MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2 TMBL MSWL The Manager
Tuesday, October 16th, 2018 - 12:34:50 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① - Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats Tables Teams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(N)
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gerry Stephenson        4    2    6     Gk Francis Carter          8    2   10
Df Malte Lundberg         10    2   12     Sw William Russell         7    2    9
Df Samuel Moore            8    2   10     Df Rhys Robinson          14    2   16
Df Jack Milner             8    2   10     Df Owen Thompson           7    2    9
Mf Christopher Holland     8    2   10     Df Noah Craig              7    2    9
Mf Iain Christie           4    2    6     Fw Wayne Mitchell         17    2   19
Fw Tom Hart               14    2   16     Mf Douglas Araújo          8    2   10
Fw Ahmed Akhrif           14    2   16     Mf Pedro Rodrigues         4    2    6
Fw Aaron Cockayne          8   -1    7     Fw Reece McGregor         15    2   17
Fw Joaquin  Rodríguez      3    2    5     Fw Alexander Burns         8    2   10
Fw Antonio Rice            2    2    4     Fw Gregg St.Hubbins        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       6  0 32 16 48        ROSTER TOTALS      10  9 34 16 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  5  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       6  0 32 16 48         T O T A L S       15  9 34 18 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gerry Stephenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.24 (no red card)

Df Malte Lundberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.82 (no red card)

Df Samuel Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.65 (no red card)

Df Jack Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.87 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.32 (no red card)

Mf Iain Christie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.75 (no red card)

Fw Tom Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.74 (no red card)

Fw Ahmed Akhrif: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.26 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.9 (no red card)

Fw Joaquin  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.63 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Rice: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.51 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.93 (no second yellow)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.95 (no red card)

Sw William Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.3 (no second yellow)

Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.6 (no red card)

Df Owen Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.92 (no red card)

Df Noah Craig: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.01 (no red card)

Fw Wayne Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.25 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Araújo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.87 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.98 (no red card)

Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.36 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.97 (no red card)

Fw Gregg St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.12 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gerry Stephenson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.95 (no injury) 
Df Malte Lundberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.39 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.54 (no injury) 
Df Jack Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.35 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Holland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.49 (no injury) 
Mf Iain Christie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.88 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Hart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.05 (no injury) 
Fw Ahmed Akhrif: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.8 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Ahmed Akhrif is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ahmed Akhrif new match skill level =  7
      Ahmed Akhrif new match total level =  9
Fw Aaron Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.27 (no injury) 
Fw Joaquin  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.53 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Rice: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.69 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Francis Carter: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.24 (no injury) 
Sw William Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.91 (no injury) 
Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.55 (no injury) 
Df Owen Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.17 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Owen Thompson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Owen Thompson new match skill level =  4
      Owen Thompson new match total level =  6
Df Noah Craig: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.39 (no injury) 
Fw Wayne Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.69 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Araújo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.43 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.91 (no injury) 
Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.83 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.41 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.27 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tom Hart SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Francis Carter SL 8

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Wayne Mitchell SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Gerry Stephenson SL 4

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          6   0  32  16  41
  Derby County             15   9  31  18  52

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 10 (41 - 31); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 18) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 52) / 5;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Tom Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Tom Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Tom Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ahmed Akhrif
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Tom Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ahmed Akhrif
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aaron Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Tom Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Joaquin  Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Tom Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             15   9  31  18  52
  Cardiff City FC          6   0  32  16  41

Cardiff City FC is using Offside Trap!
Derby County Fw Attacks = 10 (52 - 32) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 2 ((18 - 16) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Douglas Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Pedro Rodrigues
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 61.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 81.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Gregg St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 98.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Cardiff City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 43.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 1  -  DERBY COUNTY 3
 
Match Notes
Mike and Vick with 2 underdog prediction wins in the Youth Cup
Rob (Derby County) 09/15 - 6:43 PM
 
 
Terms and Conditions