jayden Campbell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.85 (no injury) 
Mf Charles Evans: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.64 (no injury) 
Fw Titouan Bianchi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 77.1 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Brown: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.31 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Scott: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.66 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 65.46 (no injury) 
Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.94 (no injury) 
Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.73 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Costa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.47 (no injury) 
Df Luke Brooks: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.48 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Brides: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.95 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.89 (no injury) 
Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.37 (no injury) 
Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.16 (no injury) 
Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 70.18 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 88.05 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kieran Warren SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 5

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edinson Castillo SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Rhys MacDonald SL 16

     intRndPk = 57
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     18   0  33  40  25
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    8   7  29  19  51

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 29)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((40 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Kieran Warren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jayden Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jayden Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 19.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Kieran Warren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 19.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Ben Terry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Kieran Warren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Kieran Warren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Kieran Warren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Kieran Warren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Charles Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Kieran Warren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 90.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    8   7  29  19  51
  Preston North End FC     18   0  33  40  25

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 9 (51 - 33) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((29 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Luke Brooks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 38.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Sebastian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2
 
Match Notes
I think this is as far as I have ever reached in the youth cup, so new territory for Weston fans. Maybe this seasons youth will harbour in a new dawn and a rise back up the league tables.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/18 - 1:01 PM
despie his injury young Finlay played a blinder as stopper, whilst Edinson added the finsihes to see us through.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/20 - 6:42 PM
 
 
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