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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
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Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eduardo Parra          16    2   18     Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18
Df Ethan Barry            15    2   17     Df John MacDonald          6    2    8
Mf Andrew Clarke           6    2    8     Df Peter Burns            15    1   16
Mf Martin Briand           6    2    8     Df Rókus Szoke             8    2   10
Df Emilio Muñoz            4    2    6     Df Stewart Tufnel          4    2    6
Mf Jed Lindsay             8    2   10     Df Rian Reilly             2    2    4
Mf Luís Alves              4    2    6     Mf Wes Barmby              8    2   10
Fw Aaron Collins          13    2   15     Mf Owen Boyle              4    2    6
Fw Agostino Barbieri       8    2   10     Fw Luís Silva             16    0   16
Fw Jared Hubbard           4    2    6     Fw Fionn Quinn             8    2   10
Fw Luca Milner             4    2    6     Fw André Ferreira          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 23 32 37        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 44 16 32    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22  0 23 32 37         T O T A L S       21  0 44 16 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 6.04 (no red card)

Df Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 42.38 (no red card)

Mf Andrew Clarke: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 1.07 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Andrew Clarke new match skill level =  3
      Andrew Clarke new match total level =  5

Mf Martin Briand: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 24.43 (no red card)

Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 8.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 9.13 (no second yellow)

Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 49.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 46.35 (no red card)

Mf Luís Alves: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 60.23 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Collins: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 96.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 88.28 (no red card)

Fw Agostino Barbieri: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 83.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 60.5 (no red card)

Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 11.23 (no red card)

Fw Luca Milner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 69.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 8.64 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.8 (no red card)

Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 45.45 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 68.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 78.4 (no red card)

Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 31.04 (no second yellow)

Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 77.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 42.99 (no red card)

Df Rian Reilly: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 9.24 (no second yellow)

Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 58.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 94.8 (no red card)

Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 36.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 66.79 (no red card)

Fw Luís Silva: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 67.24 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 57.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 37.06 (no red card)

Fw André Ferreira: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 86.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Watford Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 59.55 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 6.14 (no injury) 
Mf Andrew Clarke: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 87.85 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Briand: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 72.45 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 29.11 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 36.6 (no injury) 
Mf Luís Alves: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 69.25 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Collins: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 41.84 (no injury) 
Fw Agostino Barbieri: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 83.74 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 13.39 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Milner: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 1.58 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Luca Milner is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 2
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 27.72 (no injury) 
Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 62.73 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 72.53 (no injury) 
Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 25.75 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 22.48 (no injury) 
Df Rian Reilly: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 50.1 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 19.38 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 61.04 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Silva: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 18.88 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 92.26 (no injury) 
Fw André Ferreira: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 30.43 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ethan Barry SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Luís Silva SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 86 (pk blocked)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 22   0  23  29  37
  Watford                  21   0  44  16  34

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 44)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((29 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 34) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Jed Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Martin Briand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Martin Briand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 22.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Luís Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Martin Briand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Luís Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 11.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Martin Briand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 32.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  21   0  44  16  34
  Lewes FC                 22   0  23  29  37

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Watford Fw Attacks = 6 (34 - 23) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 2 ((44 - 37) / 5); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Rian Reilly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 30.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Rókus Szoke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 63.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 7.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
LEWES FC 0  -  WATFORD 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Lewes FC Gk (Home): Eduardo Parra SL 16

   - Watford Gk (Away): Ollie Baker SL 16

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Eduardo Parra (LEW) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 18 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (LEW - 1  :  WAT - 0)

 Round 1: Ollie Baker (WAT) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 11 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (LEW - 1  :  WAT - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Ethan Barry (LEW) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 87 (PK BLOCKED!!) (LEW - 1  :  WAT - 1)

 Round 2: Luís Silva (WAT) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 65 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (LEW - 1  :  WAT - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Aaron Collins (LEW) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 97 (PK BLOCKED!!) (LEW - 1  :  WAT - 2)

 Round 3: Peter Burns (WAT) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 15 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (LEW - 1  :  WAT - 3)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Agostino Barbieri (LEW) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 94 (PK BLOCKED!!) (LEW - 1  :  WAT - 3)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 0  -  WATFORD 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
LEWES FC 1  -  WATFORD 3
 
Match Notes
Could do with keeping the youth cup run going.
James (Watford) 05/12 - 2:40 PM
 
 
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