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Allan Sellers
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Craig Thomas           15    2   17     Gk Tom Lang               16    0   16
Sw Mark Butler             4    2    6     Df Noah Nielsen            9    2   11
Df Adam Doherty            8    2   10     Df Francisco Nieto         8    2   10
Df Edward Berry            4    2    6     Df Ben Green               4    2    6
Mf Ashley Ball             9    2   11     Mf Matthieu Cottin         8    2   10
Mf Erik Weber              8    2   10     Mf Derek Russell           4    2    6
Df Agostino Mariani        2    2    4     Mf Kalman Németh           3    2    5
Fw Fionn Quinn            16    2   18     Fw Ashton Matthews        17    0   17
Fw Thomas Fergusen        16    1   17     Fw Daniel Lundberg        12    1   13
Fw Joe Lennon              9    2   11     Fw Louie Rowbotham         8    2   10
Fw Peter Gomez             4    2    6     Fw Lorenzo Maggioni        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  6 20 21 52        ROSTER TOTALS      16  0 27 21 46    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       4  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  5  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  6 21 21 52         T O T A L S       21  0 27 21 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.77 (no red card)

Sw Mark Butler: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 45.04 (no red card)

Df Adam Doherty: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 94.41 (no red card)

Df Edward Berry: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 0.68 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Edward Berry new match skill level =  2
      Edward Berry new match total level =  4

Mf Ashley Ball: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 79.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 36.84 (no red card)

Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.46 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 35.59 (no second yellow)

Df Agostino Mariani: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 10.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 52.41 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 75.09 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 46.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 3.63 (no red card)

Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 28.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 82.27 (no red card)

Fw Peter Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 60.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 91.68 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tom Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.89 (no red card)

Df Noah Nielsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.38 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.34 (no second yellow)

Df Francisco Nieto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.02 (no red card)

Df Ben Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.92 (no red card)

Mf Matthieu Cottin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.23 (no red card)

Mf Derek Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.38 (no red card)

Mf Kalman Németh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.95 (no red card)

Fw Ashton Matthews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.69 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Lundberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.65 (no red card)

Fw Louie Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.01 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Craig Thomas: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 21.45 (no injury) 
Sw Mark Butler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.73 (no injury) 
Df Adam Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.49 (no injury) 
Df Edward Berry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.72 (no injury) 
Mf Ashley Ball: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.42 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.09 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Mariani: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.05 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.78 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.22 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.92 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.75 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Tom Lang: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 3.08 (no injury) 
Df Noah Nielsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.71 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Nieto: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.44 (no injury) 
Df Ben Green: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.48 (no injury) 
Mf Matthieu Cottin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.47 (no injury) 
Mf Derek Russell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.5 (no injury) 
Mf Kalman Németh: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.18 (no injury) 
Fw Ashton Matthews: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.3 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Lundberg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.76 (no injury) 
Fw Louie Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.96 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.41 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fionn Quinn SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Tom Lang SL 16

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ashton Matthews SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Craig Thomas SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  21   6  19  21  52
  Brentford FC             21   0  27  21  46

Brentford FC is using Offside Trap!
Watford Fw Attacks = 13 (52 - 27) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 29.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 83.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 88.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 50.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Peter Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 51.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Peter Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 7.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 18.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brentford FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             21   0  27  21  46
  Watford                  21   6  19  21  52

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 27 (46 - 19); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 52) / 5;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Fw Louie Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Daniel Lundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 75.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Daniel Lundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Louie Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Louie Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Louie Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 59.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 36.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Daniel Lundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 95.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Louie Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 93.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Daniel Lundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Maggioni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 99.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Daniel Lundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Maggioni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Louie Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 1  -  BRENTFORD FC 3
 
Match Notes
Double Brentford!
James (Watford) 12/28 - 10:26 PM
 
 
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