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Crewe Alexandra FC
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FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Craig Thomas           12    2   14     Gk Harrison Holland       10    2   12
Sw John MacDonald         14    2   16     Sw Gabriel Martin         14    1   15
Df Peter Burns            13    1   14     Df Kian Ferguson          11    0   11
Df Stewart Tufnel         10    1   11     Df Carl Berg              10    0   10
Df Adam Doherty            6    2    8     Df Fernando  Rojas        10    1   11
Mf Antonin Berger         11    0   11     Df Patrick King           10    0   10
Mf Owen Boyle             10    2   12     Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez      10    0   10
Fw Fionn Quinn            13    2   15     Mf Jacob Clark             6    2    8
Fw Thomas Fergusen        16    1   17     Fw Victor Jensen          16   -1   15
Fw André Ferreira         10    2   12     Fw Fernando Neves         13    1   14
Fw Joe Lennon              6    2    8     Fw Noel Ivarsson           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 16 33 23 52        ROSTER TOTALS      12 15 42 18 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  0  2  0    
=======================================================================
      14 16 33 23 61         T O T A L S       12 20 42 20 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.54 (no red card)

Sw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.01 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.62 (no second yellow)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.72 (no red card)

Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.18 (no red card)

Df Adam Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.79 (no red card)

Mf Antonin Berger: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.21 (no red card)

Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.23 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.25 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.7 (no red card)

Fw André Ferreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.76 (no red card)

Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.81 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.41 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.64 (no red card)

Df Kian Ferguson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.36 (no red card)

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.8 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.35 (no red card)

Df Patrick King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.19 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.22 (no red card)

Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.66 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.99 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.95 (no red card)

Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Craig Thomas: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.39 (no injury) 
Sw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.78 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.62 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.65 (no injury) 
Df Adam Doherty: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.13 (no injury) 
Mf Antonin Berger: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.19 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Boyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.24 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.18 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.83 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Thomas Fergusen is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw André Ferreira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.95 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.91 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.28 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.75 (no injury) 
Df Kian Ferguson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.55 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.43 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.61 (no injury) 
Df Patrick King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.48 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.05 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.67 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.81 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.61 (no injury) 
Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Fergusen SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Holland SL 10

     intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Victor Jensen SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Craig Thomas SL 12

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  14  16  33  23  61
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  20  42  20  36

Watford Fw Attacks = 19 (61 - 42); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 2 ((23 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Antonin Berger
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Antonin Berger
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 23.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 68.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw André Ferreira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Thomas Fergusen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 13.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 55.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Fionn Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  20  42  20  36
  Watford                  14  16  33  23  61

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 2 (36 - 33) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
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