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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Louie Parsons          16    2   18     Gk Noah Godart             8    1    9
Sw Nicola Colombo          2    2    4     Df Jaron  Biton            2    2    4
Df Pedro Castelo           8    2   10     Df Paul Brides            12    2   14
Df William Gill            5    2    7     Df Juan Jose Saez         10    1   11
Df Peter Lee               4    2    6     Df Oliver Hills            8    2   10
Mf Kyle McAdam             8   -1    7     Df Matteo Maggioni         4    2    6
Mf Rhys Knight             4    2    6     Mf Francis Murphy         11    1   12
Fw Santiago Romero        16    2   18     Mf Joe Hopkins             8    2   10
Fw Freddie Bunyan         13    2   15     Mf Alistair Barnes         4    2    6
Fw Afonso Ribeiro          8    2   10     Fw Lennon Stewart          8    2   10
Fw Luca Schmid             4   -2    2     Fw Aaron Allan             4    0    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  4 23 13 45        ROSTER TOTALS       9  0 45 28 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       4  0  0  2  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  2  0  8    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22  4 23 15 45         T O T A L S        9  0 47 28 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Louie Parsons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.87 (no red card)

Sw Nicola Colombo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.25 (no red card)

Df Pedro Castelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.09 (no red card)

Df William Gill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.73 (no red card)

Df Peter Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.06 (no red card)

Mf Kyle McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.3 (no red card)

Mf Rhys Knight: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.84 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Romero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.13 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.29 (no red card)

Fw Afonso Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.69 (no red card)

Fw Luca Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.93 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Godart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.14 (no red card)

Df Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.96 (no red card)

Df Paul Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.31 (no red card)

Df Juan Jose Saez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.25 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.35 (no red card)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.1 (no red card)

Mf Francis Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.91 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.11 (no second yellow)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.51 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.71 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.55 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Louie Parsons: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.39 (no injury) 
Sw Nicola Colombo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.8 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Castelo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.29 (no injury) 
Df William Gill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.06 (no injury) 
Df Peter Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.07 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle McAdam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.92 (no injury) 
Mf Rhys Knight: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.51 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Romero: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.68 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.74 (no injury) 
Fw Afonso Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.54 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.71 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Godart: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 65.57 (no injury) 
Df Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.94 (no injury) 
Df Paul Brides: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.39 (no injury) 
Df Juan Jose Saez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.09 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.68 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.77 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.14 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.93 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.95 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.62 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.7 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Santiago Romero SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Noah Godart SL 8

     intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Brides SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Louie Parsons SL 16

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          22   4  23  15  45
  Bristol City FC          9   0  47  28  22

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 0 (45 - 47)
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 1 ((23 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Pedro Castelo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Bristol City FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 63.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          9   0  47  28  22
  Tranmere Rovers          22   4  23  15  45

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 23)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((28 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((47 - 45) / 5); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Paul Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 67.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 39 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 90.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Francis Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 85.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Francis Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Francis Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 67.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
TRANMERE ROVERS 1  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 1
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Tranmere Rovers Gk (Home): Louie Parsons SL 16

   - Bristol City FC Gk (Away): Noah Godart SL 8

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Louie Parsons (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 11 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 1  :  BRI - 0)

 Round 1: Paul Brides (BRI) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 82 (PK BLOCKED!!) (TRA - 1  :  BRI - 0)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Santiago Romero (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 2  :  BRI - 0)

 Round 2: Francis Murphy (BRI) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 76 (PK BLOCKED!!) (TRA - 2  :  BRI - 0)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Freddie Bunyan (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 3  :  BRI - 0)

 Round 3: Juan Jose Saez (BRI) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 58% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 3  :  BRI - 1)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Afonso Ribeiro (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 85 (PK BLOCKED!!) (TRA - 3  :  BRI - 1)

 Round 4: Noah Godart (BRI) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 58 (PK BLOCKED!!) (TRA - 3  :  BRI - 1)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 1  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 1
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
TRANMERE ROVERS 3  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
Not had a good result against Tranmere for too long in this cup, and overall our record against them is awful. Even when the plan is right, Olmec is not. Maybe, just maybe, this will be our year.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 01/02 - 9:14 AM
R. O. B. B. E. D.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 01/06 - 8:39 PM
Got the tactics right, team right, plan right. Outshot Tranmere 8-1 and still lost in a penalty shootout. Olmec, you are a not nice person.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 01/06 - 8:41 PM
Love you Olmec ,dont listen to Ellis.
Ridiculously lucky for Tranmere though,sorry Ellis,
Alon (Tranmere Rovers) 01/07 - 11:41 AM
No need to apologize, Alon. I don't blame you. I know the guilty party!
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 01/07 - 3:41 PM
 
 
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