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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
 
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            TRANMERE ROVERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Billy Lampard          14    2   16     Gk Archie Harewood        16    2   18
Df Tomaj Bodnár           14    2   16     Df Thomas Hale             8    0    8
Df Andy Whiteside          8    2   10     Df Samuel Ryan             4    2    6
Df Ben Gray                4    2    6     Df Leon Palmer             4    2    6
Df Edward Clapinson        2    2    4     Mf Theo Barmby             9    2   11
Mf Ryan Lennon             8   -2    6     Mf Carrington Mills        4    2    6
Mf Thomas Farrell          4    2    6     Mf Jordan Wagner           2    2    4
Mf Joăo Costa              2    2    4     Fw Francis Wood           13    2   15
Fw Abe Austin             18   -2   16     Fw Archie Hewitt          12    2   14
Fw Alistair Ellis          4    2    6     Fw Brian Walsh             9    2   11
Fw Brandon Murphy          4    2    6     Fw Paul Schmid             4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 36 16 28        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 20 21 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  5  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  0 36 16 28         T O T A L S       23  0 20 21 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.34 (no red card)

Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.19 (no red card)

Df Andy Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.59 (no red card)

Df Ben Gray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.38 (no red card)

Df Edward Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.04 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.07 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.88 (no second yellow)

Mf Joăo Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.76 (no red card)

Fw Abe Austin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.05 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.06 (no red card)

Fw Brandon Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.74 (no red card)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.21 (no red card)

Df Thomas Hale: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.63 (no red card)

Df Samuel Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.79 (no red card)

Df Leon Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.78 (no red card)

Mf Theo Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.52 (no red card)

Mf Carrington Mills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.46 (no red card)

Mf Jordan Wagner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.76 (no red card)

Fw Francis Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.52 (no red card)

Fw Archie Hewitt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.99 (no red card)

Fw Brian Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.19 (no red card)

Fw Paul Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.57 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.97 (no injury) 
Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.42 (no injury) 
Df Andy Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.75 (no injury) 
Df Ben Gray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.71 (no injury) 
Df Edward Clapinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.96 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.85 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.07 (no injury) 
Mf Joăo Costa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.87 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Austin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.26 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.01 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.29 (no injury) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.35 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Hale: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.43 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Samuel Ryan is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Samuel Ryan new match skill level =  2
      Samuel Ryan new match total level =  4
Df Leon Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.96 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.63 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Mills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.4 (no injury) 
Mf Jordan Wagner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.38 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.17 (no injury) 
Fw Archie Hewitt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.98 (no injury) 
Fw Brian Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.96 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.63 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abe Austin SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Archie Harewood SL 16

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francis Wood SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Billy Lampard SL 14

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          21   0  36  16  28
  Tranmere Rovers          23   0  18  21  46

Tranmere Rovers is using Offside Trap!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 5 (28 - 18) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 46) / 5;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Alistair Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 12.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 32.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          23   0  18  21  46
  Lincoln City FC          21   0  36  16  28

Lincoln City FC is using Offside Trap!
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 5 (46 - 36) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 5 ((21 - 16) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 28) / 5;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Theo Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Jordan Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 7.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Carrington Mills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Carrington Mills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 89.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Theo Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Archie Hewitt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 43.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Archie Hewitt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 78.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 9.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 52.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Paul Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lincoln City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 23.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 0  -  TRANMERE ROVERS 1
 
Match Notes
Extreme uphill battle vs a SIX TIME Youth Cup champ!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 12/29 - 4:29 PM
Nice match, Alon. Similar tactics on both sides, and we hung in there with a chance til the end. Good luck in the next round and going for title #7!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 12/29 - 6:29 PM
Thanks Mike
Alon (Tranmere Rovers) 01/04 - 11:44 PM
 
 
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