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Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
Lewes FC
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Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Calum Hughes           14    2   16     Gk Kenny Lampton           2    2    4
Sw John Dunn              12    2   14     Df Ethan Barry            14    1   15
Df Edward Sansom           8    2   10     Df Charles Wood           14    1   15
Df Geoffrey Jackson        4    2    6     Df Daniele Boga            8    2   10
Df Reis  Golan             4    2    6     Df Andrew Clarke           4    2    6
Mf Tiago Quaresma         10    2   12     Df Martin Briand           4    2    6
Mf Henry Cockayne          4    1    5     Mf Benjamin Moore          8    2   10
Mf Dennis Cox              4    1    5     Mf Jed Lindsay             4    2    6
Fw Simon Forsberg          8    2   10     Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg        13    1   14
Fw Oren Yosef              8    2   10     Fw Scott Thomson           8    2   10
Fw Fionn Johnston          7    2    9     Fw Aarron Brudenell        8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 22 22 29        ROSTER TOTALS       4  0 52 16 34    
       4  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 14 22 22 30         T O T A L S        4  0 52 18 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 4

Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 91.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 83.06 (no red card)

Sw John Dunn: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 44.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 93.82 (no red card)

Df Edward Sansom: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 83.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 43.94 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Jackson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 40.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 98.99 (no red card)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 85.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 13.44 (no red card)

Mf Tiago Quaresma: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 34.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 62.59 (no red card)

Mf Henry Cockayne: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 16.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 92.55 (no red card)

Mf Dennis Cox: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 83.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 87.33 (no red card)

Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 58.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 11.94 (no red card)

Fw Oren Yosef: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 31.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 34.68 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Johnston: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 65.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 13.03 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kenny Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.23 (no red card)

Df Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 49.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 87.55 (no red card)

Df Charles Wood: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 46.69 (no red card)

Df Daniele Boga: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 80.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 64.81 (no red card)

Df Andrew Clarke: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 54.01 (no red card)

Df Martin Briand: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 83.02 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Moore: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 61.78 (no red card)

Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 38.59 (no red card)

Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 75.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 50.52 (no red card)

Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 23.17 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 48.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.62%
Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.62% | Random number = 26.17 (no injury) 
Sw John Dunn: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 33.08 (no injury) 
Df Edward Sansom: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 36.76 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Jackson: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 11.42 (no injury) 
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 66.59 (no injury) 
Mf Tiago Quaresma: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 55.48 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Cockayne: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 30.47 (no injury) 
Mf Dennis Cox: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 36.97 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 47.4 (no injury) 
Fw Oren Yosef: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 78.13 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Johnston: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 55.03 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.37%
Gk Kenny Lampton: Chance of injury = 3.37% | Random number = 79.81 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 39.35 (no injury) 
Df Charles Wood: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 16.74 (no injury) 
Df Daniele Boga: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 72.72 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Clarke: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 48.7 (no injury) 
Df Martin Briand: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 45.33 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Moore: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 90.66 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 21.62 (no injury) 
Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 38.68 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 64.83 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 71.02 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Tiago Quaresma SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Kenny Lampton SL 2

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ethan Barry SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Calum Hughes SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          20  14  22  22  30
  Lewes FC                 4   0  52  18  34

Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 52)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 2 ((22 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Dennis Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 19.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Dennis Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 14.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 4   0  52  18  34
  Southend United          20  14  22  22  30

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 12 (34 - 22); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 5 ((52 - 30) / 5); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Charles Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 46.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Charles Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 4.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Daniele Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 31.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Martin Briand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Ethan Barry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 69.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 43.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 42.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 3.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Alfie Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 36.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 56.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
SOUTHEND UNITED 0  -  LEWES FC 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Southend United Gk (Home): Calum Hughes SL 14

   - Lewes FC Gk (Away): Kenny Lampton SL 2

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Calum Hughes (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 42 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 1  :  LEW - 0)

 Round 1: Ethan Barry (LEW) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 86 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SU - 1  :  LEW - 0)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: John Dunn (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 32 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 2  :  LEW - 0)

 Round 2: Charles Wood (LEW) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 12 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 2  :  LEW - 1)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Tiago Quaresma (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 89 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SU - 2  :  LEW - 1)

 Round 3: Alfie Eton-Hogg (LEW) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 75 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SU - 2  :  LEW - 1)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Edward Sansom (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 98 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SU - 2  :  LEW - 1)

 Round 4: Aarron Brudenell (LEW) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 66 (PK BLOCKED!!) (SU - 2  :  LEW - 1)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Simon Forsberg (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 63 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (SU - 3  :  LEW - 1)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 0  -  LEWES FC 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
SOUTHEND UNITED 3  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
0-2 this session n PK contests.......outplayed the opponent in both.....where's the justice?
Dave (Lewes FC) 01/14 - 4:12 AM
 
 
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