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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Titouan Raoul          13    2   15     Gk Juan Jose Blanco       15    2   17
Sw Jaron  Biton           15    0   15     Df Aaron Sutherland       10    2   12
Df Darren Durman          18    0   18     Sw Artur Vorobyov          8    2   10
Df Matteo Maggioni        13    0   13     Df Namir  Katz             9    2   11
Df Oliver Hills           10    2   12     Df Marius Hagen            9    2   11
Df Gareth Chapman          7    2    9     Mf Louie Cook             14    2   16
Mf Rafael  Torres         12    0   12     Mf Kieran Warren           8    2   10
Mf Alistair Barnes        12    1   13     Fw Luke White             17    2   19
Mf Joe Hopkins            10    2   12     Fw Rafael Souza           14    2   16
Fw Aaron Allan            15    0   15     Fw Jared Brown            13    2   15
Fw Mason Singh            12    1   13     Fw Baron Bate              8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 52 37 28        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 34 26 60    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 15 61 37 28         T O T A L S       17 10 34 26 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.24 (no red card)

Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.04 (no red card)

Df Darren Durman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.93 (no red card)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.29 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.38 (no red card)

Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.8 (no red card)

Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.66 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.43 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.55 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.25 (no red card)

Fw Mason Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.97 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Juan Jose Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.74 (no red card)

Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.67 (no red card)

Sw Artur Vorobyov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.03 (no red card)

Df Namir  Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.14 (no red card)

Df Marius Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.49 (no red card)

Mf Louie Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.5 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Warren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.17 (no red card)

Fw Luke White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.77 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.13 (no red card)

Fw Jared Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.65 (no red card)

Fw Baron Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.71 (no injury) 
Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.42 (no injury) 
Df Darren Durman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.91 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Darren Durman is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Darren Durman new match skill level =  9
      Darren Durman new match total level =  9
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.6 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.92 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.01 (no injury) 
Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.17 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.14 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.83 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.05 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Singh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.68 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Juan Jose Blanco: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.28 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.57 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Vorobyov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.31 (no injury) 
Df Namir  Katz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.64 (no injury) 
Df Marius Hagen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.23 (no injury) 
Mf Louie Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.68 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Warren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.37 (no injury) 
Fw Luke White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.8 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.3 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.89 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Bate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Allan SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Juan Jose Blanco SL 15

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luke White SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Titouan Raoul SL 13

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          15  15  52  37  28
  Preston North End FC     17  10  34  26  60

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 34)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((37 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Rafael  Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Rafael  Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Rafael  Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     17  10  34  26  60
  Bristol City FC          15  15  52  37  28

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 8 (60 - 52); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 2 ((34 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Namir  Katz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Marius Hagen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 75.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Baron Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Baron Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 0  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 1
 
Match Notes
Quite simply, we deserved to win the first game. So, fully expecting our cup run to end here.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 12/10 - 2:15 PM
Rematch here should be a good one!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 12/14 - 4:30 PM
Should have gone with OST. Very bitter about this. Olmec stuffed us, again.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 12/16 - 4:38 AM
 
 
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