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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
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James Tucker
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez   15    2   17     Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18
Sw Finlay Harvey          15    2   17     Df Adam Wright            14    2   16
Df Alessio Costa          13    2   15     Df Peter Burns            15    1   16
Df Harley Stephenson      13    2   15     Df Rafael Gomes           11    0   11
Df Harold Jenkins         13    2   15     Df Max Beckham            11    0   11
Mf Owen Marsh             16    2   18     Df Derek Fox               9    1   10
Mf Joe Brides             10    2   12     Df Rókus Szoke             8    2   10
Fw Anton Ekström          16    1   17     Mf Matty Williams         13    0   13
Fw Artyom Morozov         13    2   15     Mf Devon Jackson          12    0   12
Fw Rodrigo Alves          12    2   14     Fw Thomas Fergusen        12    2   14
Fw Edinson Castillo       16    2   18     Fw Luís Silva             16    0   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 17 45 30 64        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 74 25 30    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       4  0  0  0  6  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22 17 45 30 70         T O T A L S       18  0 74 25 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 29.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 65.59 (no red card)

Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 33.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 41.73 (no red card)

Df Alessio Costa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 70.9 (no red card)

Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 0.13 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Harley Stephenson new match skill level =  7
      Harley Stephenson new match total level =  9

Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 47.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 24.98 (no red card)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 47.76 (no red card)

Mf Joe Brides: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 10.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 91.86 (no red card)

Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 95.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 56.82 (no red card)

Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 17.03 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Alves: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 41.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 72.85 (no red card)

Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 78.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 22.02 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.88 (no red card)

Df Adam Wright: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 98.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 42.97 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 58.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 85.54 (no red card)

Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 48.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 85.24 (no red card)

Df Max Beckham: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 60.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 9.54 (no red card)

Df Derek Fox: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 14.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 34.39 (no second yellow)

Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 80.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 38.28 (no red card)

Mf Matty Williams: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 79.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 22.25 (no red card)

Mf Devon Jackson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 58.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 91.92 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 79.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 41.83 (no red card)

Fw Luís Silva: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 66.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 25.22 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Watford Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.25%
Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.65 (no injury) 
Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 69.55 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Costa: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 78.58 (no injury) 
Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 36.58 (no injury) 
Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 49.45 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 85.44 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Brides: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 78.42 (no injury) 
Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 90.19 (no injury) 
Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 50.26 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Alves: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 71.35 (no injury) 
Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 71.08 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 5
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 50.36 (no injury) 
Df Adam Wright: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 85.69 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 40.06 (no injury) 
Df Rafael Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 72.27 (no injury) 
Df Max Beckham: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 94.23 (no injury) 
Df Derek Fox: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 83.71 (no injury) 
Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 21.78 (no injury) 
Mf Matty Williams: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 8.42 (no injury) 
Mf Devon Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 45.42 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 90.53 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Silva: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 36.35 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Owen Marsh SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 37 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luís Silva SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Luis Ángel Rodríguez SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    22  17  39  30  70
  Watford                  18   0  74  25  38

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (70 - 74)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((39 - 38) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18   0  74  25  38
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    22  17  39  30  70

Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 39)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 1 ((74 - 70) / 5); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Rókus Szoke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2  -  WATFORD 0
 
Match Notes
I expect a tight game - maybe PKs will decided it?
James (Watford) 05/12 - 2:41 PM
Should be a cracking good game. Captain Castillo has been practising his spot kicks just in case.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/12 - 3:10 PM
 
 
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