MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2 TMBL MSWL The Manager
Monday, January 21st, 2019 - 12:41:14 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① - Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats Tables Teams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(N)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Paul Cockayne
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Felix Blucher           8    0    8     Gk Kuan-Yin Sun           14    2   16
Sw Jamie Sansom            3    2    5     Sw James Dunn              7    2    9
Df Lukas Schmidt           5    2    7     Df Benjamin Bell           7    2    9
Df Harry Lennon            3    2    5     Df Ashton Burroughs        3    2    5
Df Jayden Walker           2    2    4     Df Ruben Fuentes           2    2    4
Df Tomas Moe               2    2    4     Mf Mohamed Durieux         7    2    9
Mf Patrick Roberts         4    2    6     Mf Edoardo Rinaldi         4    2    6
Mf Liam Martinsson         2    2    4     Fw Mason Carter            9    2   11
Fw Nathan Tissot           6    2    8     Fw Leon Stevens            8    2   10
Fw Victor Bayle            6    2    8     Fw Harley Morrissey        7    2    9
Fw Graham McAdam           4    2    6     Fw Craig McDonald          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  5 20 10 22        ROSTER TOTALS      16  9 18 15 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8  5 20 10 22         T O T A L S       16 10 18 15 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.04 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.36 (no red card)

Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.93 (no red card)

Df Harry Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.73 (no red card)

Df Jayden Walker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.47 (no red card)

Df Tomas Moe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.59 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.51 (no red card)

Mf Liam Martinsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.64 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Tissot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.86 (no red card)

Fw Victor Bayle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.04 (no red card)

Fw Graham McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.12 (no second yellow)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.59 (no red card)

Sw James Dunn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 10.24 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 23.6 (no red card)

Df Ashton Burroughs: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 78.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 98.72 (no red card)

Df Ruben Fuentes: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 38.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 75.56 (no red card)

Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 73.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 65.93 (no red card)

Mf Edoardo Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 96.95 (no red card)

Fw Mason Carter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 31.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 3.27 (no red card)

Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 10.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 8.04 (no red card)

Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 12.03 (no red card)

Fw Craig McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 46.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 77.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 51.39 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.53 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.27 (no injury) 
Df Harry Lennon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.37 (no injury) 
Df Jayden Walker: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.56 (no injury) 
Df Tomas Moe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.09 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.65 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Martinsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.62 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Tissot: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.42 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Bayle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.49 (no injury) 
Fw Graham McAdam: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.92 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 37.68 (no injury) 
Sw James Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.82 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      James Dunn is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      James Dunn new match skill level =  4
      James Dunn new match total level =  6
Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.17 (no injury) 
Df Ashton Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.07 (no injury) 
Df Ruben Fuentes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.56 (no injury) 
Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.39 (no injury) 
Mf Edoardo Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.55 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Carter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.46 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.19 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.6 (no injury) 
Fw Craig McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.82 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nathan Tissot SL 6
   - Defending Gk: Kuan-Yin Sun SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mason Carter SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 8

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   8   5  20  10  22
  Carlisle United          16   7  18  15  36

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 4 (22 - 18); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((10 - 15) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Graham McAdam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Nathan Tissot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Nathan Tissot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Victor Bayle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          16   7  18  15  36
  Brighton & Hove Albion   8   5  20  10  22

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 16 (36 - 20); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 3 ((15 - 10) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 22) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Mf Edoardo Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Mohamed Durieux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 18.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Mohamed Durieux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 35.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Craig McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Mason Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Craig McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Craig McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Mason Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Craig McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 0.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 4.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Leon Stevens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 57.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Craig McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Mason Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Gk (Home): Felix Blucher SL 8

   - Carlisle United Gk (Away): Kuan-Yin Sun SL 14

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Felix Blucher (BHA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 88 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BHA - 0  :  CAR - 0)

 Round 1: Kuan-Yin Sun (CAR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 64 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 0  :  CAR - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Victor Bayle (BHA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 46% | Random number = 58 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BHA - 0  :  CAR - 1)

 Round 2: Mason Carter (CAR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 80 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BHA - 0  :  CAR - 1)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Nathan Tissot (BHA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 46% | Random number = 29 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 1  :  CAR - 1)

 Round 3: Leon Stevens (CAR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 1  :  CAR - 2)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Lukas Schmidt (BHA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 42% | Random number = 12 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 2  :  CAR - 2)

 Round 4: Harley Morrissey (CAR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 74 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BHA - 2  :  CAR - 2)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Patrick Roberts (BHA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 38% | Random number = 39 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BHA - 2  :  CAR - 2)

 Round 5: Mohamed Durieux (CAR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 98 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BHA - 2  :  CAR - 2)

************   ROUND 6    ************
 Round 6: Graham McAdam (BHA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 38% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (BHA - 3  :  CAR - 2)

 Round 6: Benjamin Bell (CAR) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 84 (PK BLOCKED!!) (BHA - 3  :  CAR - 2)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 3  -  CARLISLE UNITED 2
 
Match Notes
First ever meeting of the two sides in the Youth Cup.
Dave (Carlisle United) 12/13 - 2:25 AM
If nothing else, hopefully the youngsters will have learnt the value of taking their chances.
Dave (Carlisle United) 12/16 - 11:09 PM
 
 
Terms and Conditions