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Friday, May 25th, 2018 - 12:33:48 PM (gmt)
 
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Nottingham Forest
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joseph Wheeler          8    2   10     Gk Nigel Brides           16    2   18
Df Reece MacKay            3    2    5     Sw Tareq Akhrif            9    2   11
Df Martin Giles           11    0   11     Df Arran Brown             9    2   11
Df Stewart Lester          9    2   11     Df Nigel Fortune-West      5    2    7
Df Luca Boga               5    1    6     Mf Simon Schmidt           9    2   11
Df Nigel Ruddle           13    0   13     Mf Abe Blazel              9    2   11
Mf Mason Mitchell          9    2   11     Mf Jeff Hunter             5    2    7
Mf Jakob Jacobsen          5    2    7     Fw John Wilson            15    1   16
Fw Paul Drinkwater        16    2   18     Fw Jack Thompson          15    0   15
Fw Ben Shepherd            9    2   11     Fw Jakob Halvorsen         9    2   11
Mf Nigel Carter            3    2    5     Fw Evan Symes              5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  0 46 23 29        ROSTER TOTALS      18 11 18 29 49    
       0  0  0  3  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  3  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 49 29 29         T O T A L S       20 11 18 29 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.8 (no red card)

Df Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 39.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 74.59 (no red card)

Df Martin Giles: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 46.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 44.14 (no red card)

Df Stewart Lester: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 84.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 52.66 (no red card)

Df Luca Boga: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 66.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 13.37 (no red card)

Df Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 27.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 9.2 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 5.76 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 56.18 (no second yellow)

Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 9.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 82.23 (no second yellow)

Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 70.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 41.81 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 4.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 90.06 (no second yellow)

Mf Nigel Carter: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 42.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 4.55 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.08 (no red card)

Sw Tareq Akhrif: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.75 (no red card)

Df Arran Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.82 (no red card)

Df Nigel Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.42 (no red card)

Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.69 (no red card)

Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.19 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.51 (no red card)

Fw John Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.04 (no second yellow)

Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.96 (no red card)

Fw Jakob Halvorsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.19 (no red card)

Fw Evan Symes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 3
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 12.18 (no injury) 
Df Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.76 (no injury) 
Df Martin Giles: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.51 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Lester: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.54 (no injury) 
Df Luca Boga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.47 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.9 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.54 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.87 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.11 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.32 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Carter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.47 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 32.26 (no injury) 
Sw Tareq Akhrif: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 39.18 (no injury) 
Df Arran Brown: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.94 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 87.39 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 84.13 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.54 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 79.69 (no injury) 
Fw John Wilson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 51.32 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 33.32 (no injury) 
Fw Jakob Halvorsen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 8.41 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Symes: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 4.28 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Evan Symes is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Drinkwater SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Brides SL 16

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: John Wilson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        10   0  49  29  29
  Plymouth Argyle FC       20  11  18  29  52

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 11 (29 - 18); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 52) / 5;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 33.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 2.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 70.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 58.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       20  11  18  29  52
  Nottingham Forest        10   0  49  29  29

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 3 (52 - 49); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw John Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 15.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Nottingham Forest
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 67.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Strong YC semi here, tune in!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/19 - 5:11 PM
Almost perfect tactics from us apart from Rob' s 3 GPP at Fw
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 05/19 - 8:59 PM
Well played Steve! I can't believe those 3 GPP were the difference makers!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/21 - 2:57 PM
 
 
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