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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joseph Wheeler         14    2   16     Gk Sean Honeybun           4    2    6
Sw Reece MacKay            9    1   10     Sw Oscar Ford              8    2   10
Df Luca Boga               9    2   11     Df Sean Tufnel            12    1   13
Df Joshua Brown            4    2    6     Df George Mason            7    2    9
Df Harley Scholes          4    2    6     Df Ross Brennan            4    2    6
Mf Nigel Ruddle           16    1   17     Mf Patrick Butcher         7    2    9
Mf Jakob Jacobsen          8    2   10     Mf Shay  Lindsay           7    2    9
Fw Paul Drinkwater        16    0   16     Mf Francis Reynolds        4    1    5
Fw Nigel Carter            9    2   11     Fw Luis Guerrero          15    2   17
Fw Luca Köhler             4    2    6     Fw Jamie Collins           8    2   10
Fw Glen Shepherd           4    2    6     Fw Mika Huber              4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 10 23 27 39        ROSTER TOTALS       6 10 28 23 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  4  0  5  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 10 23 27 39         T O T A L S       10 10 33 23 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.47 (no red card)

Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.21 (no red card)

Df Luca Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.02 (no red card)

Df Joshua Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.21 (no red card)

Df Harley Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.8 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.52 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.73 (no red card)

Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.97 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.23 (no red card)

Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.06 (no red card)

Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.85 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sean Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.03 (no red card)

Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.09 (no red card)

Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.15 (no red card)

Df George Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.9 (no red card)

Df Ross Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.98 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.46 (no red card)

Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.26 (no red card)

Mf Francis Reynolds: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.52 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.07 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.46 (no red card)

Fw Mika Huber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.3 (no injury) 
Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.08 (no injury) 
Df Luca Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.03 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.81 (no injury) 
Df Harley Scholes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.47 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.25 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.49 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Drinkwater: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.2 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.47 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.99 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.58 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sean Honeybun: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 75.22 (no injury) 
Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.25 (no injury) 
Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.5 (no injury) 
Df George Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.16 (no injury) 
Df Ross Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.95 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.44 (no injury) 
Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.91 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.74 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.7 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.46 (no injury) 
Fw Mika Huber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.87 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nigel Ruddle SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Sean Honeybun SL 4

     intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Guerrero SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 14

     intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        21  10  23  27  39
  Swansea City AFC         10  10  33  23  33

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 6 (39 - 33); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Jakob Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 99.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Jakob Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 9.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Paul Drinkwater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 99.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         10  10  33  23  33
  Nottingham Forest        21  10  23  27  39

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 10 (33 - 23); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 32.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 93.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Mika Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 1
 
Match Notes
Nice
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 09/22 - 6:35 PM
 
 
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