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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
Youth Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Titouan Raoul           4    2    6     Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18
Sw Jaron  Biton            8    2   10     Sw John MacDonald          8    2   10
Df Matteo Maggioni         8    2   10     Df Peter Burns            14    1   15
Df Joseph Carpenter        4    2    6     Df Rókus Szoke             7    1    8
Mf Daniel Martins         10    2   12     Df Stewart Tufnel          4    2    6
Mf Alistair Barnes         8    2   10     Df Rian Reilly             2    2    4
Mf Rafael  Torres          4    2    6     Mf Wes Barmby              8    2   10
Fw Lennon Stewart         14    2   16     Mf Owen Boyle              4    2    6
Fw Liang Xú               10    2   12     Fw Luís Silva             16    0   16
Fw Aaron Allan             8    2   10     Fw Fionn Quinn             8    2   10
Fw Mason Singh             4    2    6     Fw André Ferreira          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       6 10 16 28 44        ROSTER TOTALS      18 10 33 16 32    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  5  5  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  5  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       6 15 21 28 44         T O T A L S       18 10 33 22 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.66 (no red card)

Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.5 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.77 (no second yellow)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.95 (no red card)

Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.87 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.76 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.14 (no red card)

Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.55 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.32 (no red card)

Fw Liang Xú: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.6 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.9 (no red card)

Fw Mason Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.14 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.16 (no red card)

Sw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 78.01 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 69.0 (no red card)

Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 74.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 49.39 (no red card)

Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 6.58 (no red card)

Df Rian Reilly: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 56.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 99.51 (no red card)

Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 28.68 (no red card)

Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 45.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 76.48 (no red card)

Fw Luís Silva: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 94.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 70.46 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 24.9 (no red card)

Fw André Ferreira: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 20.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 68.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 99.56 (no injury) 
Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.93 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.75 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Joseph Carpenter is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Joseph Carpenter new match skill level =  2
      Joseph Carpenter new match total level =  4
Mf Daniel Martins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.25 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.85 (no injury) 
Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.85 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.29 (no injury) 
Fw Liang Xú: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.52 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.02 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Singh: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.7 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 5.79 (no injury) 
Sw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.13 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.66 (no injury) 
Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.7 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.18 (no injury) 
Df Rian Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.69 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.41 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.71 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Silva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.19 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.42 (no injury) 
Fw André Ferreira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.97 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lennon Stewart SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luís Silva SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Titouan Raoul SL 4

     intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          6  15  19  28  44
  Watford                  18  10  33  22  32

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 11 (44 - 33); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((28 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Mason Singh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Liang Xú
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Liang Xú
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18  10  33  22  32
  Bristol City FC          6  15  19  28  44

Watford Fw Attacks = 13 (32 - 19); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 90.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 18.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 98.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Luís Silva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 0  -  WATFORD 2
 
Match Notes
Then Watford in the Youth Cup... This is our season, right here.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 04/30 - 5:16 PM
Be wary of WAT Ellis. They are tough to beat!
Abe (Leeds United) 05/02 - 5:32 AM
Thanks Abe. Unfortunately, I know that. Am hoping Olmec sees this a way of paying us back for the bad luck that has destroyed the rest of our season.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 05/03 - 3:55 PM
Raoul could not handle the limelight. Goodbye and goodnight.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 05/06 - 3:15 AM
 
 
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