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Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Archie Harewood         8    2   10     Gk Felix Eliasson         12    0   12
Sw Ollie Woods             4    2    6     Df Kian Hamilton           4    2    6
Df Douglas Souza          12   -2   10     Df Fernando  Rojas         4    2    6
Df Sam Morrissey           8    0    8     Df Carl Berg               4    2    6
Df Susumu Takahashi        4    2    6     Df Tony Brown              2    2    4
Mf Carlton Bailey         11   -2    9     Mf Martin Hunt             8    2   10
Mf Leo Marino              7   -1    6     Mf Mark Cockham            8    2   10
Mf Gil  Friedman           6    2    8     Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez       4    2    6
Mf João DaSilva            4    2    6     Mf Agustin López           2    2    4
Fw Carl Henriksson         8    2   10     Fw Ben Read                9    1   10
Fw Leo Smith               4    2    6     Fw Victor Jensen           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  6 24 29 16        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 22 30 20    
       0  1  1  1  1          HARDNESS          2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  7 25 30 17         T O T A L S       14  0 29 30 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.28 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Woods: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 23.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 67.07 (no red card)

Df Douglas Souza: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 42.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 96.51 (no red card)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 29.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 37.17 (no red card)

Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 34.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 45.52 (no red card)

Mf Carlton Bailey: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 70.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 15.65 (no red card)

Mf Leo Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 74.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 27.39 (no red card)

Mf Gil  Friedman: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 9.72 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 1.7 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Gil  Friedman new match skill level =  3
      Gil  Friedman new match total level =  5

Mf João DaSilva: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 53.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 56.07 (no red card)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 30.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 45.95 (no red card)

Fw Leo Smith: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 44.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 8.82 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Felix Eliasson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 58.05 (no red card)

Df Kian Hamilton: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 23.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 90.55 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 39.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 21.98 (no red card)

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 48.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 41.19 (no red card)

Df Tony Brown: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 14.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 90.09 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 90.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 32.85 (no red card)

Mf Mark Cockham: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.64 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 45.9 (no second yellow)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 8.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 38.29 (no second yellow)

Mf Agustin López: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 97.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 75.89 (no red card)

Fw Ben Read: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 47.6 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 6.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 56.15 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 4
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.43 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Woods: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 36.67 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Souza: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 99.66 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 77.57 (no injury) 
Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 20.15 (no injury) 
Mf Carlton Bailey: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 39.41 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Marino: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 68.62 (no injury) 
Mf Gil  Friedman: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 71.35 (no injury) 
Mf João DaSilva: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 59.17 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 99.96 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Smith: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 96.06 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.0%
Gk Felix Eliasson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 51.03 (no injury) 
Df Kian Hamilton: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 35.52 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 34.61 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 59.24 (no injury) 
Df Tony Brown: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 87.96 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 27.94 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Cockham: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 83.84 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 55.16 (no injury) 
Mf Agustin López: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 3.25 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Agustin López is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Agustin López new match skill level =  1
      Agustin López new match total level =  3
Fw Ben Read: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 14.83 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 6.0% | Random number = 20.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Douglas Souza SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Felix Eliasson SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ben Read SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Archie Harewood SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 71 (pk blocked)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      10   7  25  27  17
  Crewe Alexandra FC       14   0  29  29  20

Crewe Alexandra FC is using Offside Trap!
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 29)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((25 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Douglas Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Susumu Takahashi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       14   0  29  29  20
  Oldham Athletic AFC      10   7  25  27  17

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 25)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 27) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 2 ((29 - 17) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Carl Berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Carl Berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 97.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
 
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